Check historical price trends and seasonality for GBPJPY (GBPJPY=X).
GBPJPY (GBPJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.06%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 60 days) is +1.00%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
The GBPJPY pair exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. A bearish phase is typically observed in August, bottoming out around August 7 with an average decline of -1.3%. A strong bullish phase begins in October and extends through December, culminating in gains of +2.7% around December 13 and +2.1% by December 31. The period from January through March tends to be bearish.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several periods offer potential "buy-the-dip" opportunities. The most significant pullback occurs in August, with the lowest point around August 7, presenting a chance to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. Another pullback occurs from early March through mid-April. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after earlier rallies or shifts in market sentiment, setting the stage for renewed upward momentum later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to GBPJPY involves considering short positions in August and accumulating long positions from October through December. Specifically, look for entry points around August 7, anticipating a rebound in the following months. It is important to note that seasonality is just one factor, and traders should also consider fundamental and technical analysis before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 187.7420 | 2024-03-17 | 188.9990 | 1.2570 | 0.67 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 157.5340 | 2023-03-18 | 161.4860 | 3.9520 | 2.51 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 156.3450 | 2022-03-18 | 155.8890 | -0.4560 | -0.29 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 141.0370 | 2021-03-18 | 152.1580 | 11.1210 | 7.89 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 141.7080 | 2019-03-18 | 148.3290 | 6.6210 | 4.67 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 153.9820 | 2018-03-18 | 148.1630 | -5.8190 | -3.78 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 139.8250 | 2017-03-18 | 139.9780 | 0.1530 | 0.11 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 166.9600 | 2016-03-17 | 160.6980 | -6.2620 | -3.75 |
| Avg | 155.6416 | 156.9625 | 1.32 | 1.00 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.10% | Feb Total -0.25% | Mar Total +0.27% | Apr Total +0.55% | May Total +0.22% | Jun Total -0.37% | Jul Total -0.51% | Aug Total -0.57% | Sep Total +0.28% | Oct Total +1.36% | Nov Total +0.97% | Dec Total +0.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.39% | +0.06% | +0.54% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.18% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.32% |
| 2 Avg -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.25% | -0.21% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.38% | +0.20% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.12% | -0.59% | -0.37% | +0.25% | -0.01% | -0.32% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.09% | -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.05% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.27% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.32% | -0.28% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +0.01% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.28% | +0.03% | +0.21% | -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.07% | -0.53% | +0.19% | +0.16% | -0.37% | +0.03% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.33% | +0.01% | -0.28% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.51% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +0.23% | +0.32% | +0.13% |
| 7 Avg -0.06% | +0.27% | -0.22% | -0.27% | -0.24% | -0.13% | +0.21% | -0.08% | -0.10% | -0.03% | -0.30% | +0.29% | -0.05% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.15% | +0.15% | +0.33% | +0.19% | +0.32% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.08% | -0.12% |
| 9 Avg -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.20% | +0.01% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.06% | -0.05% | -0.36% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.02% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.12% | +0.26% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.08% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.21% | -0.07% | -0.19% | +0.03% | +0.16% | -0.12% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.02% | +0.30% | +0.19% | -0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.33% | +0.17% | -0.32% | +0.09% | +0.18% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.18% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | -0.33% | +0.13% | -0.28% | +0.12% | -0.02% | -0.54% | +0.32% | -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.11% | -0.17% | +0.42% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | -0.03% | +0.20% | +0.40% | +0.08% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.05% | +0.29% | +0.04% | +0.41% | +0.15% | -0.19% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | +0.24% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.03% | -0.15% | +0.35% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.22% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | -0.23% | +0.03% | -0.27% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.51% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.05% | +0.03% | -0.09% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.17% | -0.16% | -0.01% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.03% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.01% | +0.19% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.20% | -0.27% | -0.24% | +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.05% | -0.27% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.40% | +0.32% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.10% |
| 20 Avg +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.23% | +0.27% | +0.18% | +0.35% | -0.31% | -0.23% | +0.08% | -0.09% | -0.11% | +0.15% |
| 21 Avg -0.06% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.02% | -0.28% | +0.20% | -0.09% | -0.08% | +0.07% | +0.03% | -0.55% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.19% | -0.03% | +0.27% | -0.11% | +0.19% | -0.31% | +0.18% | +0.03% | -0.06% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.23% | -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.05% | +0.34% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.12% | -0.04% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.22% | +0.19% | -0.20% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.26% | +0.07% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.08% | +0.33% | +0.22% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.02% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.46% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.11% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.22% | -0.10% | +0.18% | -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.87% | -0.08% | +0.08% | +0.03% | +0.15% | +0.11% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.15% | +0.26% | +0.14% | -0.10% | -0.13% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 29 Avg -0.01% | +0.06% | - | +0.19% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.02% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.14% |
| 30 Avg +0.00% | -0.13% | - | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.19% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.34% | +0.02% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.08% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | -0.19% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.03% | - | +0.09% | +0.11% | - | +0.12% | - | -0.07% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
