Check historical price trends and seasonality for Gap Inc. (GAP).
Gap Inc. (GAP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +5.91%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -7.17%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Gap Inc. exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline significantly from March through October, reaching a low point around May 25 with an average decrease of -10.7%. A strong bullish phase typically begins in November, peaking around November 23 with an average increase of +11.6%, and continues with positive momentum through December, ending on December 31 with an average gain of +5.9%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for Gap Inc. historically occurs between March and May, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The stock tends to decline steadily during this period, reaching its lowest point around May 25, down -10.7% on average. Another potential buying opportunity arises during the summer months, specifically in July, where the stock experiences negative seasonality. These pullbacks could be attributed to various factors, including changes in consumer spending patterns or broader market trends. The stock then typically rebounds strongly starting in November.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Gap Inc. would involve accumulating shares during periods of weakness, particularly around May 25, to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in November. Investors should be aware of the potential for negative performance during the summer months and consider adjusting their positions accordingly. Monitoring broader market conditions and company-specific news is crucial to validate the seasonal trends and make informed investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 22.7400 | 2025-03-16 | 20.1300 | -2.6100 | -11.48 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 19.8300 | 2024-03-15 | 23.5900 | 3.7600 | 18.96 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 18.6100 | 2020-03-15 | 10.8100 | -7.8000 | -41.91 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 24.9100 | 2019-03-16 | 25.2900 | 0.3800 | 1.53 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 32.7100 | 2018-03-16 | 31.7400 | -0.9700 | -2.97 |
| Avg | 23.7600 | 22.3120 | -1.45 | -7.17 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.72% | Feb Total -1.00% | Mar Total -2.58% | Apr Total -1.76% | May Total -3.91% | Jun Total +3.26% | Jul Total +4.41% | Aug Total +1.71% | Sep Total -2.01% | Oct Total +6.92% | Nov Total +11.38% | Dec Total -2.67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.35% | +1.12% | -1.80% | -1.51% | +1.34% | +0.26% | -1.21% | +0.43% | +0.34% | +0.82% | +0.47% |
| 2 Avg +0.21% | -0.30% | +0.36% | +1.75% | -0.61% | +1.35% | +1.60% | -0.62% | -1.51% | +0.11% | -0.56% | +0.89% | +0.03% |
| 3 Avg +0.16% | +0.79% | +0.05% | -1.05% | -1.81% | +0.72% | +1.19% | +1.24% | +0.86% | -0.57% | -0.30% | +0.44% | +0.40% |
| 4 Avg +0.19% | +0.34% | +0.24% | -0.65% | +0.51% | -0.25% | -0.86% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.64% | +0.89% | +0.83% | +0.43% |
| 5 Avg +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.14% | +0.18% | -1.44% | -1.07% | +0.53% | -0.18% | +0.57% | -0.30% | +1.28% | +0.97% | +0.21% |
| 6 Avg +0.04% | +1.33% | -0.06% | -1.45% | +1.80% | -0.43% | -0.15% | -0.14% | +0.56% | -0.81% | -0.19% | -0.65% | +0.65% |
| 7 Avg +0.46% | +0.57% | -0.57% | +1.51% | -0.13% | +0.34% | +0.50% | -0.56% | +0.02% | +0.78% | +1.94% | +0.81% | +0.35% |
| 8 Avg +0.10% | -1.59% | -0.51% | +1.13% | -0.62% | +0.87% | +1.72% | +0.84% | +1.40% | -0.52% | -0.52% | -0.84% | -0.11% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -1.30% | +2.72% | +0.27% | -1.11% | -0.47% | -1.42% | +0.86% | -0.18% | +0.91% | -0.52% |
| 10 Avg -0.16% | -0.21% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.48% | -2.10% | -1.91% | -0.61% | +0.93% | -0.53% | +0.18% | +1.71% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg +0.21% | +1.02% | -0.47% | -1.04% | +0.34% | -1.83% | +0.26% | +1.01% | +1.33% | +0.33% | +0.86% | +1.22% | -0.45% |
| 12 Avg -0.15% | +0.63% | +0.98% | -0.65% | -1.25% | -0.85% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.17% | +0.72% | -0.78% | -0.35% | -0.08% |
| 13 Avg -0.35% | -0.64% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.70% | -0.84% | -0.94% | -0.24% | +0.42% | -0.49% | +0.74% | -0.67% | -0.96% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | +0.26% | +0.17% | -0.96% | +0.12% | +1.44% | -0.68% | -0.94% | -0.58% | -0.03% | +0.17% | +0.85% | -0.47% |
| 15 Avg +0.14% | -0.26% | +0.28% | +0.61% | -0.96% | +0.98% | +0.33% | +0.37% | -0.87% | +0.31% | +0.35% | +0.46% | +0.05% |
| 16 Avg -0.18% | -0.27% | -0.16% | -1.85% | -0.85% | -0.15% | +0.64% | +0.37% | +0.55% | -0.85% | +0.52% | +0.42% | -0.50% |
| 17 Avg +0.51% | +0.65% | -0.16% | +0.03% | +2.01% | +0.13% | +0.39% | -0.60% | -0.32% | -0.70% | +0.59% | +3.89% | +0.21% |
| 18 Avg -0.38% | -0.76% | +0.31% | -0.40% | -0.28% | -0.88% | -0.21% | +0.63% | -0.01% | -1.06% | -0.54% | -1.12% | -0.28% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | -0.28% | +0.15% | +1.22% | +0.18% | -1.36% | -0.16% | +0.81% | +0.03% | -0.12% | -0.45% | -0.79% | +0.12% |
| 20 Avg -0.56% | +0.25% | -0.97% | -0.96% | -1.10% | -0.94% | -0.56% | -0.15% | +0.13% | -1.09% | -0.08% | -0.47% | -0.75% |
| 21 Avg +0.48% | +0.70% | -0.45% | -0.61% | +0.18% | +1.39% | -0.11% | +0.80% | +0.86% | -0.12% | +0.66% | +2.31% | +0.17% |
| 22 Avg -0.10% | -0.13% | +0.28% | -1.37% | -2.30% | +0.01% | +0.46% | -0.33% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +1.25% | +2.09% | -1.18% |
| 23 Avg -0.13% | +0.16% | -0.47% | -3.05% | +0.58% | -0.85% | +0.23% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.64% | +0.76% | +0.37% |
| 24 Avg +0.25% | +0.51% | +1.27% | +3.75% | +0.77% | -0.52% | -0.44% | -0.60% | -0.27% | -0.21% | +0.76% | -1.99% | -0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.24% | +0.20% | -0.41% | +1.67% | +0.26% | -0.47% | -0.17% | +0.47% | +1.48% | +0.23% | +0.92% | -1.27% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.54% | +0.33% | -0.65% | -0.29% | +0.81% | +3.04% | +2.44% | +1.10% | -1.42% | +0.06% | +0.21% | -0.11% | +0.98% |
| 27 Avg +0.10% | -2.03% | -0.41% | -0.85% | +1.80% | +2.63% | -0.39% | +0.16% | +0.27% | +0.91% | -0.79% | +0.46% | -0.51% |
| 28 Avg +0.18% | +1.33% | -0.39% | +0.61% | +1.49% | -1.82% | -0.67% | +0.50% | -0.17% | +1.10% | +0.70% | +0.10% | -0.61% |
| 29 Avg +0.17% | -0.19% | - | +0.90% | +0.01% | -0.39% | +0.12% | +1.30% | +0.74% | -1.06% | -0.26% | +0.81% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg -0.56% | -0.25% | - | -0.11% | -1.97% | -1.38% | -0.11% | -0.05% | -0.39% | -0.15% | -0.41% | -1.09% | -0.24% |
| 31 Avg -0.33% | -0.60% | - | -0.51% | - | +0.57% | - | +0.13% | -0.48% | - | -1.02% | - | -0.39% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
