Check historical price trends and seasonality for First Solar (FSLR).
First Solar (FSLR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +25.60%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -10.68%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
First Solar exhibits a strong bullish tendency in the latter half of the year. The stock tends to decline from early January, bottoming out around May 1 with a loss of -4.9%. A strong upward trend begins in late May, continuing through the end of the year, culminating in significant gains around December 22 (+29.7%) and December 31 (+25.5%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period appears to be between January and May. The stock experiences consistent declines during this period, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The lowest point tends to occur around May 1, with an average decline of -4.9%, suggesting this could be an optimal time to initiate a long position in anticipation of the subsequent rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in First Solar would involve accumulating shares during the January-May period, particularly around May 1, to capitalize on the dip. The stock tends to rally strongly from late May through December, making this a potentially profitable period. Investors should consider this seasonal pattern alongside other fundamental and technical analyses.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 190.8900 | 2025-03-16 | 132.5100 | -58.3800 | -30.58 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 149.1000 | 2024-03-15 | 147.4200 | -1.6800 | -1.13 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 53.9300 | 2020-03-15 | 35.9600 | -17.9700 | -33.32 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 47.3000 | 2019-03-16 | 53.7100 | 6.4100 | 13.55 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 71.2200 | 2018-03-16 | 69.8700 | -1.3500 | -1.90 |
| Avg | 102.4880 | 87.8940 | -14.59 | -10.68 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.02% | Feb Total -3.10% | Mar Total +1.73% | Apr Total -0.67% | May Total +9.83% | Jun Total -0.25% | Jul Total +8.58% | Aug Total +4.43% | Sep Total -0.81% | Oct Total +4.82% | Nov Total +3.02% | Dec Total -1.44% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +2.22% | -0.46% | -1.01% | +0.51% | -0.32% | +1.23% | +0.47% | +0.13% | +1.55% | -1.21% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | +1.26% | -1.98% | -0.54% | +0.20% | +0.31% | -0.21% | +0.58% | -0.50% | -0.19% | -0.18% | +0.81% | +0.27% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.18% | -1.19% | -0.26% | +1.43% | +0.91% | +1.43% | +0.49% | -1.25% | -0.24% | -0.73% | -0.44% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | +0.95% | +0.64% | +0.50% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.40% | 0.00% | -0.46% | +0.18% | +0.41% | -1.38% | -1.08% |
| 5 Avg -0.14% | -0.67% | -1.17% | +0.11% | -1.35% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -1.03% | -0.22% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +1.96% | +0.47% |
| 6 Avg -0.17% | +1.19% | +0.20% | -0.70% | +0.49% | -0.84% | -0.82% | +0.95% | +0.30% | -0.54% | +0.30% | -1.46% | -1.06% |
| 7 Avg +0.26% | +0.57% | -0.33% | +0.88% | -0.23% | +1.12% | -0.87% | -0.25% | +1.63% | +0.09% | -0.32% | -0.13% | +0.95% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | -0.44% | -0.33% | +0.16% | -0.12% | -0.10% | +0.90% | +0.86% | +0.74% | -0.13% | -0.04% | -1.11% | +0.07% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | +0.49% | +1.83% | -0.25% | +1.28% | +0.20% | -1.19% | +0.22% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.39% | -1.17% | -0.79% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | +0.35% | -1.01% | -0.45% | +1.08% | +0.65% | +0.31% | +0.21% | -0.54% | -0.04% | -0.28% | -0.09% | +0.74% |
| 11 Avg +0.24% | +1.29% | -0.37% | +0.75% | +0.30% | -1.19% | +0.19% | -0.30% | -0.18% | +1.55% | +0.34% | +0.06% | +0.44% |
| 12 Avg +0.25% | -0.04% | +1.05% | -0.08% | -0.37% | +2.42% | +0.17% | +0.92% | +0.91% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.83% | -0.99% |
| 13 Avg +0.18% | -0.57% | +0.26% | -0.53% | +0.27% | +2.03% | -0.56% | -0.52% | +0.92% | -0.47% | +0.63% | -0.64% | +1.38% |
| 14 Avg +0.23% | +0.44% | +0.59% | -0.99% | +0.21% | +0.72% | -1.08% | +1.17% | -0.65% | +0.35% | -0.14% | +2.12% | +0.06% |
| 15 Avg -0.02% | -1.55% | +1.08% | +0.18% | -1.29% | -0.32% | -0.40% | -1.51% | +0.48% | +0.49% | +0.26% | +0.94% | +1.36% |
| 16 Avg -0.36% | -0.84% | -0.70% | -0.38% | -0.19% | -0.87% | -0.05% | -0.73% | -0.38% | -0.05% | +0.47% | -0.68% | +0.06% |
| 17 Avg -0.24% | -0.06% | -0.29% | -0.46% | +1.95% | -0.88% | -1.63% | +0.90% | -1.40% | -0.20% | -0.42% | +0.03% | -0.42% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | -0.61% | -0.39% | -1.25% | +0.39% | +0.55% | +0.41% | +0.99% | +1.37% | -0.70% | -0.33% | -0.34% | +0.63% |
| 19 Avg +0.34% | -0.57% | +0.70% | +1.75% | -0.18% | -0.20% | +0.15% | +0.87% | -0.03% | +0.42% | +0.80% | +0.47% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg -0.20% | +0.40% | +0.24% | +0.31% | -0.66% | +0.55% | -0.30% | +0.67% | -0.43% | -1.12% | -0.63% | -0.36% | -1.04% |
| 21 Avg -0.14% | -0.54% | -1.83% | -0.10% | -0.54% | +0.77% | +0.78% | -0.04% | -0.74% | -0.16% | +0.24% | -0.14% | +0.64% |
| 22 Avg +0.23% | -0.64% | -1.38% | -0.44% | +1.49% | +1.20% | +0.32% | +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.81% | -0.06% | +0.65% | +0.94% |
| 23 Avg +0.17% | +0.71% | -0.09% | -0.96% | +0.70% | -0.24% | +1.14% | +0.06% | +0.36% | +0.47% | 0.00% | +0.49% | -0.63% |
| 24 Avg +0.30% | -0.47% | +1.94% | +0.21% | -0.31% | +1.61% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.39% | -0.61% | +0.52% | +0.59% | -0.15% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | -0.34% | -1.35% | +0.51% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.44% | +0.55% | +0.30% | -0.29% | -0.31% | +1.11% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.26% | +0.70% | +0.48% | +1.26% | +0.61% | +0.97% | -0.70% | +0.05% | +0.43% | -0.87% | -0.61% | +0.26% | +0.56% |
| 27 Avg +0.17% | -1.52% | -1.30% | +0.06% | +1.41% | +0.38% | +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.66% | +1.70% | +0.87% | -0.16% |
| 28 Avg +0.35% | +0.47% | +0.62% | +0.55% | -2.20% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +2.38% | +0.31% | +0.59% | +2.15% | +0.07% | -0.80% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | -0.16% | - | +0.28% | +0.56% | +0.20% | +0.40% | +1.00% | +0.32% | -0.34% | -1.27% | -0.78% | -0.56% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | -0.65% | - | +0.07% | -3.61% | +1.12% | +1.18% | -0.39% | +0.43% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.87% | -0.06% |
| 31 Avg +0.17% | +0.72% | - | +0.23% | - | -1.12% | - | -0.07% | -0.31% | - | +2.23% | - | -0.50% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
