Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ferrexpo plc (FXPO.L).
Ferrexpo plc (FXPO.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +57.25%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is -3.18%.
1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.
1) Overview:
Ferrexpo exhibits a clear seasonal pattern. The stock tends to decline from late January through April, reaching a low point around April 4 with an average decrease of -10.8%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending from July through December, culminating in substantial gains by December 15 (+59.4%) and December 31 (+57.2%). This suggests a consistent year-end rally.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period appears to be from late January through April. The most pronounced dip occurs around April 4, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a -10.8% decline. Another potential buying opportunity arises in May and June, although the pullbacks are less severe. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after earlier gains or broader market corrections, setting the stage for a rebound starting in July.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, an investment strategy for Ferrexpo could involve accumulating shares during the weakness from late January to April, specifically around April 4. The goal would be to capitalize on the subsequent rally that typically occurs from July through December. Investors should be aware that seasonality is just one factor and should consider other fundamental and technical indicators before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 78.2000 | 2025-03-09 | 75.9000 | -2.3000 | -2.94 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 147.6000 | 2023-03-09 | 138.6000 | -9.0000 | -6.10 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 143.7000 | 2022-03-09 | 141.0000 | -2.7000 | -1.88 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 344.8000 | 2021-03-09 | 338.6000 | -6.2000 | -1.80 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 135.7000 | 2020-03-09 | 112.0000 | -23.7000 | -17.46 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 157.3000 | 2017-03-09 | 139.3000 | -18.0000 | -11.44 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 32.2500 | 2016-03-09 | 38.5000 | 6.2500 | 19.38 |
| Avg | 148.5071 | 140.5571 | -7.95 | -3.18 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.02% | Feb Total -0.40% | Mar Total -7.20% | Apr Total +5.30% | May Total -0.46% | Jun Total -0.97% | Jul Total +11.37% | Aug Total -1.12% | Sep Total -0.77% | Oct Total +3.04% | Nov Total +12.42% | Dec Total +13.83% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.90% | 0.00% | +3.25% | -0.02% | -0.20% | +2.19% | +1.46% | -0.24% | +1.09% | +0.78% | -1.34% | +1.93% | +1.85% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.23% | -1.01% | -0.10% | +0.44% | +1.24% | +1.14% | +1.18% | -3.77% | +0.18% | +0.41% | -0.39% | +1.66% |
| 3 Avg +0.14% | -1.28% | -0.75% | +2.40% | -0.29% | -0.54% | +0.54% | -0.02% | +0.66% | -0.68% | +0.24% | +1.19% | +0.22% |
| 4 Avg -0.51% | +0.61% | -2.64% | -0.79% | -2.28% | -0.53% | -0.10% | -0.03% | -1.75% | +0.20% | +1.21% | -1.09% | +1.02% |
| 5 Avg +0.51% | +1.97% | +0.65% | +0.39% | +0.80% | +0.63% | -0.78% | -0.47% | +1.95% | -0.85% | +0.11% | +0.68% | +1.04% |
| 6 Avg +0.13% | +1.20% | +1.86% | +0.20% | -0.20% | -1.90% | +0.81% | -0.96% | -0.54% | -1.52% | -1.22% | +2.44% | +1.43% |
| 7 Avg +0.31% | -1.16% | +0.62% | -0.41% | +0.79% | -0.37% | -0.05% | +1.09% | +2.31% | +0.26% | +0.56% | -1.36% | +1.41% |
| 8 Avg +0.40% | -1.38% | -0.88% | -0.36% | +2.82% | -0.12% | +1.22% | +1.63% | +1.29% | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.88% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.59% | -1.64% | -0.81% | -0.68% | +0.42% | -0.42% | +3.87% | -0.20% | -0.47% | +0.37% | -0.96% |
| 10 Avg +0.19% | -0.15% | +0.60% | -0.84% | +1.35% | +0.36% | -0.39% | +0.12% | +0.27% | +0.07% | -0.66% | +1.82% | -0.24% |
| 11 Avg +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.79% | -1.81% | -0.88% | +0.77% | +0.31% | -1.24% | -1.36% | +0.99% | +0.48% | +2.04% | +1.70% |
| 12 Avg +0.59% | +0.47% | +1.21% | -0.41% | +1.40% | +0.14% | -0.45% | +2.00% | -0.16% | +0.93% | +1.40% | -0.35% | +0.88% |
| 13 Avg -0.45% | -0.39% | +0.45% | +0.92% | -0.01% | -1.46% | -1.11% | +0.26% | -1.89% | -0.68% | +0.52% | -0.09% | -1.93% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -1.06% | -0.25% | +1.27% | +0.76% | +0.76% | -1.18% | -0.14% | -0.50% | -0.91% | +0.16% | -0.41% | +1.93% |
| 15 Avg +0.14% | -0.43% | +1.12% | -1.13% | -0.38% | +0.49% | -0.69% | +1.15% | -0.39% | +2.01% | -0.76% | +0.13% | +0.56% |
| 16 Avg +0.24% | +0.42% | +1.53% | +1.41% | -0.59% | +0.34% | -0.61% | -0.67% | -0.34% | -0.39% | +0.85% | +0.02% | +0.88% |
| 17 Avg +0.25% | -0.13% | +0.97% | +2.21% | +0.68% | +0.29% | -0.37% | -0.04% | -0.34% | -0.50% | +1.21% | +0.03% | -1.05% |
| 18 Avg +0.23% | +1.30% | -0.52% | +0.89% | -0.48% | +0.08% | -0.82% | +0.62% | +0.29% | +0.42% | +0.72% | +0.03% | +0.20% |
| 19 Avg +0.23% | -0.90% | +0.46% | -1.89% | +0.88% | +0.36% | -0.14% | +0.62% | +1.22% | +1.00% | +0.24% | +0.05% | +0.88% |
| 20 Avg -0.23% | -0.49% | -2.84% | -0.95% | +1.58% | +0.91% | -1.27% | +0.77% | -1.44% | -1.55% | +1.61% | +0.46% | +0.41% |
| 21 Avg -0.49% | -1.39% | +0.69% | -2.05% | -0.37% | -0.53% | -0.32% | +0.25% | -1.69% | -0.24% | -1.51% | +0.87% | +0.46% |
| 22 Avg +0.27% | +0.05% | +0.29% | -1.90% | -0.33% | -0.60% | +0.84% | +0.46% | +1.31% | +0.46% | +0.32% | +1.36% | +0.92% |
| 23 Avg +0.16% | -0.60% | +0.49% | -2.38% | +2.34% | -0.30% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.34% | +0.25% | +0.65% | +0.69% | +0.40% |
| 24 Avg -0.07% | +0.75% | -5.57% | +1.06% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.89% | +1.07% | +1.01% | -0.73% | -0.76% | +2.74% | +0.42% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | -0.53% | +1.07% | -0.72% | -0.56% | -0.05% | -0.20% | +2.81% | -0.85% | +0.55% | +1.12% | -0.91% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.27% | -0.53% | -0.24% | -0.79% | -2.83% | +0.64% | +1.56% | -0.38% | +0.12% | -0.25% | +0.36% | -0.86% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | +0.54% | -0.75% | -1.33% | -0.24% | +0.46% | +0.37% | +1.08% | +0.08% | -0.78% | -0.30% | +0.27% | +0.30% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | +0.57% | -0.01% | -0.32% | +1.85% | -0.53% | +0.77% | +0.34% | -0.26% | -0.63% | -2.35% | +0.72% | -0.22% |
| 29 Avg +0.40% | +0.51% | - | +1.08% | +0.05% | -0.95% | -0.81% | +1.09% | +0.23% | +1.09% | +1.32% | 0.00% | +0.75% |
| 30 Avg -0.34% | -0.08% | - | +1.20% | -0.06% | +0.22% | -0.26% | -1.75% | -1.18% | -0.05% | +0.29% | -0.85% | -1.17% |
| 31 Avg -0.16% | +1.60% | - | -0.41% | - | -1.77% | - | +1.21% | -0.69% | - | -1.11% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
