Check historical price trends and seasonality for GBPUSD (GBPUSD=X).
GBPUSD (GBPUSD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -0.80%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 60 days) is +0.16%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
The GBPUSD exhibits distinct seasonal tendencies throughout the year. A bullish phase typically starts in late January, gaining momentum to peak around February 2 with a gain of +1.2%. A significant bearish phase occurs from July through October, culminating in a notable low around October 10 with a drop of -2.5%. The year concludes with a slight downward drift, reaching -0.7% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended period of weakness from July to October. The most pronounced dip tends to occur around October 10, with an average decline of -2.5%, presenting a possible entry point for long positions. Another, smaller dip occurs near the end of the year, around December 31, with a decline of -0.7%. The subsequent recovery phase, starting in late January, could then be targeted for profit-taking.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy based on this seasonality data would involve entering long positions in GBPUSD around October 10, capitalizing on the historically weak period. Another entry point could be around December 31. The goal would be to benefit from the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in late January and peaks around February 2. However, it's crucial to consider other fundamental and technical factors before making any investment decisions, as seasonality represents only an average tendency.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 1.2677 | 2024-03-17 | 1.2746 | 0.0069 | 0.54 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 1.2285 | 2023-03-18 | 1.2110 | -0.0175 | -1.42 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 1.3648 | 2022-03-18 | 1.3160 | -0.0488 | -3.58 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 1.3575 | 2021-03-18 | 1.3976 | 0.0401 | 2.95 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 1.2984 | 2019-03-18 | 1.3297 | 0.0313 | 2.41 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 1.3828 | 2018-03-18 | 1.3939 | 0.0111 | 0.80 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 1.2388 | 2017-03-18 | 1.2351 | -0.0037 | -0.30 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 1.4274 | 2016-03-17 | 1.4255 | -0.0019 | -0.13 |
| Avg | 1.3207 | 1.3229 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.65% | Feb Total -0.41% | Mar Total -0.02% | Apr Total +0.34% | May Total -0.32% | Jun Total -1.12% | Jul Total +0.29% | Aug Total -0.34% | Sep Total -0.88% | Oct Total -0.38% | Nov Total +1.01% | Dec Total +0.49% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.28% | +0.03% | +0.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.40% | -0.21% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.14% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.18% | +0.24% |
| 3 Avg -0.12% | -0.47% | -0.28% | +0.06% | +0.15% | -0.12% | +0.25% | -0.05% | -0.12% | -0.24% | -0.29% | -0.23% | -0.05% |
| 4 Avg +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.14% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.23% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.12% | -0.16% | +0.09% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.07% | +0.09% | +0.18% | -0.37% | +0.10% |
| 6 Avg -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.43% | +0.25% | -0.23% | -0.09% | +0.04% | -0.37% | +0.05% | +0.29% | -0.06% | +0.43% | -0.07% |
| 7 Avg -0.07% | +0.17% | -0.13% | -0.05% | -0.23% | -0.11% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.11% | -0.04% | -0.53% | +0.18% | -0.10% |
| 8 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.22% | +0.02% | +0.27% | +0.09% | -0.05% | -0.10% | +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.06% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.07% | -0.13% | -0.20% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.05% |
| 10 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.14% | -0.09% | -0.15% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.19% | -0.05% |
| 11 Avg +0.04% | -0.17% | +0.05% | -0.20% | +0.11% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.06% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.34% | -0.19% |
| 12 Avg -0.01% | +0.14% | -0.06% | +0.23% | +0.12% | -0.22% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.03% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.15% | +0.17% | -0.22% | -0.41% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.28% | 0.00% | -0.28% | +0.34% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.25% | +0.34% | +0.15% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.19% | -0.28% | +0.31% | +0.27% | +0.17% |
| 15 Avg 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.05% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.27% | +0.24% | -0.24% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.11% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.21% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.31% | -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.29% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | -0.07% | -0.11% | +0.11% | -0.09% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.22% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.06% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | +0.27% | +0.07% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.17% | -0.15% | -0.09% | +0.20% | +0.12% | -0.01% | -0.22% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.46% | +0.23% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.02% | +0.20% | -0.28% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.10% | -0.25% | -0.17% | +0.07% | -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.22% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.08% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.12% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.15% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.18% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.01% | -0.14% | -0.10% | +0.05% | +0.12% | +0.14% | -0.08% | -0.19% | +0.12% | +0.01% | +0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.08% | +0.12% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.16% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.10% | +0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +0.05% | -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.08% | +0.13% | +0.19% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.19% | +0.15% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.27% | 0.00% | +0.06% |
| 26 Avg +0.00% | +0.09% | +0.09% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.14% | -0.76% | +0.09% | -0.02% | +0.07% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.14% | +0.27% | +0.01% | +0.19% | -0.83% | +0.15% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.10% | +0.11% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.02% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.10% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.07% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | - | -0.15% | +0.16% | -0.11% | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.24% | +0.22% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.16% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | -0.11% | - | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.16% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.01% | +0.27% |
| 31 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.08% | - | +0.09% | +0.08% | - | +0.05% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
