Check historical price trends and seasonality for GBPAUD (GBPAUD=X).
GBPAUD (GBPAUD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.03%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 30 for 60 days) is +0.61%.
2 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 33.33%.
1) Overview:
GBPAUD exhibits a strong bullish tendency from March through May. The pair starts gaining momentum in March, reaching +1.2% by March 28. This bullish trend extends into April, peaking at +1.4% on April 3 and April 28, before continuing into May where it reaches its highest point on May 19 at +1.7%. A bearish phase typically occurs in July, bottoming out at -1.0% around July 20 and July 22. The end of the year sees a slight positive movement, with a gain of +0.1% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period occurs in July, presenting a potential buying opportunity around July 20, where the average decline reaches -1.0%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong gains in the preceding months. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in August, with the lowest point around August 12 at -1.0%. These dips provide opportunities to enter long positions in anticipation of a rebound.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to GBPAUD would involve looking for entry points during the dips in July and August. Consider initiating long positions around July 20, capitalizing on the -1.0% dip. It's crucial to consider other technical and fundamental factors before making any investment decisions, as seasonality represents only an average tendency.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-30 | 2.0501 | 2025-09-27 | 2.0399 | -0.0102 | -0.50 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-30 | 1.9628 | 2024-09-27 | 1.9456 | -0.0172 | -0.88 |
| 2021 | 2021-07-30 | 1.8879 | 2021-09-27 | 1.8809 | -0.0070 | -0.37 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-30 | 1.8100 | 2020-09-27 | 1.8075 | -0.0025 | -0.14 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-30 | 1.7703 | 2019-09-27 | 1.8251 | 0.0548 | 3.10 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-30 | 1.7717 | 2018-09-27 | 1.8148 | 0.0431 | 2.43 |
| Avg | 1.8755 | 1.8856 | 0.01 | 0.61 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.62% | Feb Total -0.05% | Mar Total +0.20% | Apr Total +0.44% | May Total +0.33% | Jun Total -1.63% | Jul Total -0.30% | Aug Total +0.02% | Sep Total -0.09% | Oct Total +0.26% | Nov Total +0.55% | Dec Total -0.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.10% | -0.11% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.15% | +0.30% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | -0.18% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.42% | -0.22% | -0.17% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.16% | -0.22% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +0.08% | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.36% | +0.33% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.25% | -0.29% | -0.11% | -0.24% | +0.11% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.28% | +0.10% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.15% | -0.02% | +0.14% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.30% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.19% | +0.23% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.02% | -0.17% | -0.08% | -0.18% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.06% | +0.19% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.07% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | -0.24% | +0.10% | +0.28% | -0.03% | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.01% | -0.34% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10 Avg +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.43% | +0.27% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.05% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.03% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.28% | +0.29% | -0.23% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | -0.14% | -0.24% | +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.09% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.13% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.31% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.27% | -0.02% | +0.19% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.30% | +0.25% | -0.23% | -0.04% | +0.19% | -0.27% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.21% | +0.22% | -0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.16% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.16% | -0.14% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.25% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.18% | -0.36% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.10% | +0.25% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.30% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.10% | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.09% |
| 18 Avg +0.07% | +0.49% | -0.07% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.21% | -0.24% | +0.28% | -0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.10% | -0.29% | -0.01% | -0.04% | +0.24% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.07% | +0.25% | -0.21% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.01% | -0.17% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.13% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.13% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.16% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -0.14% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | +0.19% | -0.32% | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.17% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.22% | -0.06% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.01% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | +0.23% | -0.21% | +0.12% | +0.24% | +0.13% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.11% | -0.21% | +0.01% |
| 26 Avg +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.03% |
| 27 Avg -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.83% | +0.14% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.14% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.05% |
| 29 Avg -0.08% | -0.16% | - | -0.30% | -0.12% | -0.10% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | - | -0.08% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.14% | -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.08% |
| 31 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | - | +0.07% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.25% | +0.26% | - | -0.07% | - | -0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
