Check historical price trends and seasonality for Great Portland Estates Plc (GPE.L).
Great Portland Estates Plc (GPE.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -7.57%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -1.63%.
1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.
1) Overview:
Great Portland Estates Plc (GPE.L) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline significantly from June through October, culminating in a notable low around October 10 with an average decrease of -11.3%. A recovery phase typically begins in January, reaching a peak gain of +1.7% by January 31. The year concludes with a downward trend, ending with a decline of -7.6% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended pullback from June to October. The most significant dip tends to occur around October 10, presenting a chance to capitalize on the -11.3% average decline. Another, albeit smaller, pullback occurs towards the end of the year, bottoming out around December 31 with a -7.6% decrease. These periods of weakness could be considered strategic entry points, anticipating a rebound in January.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for GPE.L could involve taking advantage of seasonal dips. Consider establishing a position around October 10 to benefit from the historically low prices, with the expectation of a rally towards the end of January. Be mindful of the late-year decline culminating on December 31, and adjust holdings accordingly to manage risk.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 279.0000 | 2025-01-22 | 270.0000 | -9.0000 | -3.23 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 338.7857 | 2024-01-22 | 337.2910 | -1.4947 | -0.44 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 474.5491 | 2023-01-22 | 447.9776 | -26.5715 | -5.60 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 755.4589 | 2020-01-22 | 783.0267 | 27.5678 | 3.65 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 586.3151 | 2019-01-22 | 582.3294 | -3.9857 | -0.68 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 631.8685 | 2018-01-22 | 625.1260 | -6.7425 | -1.07 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 648.3952 | 2017-01-22 | 622.0336 | -26.3616 | -4.07 |
| Avg | 530.6246 | 523.9692 | -6.66 | -1.63 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.74% | Feb Total -4.18% | Mar Total -1.26% | Apr Total +2.66% | May Total -1.72% | Jun Total -4.96% | Jul Total +1.91% | Aug Total -2.59% | Sep Total -1.09% | Oct Total +0.15% | Nov Total +0.61% | Dec Total +3.00% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.64% | +0.29% | -0.31% | +0.22% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.66% | -0.26% | +0.51% | +0.37% | +0.77% |
| 2 Avg 0.00% | +0.22% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -0.18% | +0.18% | +0.66% | -0.59% | -0.58% | +0.29% | -0.46% | +0.53% | -0.41% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.36% | +0.20% | -0.35% | -0.26% | +0.03% | +0.54% | +0.50% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.71% | -0.19% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.53% | -0.19% | -0.27% | -0.21% | -0.13% | -0.50% | -0.03% | +0.55% | -0.33% | -0.11% | +0.65% | +0.68% |
| 5 Avg +0.08% | +0.29% | -0.27% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.24% | +0.23% | +0.23% | -0.26% | +0.18% | -0.15% | +0.20% | +0.37% |
| 6 Avg +0.13% | -0.18% | -0.24% | 0.00% | +1.63% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.31% | +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.02% | -0.60% | +1.20% |
| 7 Avg +0.10% | -0.50% | +0.09% | -0.12% | -0.09% | +0.92% | +0.28% | +0.21% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.45% | +0.51% | +0.35% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | -0.25% | -0.45% | +0.46% | +0.75% | +0.36% | -0.27% | +0.09% | +0.38% | -0.41% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.10% |
| 9 Avg -0.17% | -0.49% | -0.15% | -0.59% | -0.30% | -0.66% | -0.52% | +0.21% | -0.24% | -0.43% | -0.04% | +1.19% | +0.02% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | -0.47% | +0.62% | -0.31% | +0.53% | +0.11% | -0.17% | -0.42% | +0.24% | +0.11% | -0.12% | +0.72% | -0.54% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | -0.28% | -0.75% | +0.13% | +0.44% | -0.49% | -0.67% | +0.53% | -0.95% | +0.02% | +0.53% | +0.74% | -0.29% |
| 12 Avg -0.19% | +0.76% | +0.09% | -1.07% | -0.18% | -1.23% | +0.88% | +0.06% | -0.42% | -0.18% | -0.13% | -0.46% | -0.36% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | +0.17% | -0.47% | -0.25% | +0.51% | +0.09% | -0.67% | +0.29% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +0.17% | -0.63% | +0.07% |
| 14 Avg +0.30% | +0.15% | +0.10% | +1.26% | +0.16% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.33% | +0.46% | -0.18% | +0.34% | +1.15% |
| 15 Avg +0.13% | +0.31% | +0.35% | -0.42% | -0.36% | +0.94% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.40% | +0.24% | +0.06% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | +0.28% | +0.14% | -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.28% | -0.36% | -0.12% | -0.12% | +0.63% | -0.48% | -0.01% |
| 17 Avg -0.10% | +0.35% | -0.06% | -0.47% | +0.20% | -0.09% | +0.59% | -0.43% | -0.89% | -0.15% | +0.59% | -0.81% | -0.08% |
| 18 Avg -0.16% | -0.34% | -0.24% | -0.52% | +0.07% | -0.25% | +0.09% | +0.55% | -0.57% | -0.53% | +0.35% | +0.09% | -0.59% |
| 19 Avg -0.25% | -0.52% | +0.05% | -0.76% | -0.17% | -0.38% | -0.89% | +0.54% | -0.30% | +0.37% | -0.23% | -0.61% | -0.14% |
| 20 Avg +0.15% | -0.55% | +0.09% | +1.32% | -0.48% | -0.26% | +0.22% | +0.35% | +0.43% | +0.46% | +0.52% | -0.37% | +0.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.24% | -0.44% | -0.33% | +0.12% | -0.23% | -0.58% | -0.25% | +0.32% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.85% | -0.24% |
| 22 Avg -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.61% | -0.81% | +0.17% | -0.21% | -0.20% | +0.03% | +0.18% | -0.13% | +0.13% | +0.20% | +0.21% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.21% | 0.00% | -0.40% | +0.15% | -0.18% | -0.27% | -0.25% | +0.42% | -0.52% | -0.34% | -0.53% | +0.70% |
| 24 Avg -0.21% | +0.32% | -0.35% | -0.13% | +0.35% | +0.02% | -2.29% | -0.31% | +0.02% | -0.26% | +0.17% | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 25 Avg -0.09% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.55% | -0.34% | -0.31% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.67% | -0.12% | -0.26% | +0.21% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.04% | +0.40% | 0.00% | +0.42% | +0.65% | +0.12% | -0.33% | +0.11% | -0.23% | -0.40% | -0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.22% | +0.48% | -0.30% | -1.69% | +0.13% | +0.40% | -1.21% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.72% | +0.07% | +0.20% | +0.01% |
| 28 Avg +0.17% | +0.31% | -0.55% | +0.08% | +0.26% | +0.36% | +1.08% | -0.15% | -0.01% | +1.24% | -0.09% | -0.46% | -0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.17% | +0.63% | - | +0.77% | +0.22% | -0.48% | +0.25% | +0.79% | 0.00% | -0.38% | -0.36% | +0.03% | +0.45% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | +0.28% | - | +0.22% | -0.36% | +0.21% | -0.74% | -0.04% | +0.18% | +0.50% | -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.13% |
| 31 Avg +0.05% | +0.18% | - | +0.64% | - | -0.47% | - | +0.15% | -0.04% | - | -0.12% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
