Check historical price trends and seasonality for Gold Futures (COMEX) (GC=F).
Gold Futures (COMEX) (GC=F) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +16.48%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.03%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Gold futures tend to exhibit a strong bullish trend throughout the year, starting with gains in January and culminating in significant gains by the end of December. From January to April, there is a consistent upward trajectory, reaching a peak around April 16 with an average gain of +9.8%. After April, the gains continue, reaching +11.5% by July 31, and peaking at +13.3% by September 5. The year concludes with substantial gains, reaching +16.8% by December 27 and +16.4% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential pullback periods appear in late February, around February 27, where gains decrease to +3.8%. Another pullback occurs in mid-May around May 16, with gains decreasing to +8.4%. The largest pullback occurs in late November around November 25, with gains decreasing to +13.3%. These pullbacks could represent buying opportunities, as the overall trend suggests a rebound and continued upward movement in subsequent periods.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a bullish investment strategy for gold futures, particularly focusing on accumulating positions during pullback periods. Consider initiating positions around late February, mid-May, and late November to capitalize on potential rebounds. The strongest gains are typically observed towards the end of the year, making December an opportune time to realize profits.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 2,746.3999 | 2025-01-22 | 2,767.6001 | 21.2002 | 0.77 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 2,026.0000 | 2024-01-22 | 2,019.8000 | -6.2000 | -0.31 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 1,549.0000 | 2020-01-22 | 1,555.3000 | 6.3000 | 0.41 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 1,291.6000 | 2019-01-22 | 1,282.5000 | -9.1000 | -0.70 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 1,335.4000 | 2018-01-22 | 1,330.9000 | -4.5000 | -0.34 |
| Avg | 1,789.6800 | 1,791.2200 | 1.54 | -0.03 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.83% | Feb Total +0.36% | Mar Total +3.01% | Apr Total +2.30% | May Total +0.25% | Jun Total +0.25% | Jul Total +1.96% | Aug Total +0.98% | Sep Total -0.54% | Oct Total +1.56% | Nov Total -0.33% | Dec Total +2.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.34% | -0.17% | -0.43% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.38% | +0.47% | +0.80% |
| 2 Avg +0.12% | +0.23% | -0.25% | +0.20% | +0.64% | -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.16% | +0.19% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.20% | -0.24% |
| 3 Avg +0.15% | +0.11% | -0.12% | +0.63% | +0.09% | +0.28% | -0.04% | +0.12% | -0.19% | +0.37% | +0.26% | -0.22% | +0.47% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.59% | -0.19% | +0.29% | -0.04% | -0.21% | +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.42% | -0.12% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.17% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.18% | +0.19% | +0.06% | +0.14% | -0.07% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.31% | -0.38% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.06% | +0.24% | +0.33% | +0.69% | +0.21% | -0.07% | -0.20% | -0.04% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.06% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.10% | -0.24% | -0.06% | +0.20% | -0.30% | +0.09% | +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.17% | -0.28% | +0.29% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | -0.68% | +0.61% | +0.19% | +0.33% | -0.31% | +0.25% | -0.17% | +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.15% | -0.26% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.78% | -0.16% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.54% | -0.13% |
| 10 Avg +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.21% | +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.22% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.39% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | +0.30% | +0.27% | -0.25% | +0.64% | +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.14% | -0.60% | -0.14% | +0.47% | -0.24% | +0.30% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.31% | -0.01% | -0.31% | +0.05% | -0.53% | +0.25% | 0.00% | +0.17% | +0.21% | -0.03% | +0.22% | -0.24% |
| 13 Avg +0.13% | -0.05% | -0.12% | +0.18% | +0.36% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.18% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +0.76% | +0.11% | +0.23% |
| 14 Avg -0.09% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.41% | -0.47% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.08% | 0.00% | -0.33% | +0.12% |
| 15 Avg -0.08% | +0.22% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.13% | +0.20% | -0.44% | -0.04% | -0.23% | -0.17% | -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.47% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -0.16% | +0.39% | -0.28% | +0.24% | +0.06% | +0.22% | -0.12% | +0.31% | +0.13% | +0.33% |
| 17 Avg +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +1.02% | -0.33% | +0.39% | -0.67% | -0.02% | +0.12% | -0.16% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.36% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.40% | -0.32% | +0.22% | -0.31% | +0.10% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.21% | -0.04% | +0.03% |
| 19 Avg +0.04% | +0.30% | +0.22% | +0.12% | -0.14% | +0.40% | +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.46% | +0.16% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.02% |
| 20 Avg +0.18% | +0.35% | +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.29% | +0.20% | -0.06% | +0.12% | +0.36% | +0.45% | -0.13% | +0.31% |
| 21 Avg -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.19% | -0.24% | +0.47% | +0.10% | -0.43% | -0.39% | +0.21% | -0.12% |
| 22 Avg +0.00% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.25% | -0.15% | +0.37% | -0.11% | -0.08% | +0.11% |
| 23 Avg +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.26% | +0.76% | -0.52% | +0.02% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.60% | -0.30% | +0.22% | -0.49% | +0.25% |
| 24 Avg +0.18% | +0.22% | +0.38% | +0.69% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.41% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.27% |
| 25 Avg -0.15% | +0.27% | -0.65% | -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.15% | -0.05% | -0.45% | -0.15% | -0.13% | +0.25% | -0.31% | +0.05% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | -0.21% | -0.45% | +0.13% | +0.07% | -0.08% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.29% |
| 27 Avg -0.11% | -0.40% | -0.21% | -0.18% | -0.04% | -0.22% | -0.18% | +0.18% | +0.20% | -0.59% | -0.19% | -0.07% | +0.36% |
| 28 Avg +0.05% | +0.01% | -0.57% | -0.06% | +0.28% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.37% | +0.38% | +0.19% | -0.36% | +0.39% | +0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.07% | +0.16% | - | -0.16% | +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.06% | +0.46% | +0.26% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.12% | -0.28% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | +0.22% | - | -0.13% | -0.39% | +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.43% | -0.08% | +0.29% | -0.39% | +0.11% |
| 31 Avg +0.09% | +0.36% | - | +0.16% | - | +0.12% | - | +0.22% | 0.00% | - | -0.35% | - | +0.10% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
