Check historical price trends and seasonality for Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM.JK).
Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM.JK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -9.50%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is -3.24%.
1 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 16.67%.
1) Overview:
Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM.JK) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rally from late January, experiencing a bullish phase that peaks around February 19 with an average gain of +4.7%. A significant bearish phase then emerges, starting in March and extending through December, with a notable dip of -11.4% around December 23, followed by -9.5% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several opportunities to "buy the dip" present themselves throughout the year. A potential entry point appears in late March as the stock begins its downward trend, offering a chance to capitalize on a short-term rebound. The most pronounced dip occurs in December, specifically around December 23 (-11.4%) and December 31 (-9.5%), which could be considered strong buying opportunities in anticipation of a January and February rally.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a strategy of buying GGRM.JK during the significant dips in December, particularly around December 23, to capitalize on the subsequent rally into February. Investors should be aware of the strong bearish trend that dominates much of the year and consider exiting positions before the end of March to avoid the historically weaker performance in the following months.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 10,600.0000 | 2025-03-09 | 10,525.0000 | -75.0000 | -0.71 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 25,700.0000 | 2023-03-09 | 25,800.0000 | 100.0000 | 0.39 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 37,000.0000 | 2021-03-09 | 36,250.0000 | -750.0000 | -2.03 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 50,775.0000 | 2020-03-09 | 44,975.0000 | -5,800.0000 | -11.42 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 64,475.0000 | 2017-03-09 | 63,625.0000 | -850.0000 | -1.32 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 66,000.0000 | 2016-03-09 | 63,150.0000 | -2,850.0000 | -4.32 |
| Avg | 42,425.0000 | 40,720.8333 | -1,704.17 | -3.24 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.45% | Feb Total +1.42% | Mar Total -2.36% | Apr Total +1.50% | May Total +0.65% | Jun Total +1.65% | Jul Total -4.29% | Aug Total -5.63% | Sep Total +0.31% | Oct Total +4.04% | Nov Total -4.52% | Dec Total -0.48% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.35% | 0.00% | +0.61% | -0.04% | -0.27% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.63% | -1.31% | -0.36% | -0.45% | -1.27% | -0.42% |
| 2 Avg +0.24% | -0.07% | +0.64% | +1.12% | +1.01% | -0.59% | -0.12% | +1.06% | -1.23% | -0.52% | -0.51% | +0.83% | +1.30% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | -0.19% | -1.02% | +0.43% | +0.48% | -0.46% | -0.20% | +0.68% | -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.40% | -0.71% | +0.13% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.31% | +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.63% | 0.00% | -0.16% | +0.11% | +0.28% | -0.14% | +0.06% | +0.55% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.86% | +0.11% | +0.77% | +0.49% | -1.33% | -0.36% | -0.14% | +0.59% | +0.50% | +0.23% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.60% | +0.46% | +0.43% | +0.84% | -0.20% | -0.17% | -0.36% | -0.32% | +0.22% | -0.21% | +0.36% | +0.01% |
| 7 Avg -0.05% | +0.07% | +0.59% | -1.25% | -0.43% | +0.54% | +0.94% | -0.75% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.16% | -0.67% | +0.20% |
| 8 Avg -0.12% | +0.44% | +0.13% | -0.01% | -1.82% | -0.51% | -0.38% | +0.11% | -0.70% | +0.60% | +0.16% | -0.13% | +0.70% |
| 9 Avg -0.19% | -0.87% | +0.33% | -1.42% | +0.97% | +0.50% | -0.44% | +0.21% | -0.79% | -0.93% | +0.34% | -0.06% | -0.17% |
| 10 Avg -0.03% | +0.27% | -0.30% | +0.73% | +0.64% | +0.82% | -0.55% | 0.00% | +0.38% | -0.92% | -0.16% | -0.39% | -0.89% |
| 11 Avg -0.28% | -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.06% | -0.57% | -0.35% | +0.16% | +0.22% | -0.31% | +0.53% | +0.25% | -1.06% | -1.76% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | +0.50% | -0.06% | -0.41% | -0.66% | +0.70% | +0.30% | -0.50% | +0.32% | -0.03% | -0.60% | +0.18% | -0.17% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.22% | -0.74% | +0.03% | -0.24% | -0.19% | +0.47% | -0.32% | -0.34% | +0.34% | +0.30% | +0.40% |
| 14 Avg +0.08% | -0.34% | +0.40% | -0.41% | +0.19% | +0.43% | -0.02% | -0.74% | +0.35% | +1.40% | +0.17% | -0.55% | +0.13% |
| 15 Avg +0.12% | +0.03% | +0.57% | +0.40% | +0.20% | +0.79% | +0.02% | -0.22% | -0.35% | +0.29% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -0.22% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.43% | -1.20% | -0.66% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.58% | +1.08% | -0.59% | +0.42% | +0.87% | -0.74% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | -0.24% | +0.85% | +0.18% | +0.22% | -0.57% | -0.23% | +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.38% | +0.37% | -0.52% | -0.16% |
| 18 Avg -0.03% | -0.39% | +0.43% | -0.24% | -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.42% | +0.65% | -0.66% | -0.18% | -0.10% | -0.16% |
| 19 Avg +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.34% | -0.69% | -0.13% | +0.12% | +0.29% | -0.51% | +0.91% | +0.62% | -0.64% | +0.56% | -0.03% |
| 20 Avg +0.15% | -0.08% | -0.44% | +1.76% | -0.52% | -0.17% | -0.62% | +0.90% | +0.53% | +0.14% | +0.27% | +0.22% | -0.26% |
| 21 Avg -0.14% | -0.20% | -0.18% | -1.27% | -0.35% | -0.12% | +0.72% | +0.04% | -0.22% | -0.14% | +0.58% | -0.37% | -0.12% |
| 22 Avg -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.29% | -1.06% | +0.41% | +0.26% | -0.23% | +0.61% | -0.57% | +1.44% | -0.70% | -0.04% | -0.36% |
| 23 Avg 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.90% | -0.24% | -0.26% | -0.53% | -0.14% | +0.68% | +0.80% | +0.53% | +0.20% | -0.15% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | +1.22% | +0.66% | -0.48% | -0.13% | -0.12% | +0.83% | -0.65% | -0.52% | -1.14% | -0.13% | +0.11% | +0.04% |
| 25 Avg -0.11% | +0.29% | -0.89% | -0.38% | +0.15% | -0.13% | +0.67% | -1.20% | +0.31% | +0.26% | -0.57% | +0.15% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | +0.96% | -0.10% | +2.21% | +1.36% | -0.20% | -0.32% | -1.16% | -0.92% | +0.40% | +0.88% | -0.78% | +0.19% |
| 27 Avg +0.27% | +0.12% | -0.66% | +0.51% | +0.60% | +0.47% | -0.19% | +0.16% | -0.47% | -0.03% | +2.40% | 0.00% | +0.34% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.53% | -0.37% | +0.03% | +0.96% | -0.23% | +0.51% | -0.18% | -0.64% | +0.50% | -0.36% | +0.13% | +0.28% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | -0.71% | - | +1.03% | -0.09% | +0.33% | +0.45% | +0.13% | -0.78% | -1.00% | +0.18% | -0.20% | +0.36% |
| 30 Avg -0.42% | -0.58% | - | +0.12% | -0.80% | -0.36% | +0.58% | -0.50% | -0.56% | 0.00% | -0.82% | -1.99% | +0.29% |
| 31 Avg -0.02% | +0.13% | - | -0.07% | - | -0.07% | - | -1.04% | -0.53% | - | +1.42% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
