Check historical price trends and seasonality for GBPCHF (GBPCHF=X).
GBPCHF (GBPCHF=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -3.30%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +0.38%.
7 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 87.50%.
1) Overview:
The GBPCHF pair tends to experience a bullish phase from January, peaking around late February. Specifically, from January 27, the pair shows an average increase of +1.3%. A significant bearish trend then emerges, starting in June and intensifying through August, with the lowest point typically occurring around August 22 at -3.3%. The pair then remains bearish through the end of the year, with another low around December 31 at -3.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the significant pullbacks that occur in the second half of the year. The most pronounced dip occurs around August 22, presenting a strong buying opportunity as the pair tends to rebound after this period. Another potential buying opportunity exists around December 31, following a period of decline. These pullbacks could be attributed to end-of-year profit-taking or shifts in market sentiment, setting the stage for a potential recovery in the new year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to GBPCHF involves capitalizing on the bullish trend in January and February, particularly around January 27. Conversely, consider entering short positions or reducing long exposure during the summer months, especially around August 22 and December 31, to take advantage of the historically bearish tendencies. However, always consider prevailing market conditions and fundamental analysis before making any trading decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 1.0955 | 2024-01-24 | 1.1035 | 0.0080 | 0.73 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 1.1324 | 2023-01-24 | 1.1408 | 0.0084 | 0.74 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 1.2472 | 2022-01-24 | 1.2370 | -0.0102 | -0.82 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 1.2111 | 2021-01-24 | 1.2154 | 0.0043 | 0.36 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 1.2903 | 2019-01-24 | 1.3009 | 0.0106 | 0.82 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 1.3343 | 2018-01-24 | 1.3404 | 0.0061 | 0.46 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 1.2423 | 2017-01-24 | 1.2481 | 0.0058 | 0.47 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 1.4293 | 2016-01-24 | 1.4334 | 0.0041 | 0.29 |
| Avg | 1.2478 | 1.2524 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.69% | Feb Total -0.04% | Mar Total -0.22% | Apr Total +0.39% | May Total -0.67% | Jun Total -2.06% | Jul Total -0.47% | Aug Total -0.79% | Sep Total -0.19% | Oct Total +0.47% | Nov Total +0.61% | Dec Total -0.91% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.11% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.04% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.10% | +0.10% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.17% | -0.20% | +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.09% | -0.27% | +0.19% | -0.15% | -0.09% | +0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | -0.20% | -0.23% | +0.10% | +0.24% | -0.19% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.13% | -0.16% |
| 4 Avg 0.00% | +0.01% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.19% | -0.24% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.27% | +0.01% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.09% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.29% | +0.05% | -0.39% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.34% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.22% | +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.12% | -0.05% | -0.20% | -0.14% | +0.23% | -0.09% | +0.32% | -0.11% |
| 7 Avg -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.04% | -0.14% | -0.34% | -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.35% | +0.06% | -0.02% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.19% | +0.13% | +0.27% | +0.23% | +0.15% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.08% |
| 9 Avg -0.08% | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.31% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.27% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.03% |
| 10 Avg -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.14% | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.15% | +0.13% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.07% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.18% | -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.21% | +0.28% | -0.28% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.26% | +0.03% | +0.25% | +0.02% | -0.16% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.09% | -0.11% | -0.16% | -0.08% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.06% | -0.36% | +0.08% | -0.02% | -0.38% | +0.29% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.25% | +0.37% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.22% | +0.23% | +0.19% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.24% | +0.22% | -0.10% | +0.38% | -0.03% | +0.02% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.07% | -0.04% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.14% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.11% | +0.18% | +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.06% | -0.20% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.04% |
| 18 Avg +0.01% | +0.30% | +0.15% | +0.04% | +0.11% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.14% | +0.18% | +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.27% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.18% | -0.34% | +0.19% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.02% | -0.02% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.10% | +0.08% | +0.01% | -0.38% | -0.08% | +0.14% | -0.20% | -0.10% | -0.34% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.05% | -0.24% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | +0.16% | +0.05% | -0.16% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.12% | +0.18% | +0.08% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.04% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.07% | +0.02% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
| 24 Avg -0.02% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.13% | -0.19% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.12% |
| 25 Avg 0.00% | +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.16% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.18% | -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.08% | -0.17% | +0.10% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.00% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.18% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.04% | -0.05% | -0.46% | +0.11% | -0.04% | +0.07% |
| 27 Avg +0.01% | +0.24% | -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.07% | +0.07% | -0.69% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.01% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.21% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.18% |
| 29 Avg -0.08% | -0.07% | - | +0.01% | -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.01% | -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.04% | -0.13% | -0.12% | -0.23% |
| 30 Avg -0.02% | -0.06% | - | +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.02% | -0.03% |
| 31 Avg +0.05% | -0.02% | - | +0.02% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.09% | +0.27% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
