Check historical price trends and seasonality for GBPAUD (GBPAUD=X).
GBPAUD (GBPAUD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.03%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +0.00%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
GBPAUD exhibits a strong bullish tendency from March through May. The pair starts gaining momentum in March, reaching +1.2% by March 28. This bullish trend extends into April, peaking at +1.4% on April 3 and April 28, before continuing into May where it reaches its highest point on May 19 at +1.7%. A bearish phase typically occurs in July, bottoming out at -1.0% around July 20 and July 22. The end of the year sees a slight positive movement, with a gain of +0.1% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period occurs in July, presenting a potential buying opportunity around July 20, where the average decline reaches -1.0%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong gains in the preceding months. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in August, with the lowest point around August 12 at -1.0%. These dips provide opportunities to enter long positions in anticipation of a rebound.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to GBPAUD would involve looking for entry points during the dips in July and August. Consider initiating long positions around July 20, capitalizing on the -1.0% dip. It's crucial to consider other technical and fundamental factors before making any investment decisions, as seasonality represents only an average tendency.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 1.9349 | 2024-01-24 | 1.9267 | -0.0082 | -0.42 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 1.7575 | 2023-01-24 | 1.7608 | 0.0033 | 0.19 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 1.8925 | 2022-01-24 | 1.8858 | -0.0067 | -0.35 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 1.7654 | 2021-01-24 | 1.7688 | 0.0034 | 0.19 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 1.8056 | 2019-01-24 | 1.8303 | 0.0247 | 1.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 1.7343 | 2018-01-24 | 1.7508 | 0.0165 | 0.95 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 1.6403 | 2017-01-24 | 1.6506 | 0.0103 | 0.63 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 2.0809 | 2016-01-24 | 2.0272 | -0.0537 | -2.58 |
| Avg | 1.8264 | 1.8251 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.62% | Feb Total -0.05% | Mar Total +0.20% | Apr Total +0.44% | May Total +0.33% | Jun Total -1.63% | Jul Total -0.30% | Aug Total +0.02% | Sep Total -0.09% | Oct Total +0.26% | Nov Total +0.55% | Dec Total -0.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.10% | -0.11% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.15% | +0.30% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | -0.18% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.42% | -0.22% | -0.17% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.16% | -0.22% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +0.08% | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.36% | +0.33% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.25% | -0.29% | -0.11% | -0.24% | +0.11% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.28% | +0.10% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.15% | -0.02% | +0.14% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.30% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.19% | +0.23% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.02% | -0.17% | -0.08% | -0.18% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.06% | +0.19% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.07% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | -0.24% | +0.10% | +0.28% | -0.03% | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.01% | -0.34% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10 Avg +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.43% | +0.27% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.05% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.03% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.28% | +0.29% | -0.23% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | -0.14% | -0.24% | +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.09% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.13% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.31% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.27% | -0.02% | +0.19% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.30% | +0.25% | -0.23% | -0.04% | +0.19% | -0.27% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.21% | +0.22% | -0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.16% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.16% | -0.14% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.25% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.18% | -0.36% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.10% | +0.25% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.30% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.10% | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.09% |
| 18 Avg +0.07% | +0.49% | -0.07% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.21% | -0.24% | +0.28% | -0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.10% | -0.29% | -0.01% | -0.04% | +0.24% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.07% | +0.25% | -0.21% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.01% | -0.17% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.13% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.13% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.16% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -0.14% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | +0.19% | -0.32% | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.17% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.22% | -0.06% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.01% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | +0.23% | -0.21% | +0.12% | +0.24% | +0.13% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.11% | -0.21% | +0.01% |
| 26 Avg +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.03% |
| 27 Avg -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.83% | +0.14% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.14% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.05% |
| 29 Avg -0.08% | -0.16% | - | -0.30% | -0.12% | -0.10% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | - | -0.08% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.14% | -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.08% |
| 31 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | - | +0.07% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.25% | +0.26% | - | -0.07% | - | -0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
