Check historical price trends and seasonality for Fresnillo plc (FRES.L).
Fresnillo plc (FRES.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +48.75%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 14 for 30 days) is +10.27%.
7 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 87.50%.
1) Overview:
Fresnillo plc exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to decline in early January, reaching a low around January 28 with an average decrease of -4.0%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the year and culminating in significant gains towards the end of December, with average increases of +49.9% on December 30 and +48.7% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in late January, specifically around January 28, as the stock typically experiences a pullback during this period. Another pullback occurs around February 28, presenting another chance to buy before the stock begins its climb. The stock also experiences a dip in early March, bottoming out around March 2, before recovering later in the month.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Fresnillo plc involves accumulating shares during the late January dip. The data suggests holding through the year to capitalize on the strong upward trend that typically peaks in late December. Investors should be aware that seasonality is just one factor and should consider other market conditions and company-specific news.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-14 | 916.5000 | 2025-04-12 | 991.0000 | 74.5000 | 8.13 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-14 | 464.4000 | 2024-04-12 | 622.5000 | 158.1000 | 34.04 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-14 | 736.6000 | 2023-04-12 | 785.2000 | 48.6000 | 6.60 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-14 | 721.6000 | 2022-04-12 | 799.8000 | 78.2000 | 10.84 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-14 | 802.4000 | 2019-04-12 | 795.6000 | -6.8000 | -0.85 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-14 | 1,216.0000 | 2018-04-12 | 1,266.5000 | 50.5000 | 4.15 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-14 | 1,443.0000 | 2017-04-12 | 1,616.0000 | 173.0000 | 11.99 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-14 | 925.0000 | 2016-04-12 | 992.0000 | 67.0000 | 7.24 |
| Avg | 903.1875 | 983.5750 | 80.39 | 10.27 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.68% | Feb Total -0.50% | Mar Total +4.73% | Apr Total +2.80% | May Total +4.51% | Jun Total +4.42% | Jul Total +2.52% | Aug Total +0.75% | Sep Total +1.96% | Oct Total +1.22% | Nov Total -2.88% | Dec Total +6.75% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.34% | 0.00% | +0.99% | -0.85% | +0.08% | -0.37% | +1.04% | +0.66% | -0.66% | +0.07% | +0.30% | +1.31% | +1.51% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.48% | -1.22% | -0.05% | +0.87% | -0.14% | +1.06% | -0.12% | -0.56% | +1.00% | -0.38% | +0.08% | -0.30% |
| 3 Avg +0.18% | +0.07% | -0.24% | +0.29% | -0.32% | -0.13% | +0.04% | +1.13% | -0.27% | +0.54% | +0.57% | -0.11% | +0.57% |
| 4 Avg +0.22% | +1.41% | +0.34% | +1.38% | -0.21% | -0.29% | -0.43% | +1.39% | -0.41% | +0.16% | -0.37% | +0.31% | -0.58% |
| 5 Avg +0.10% | +0.50% | +0.70% | +1.09% | +0.20% | +0.45% | -0.13% | -0.22% | +1.13% | -0.78% | -0.85% | +0.02% | -0.92% |
| 6 Avg +0.21% | -0.55% | +0.65% | -0.54% | +0.82% | +1.59% | +1.23% | -0.46% | -0.02% | -0.27% | +0.11% | +0.13% | -0.16% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | +0.18% | +0.32% | -1.31% | +0.95% | +0.25% | -0.80% | -0.51% | +0.98% | +0.65% | +0.28% | -0.18% | +0.65% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | -0.88% | +0.22% | +0.85% | +0.27% | -0.51% | -0.16% | -0.27% | +0.09% | -0.15% | +0.17% | +0.55% | +0.24% |
| 9 Avg +0.12% | +0.07% | -0.58% | -0.39% | +0.96% | -0.18% | +0.56% | +0.23% | +0.90% | -0.55% | +0.51% | -0.63% | +0.53% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | +0.51% | +0.04% | -0.32% | +0.41% | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.42% | -0.36% | +0.21% | +0.27% | -0.58% | -0.17% |
| 11 Avg +0.31% | -0.76% | +0.29% | +0.23% | +1.38% | +0.45% | +0.34% | +0.86% | +0.04% | +0.86% | +0.36% | -1.25% | +0.99% |
| 12 Avg -0.11% | +0.77% | +0.66% | -0.84% | +0.56% | -1.45% | -0.29% | +0.17% | +0.40% | +0.61% | +0.32% | -1.26% | -0.93% |
| 13 Avg +0.50% | -0.60% | +0.14% | +0.66% | +1.33% | +0.46% | +0.85% | +1.11% | -0.01% | -0.51% | +1.31% | +0.93% | +0.28% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | -0.38% | +1.14% | -0.25% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.69% | -0.39% | -0.81% | -0.48% | -0.26% | -0.42% | +0.44% |
| 15 Avg -0.19% | -0.28% | -0.03% | -0.21% | -0.49% | +1.02% | -1.34% | -0.07% | -1.17% | +0.11% | -0.16% | +0.65% | -0.35% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | -0.51% | +0.57% | -0.19% | +0.14% | +0.68% | -0.15% | +0.01% | -0.29% | -0.29% | +0.13% | -0.58% | +0.58% |
| 17 Avg +0.20% | -0.51% | +0.27% | +2.67% | -0.86% | +1.36% | -0.52% | +0.45% | +0.43% | -0.41% | -0.83% | +0.25% | +0.13% |
| 18 Avg +0.05% | -0.44% | +0.35% | +0.37% | +0.78% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.60% | +0.14% | +0.13% | +0.39% | -0.81% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.26% | +0.16% | -1.17% | -0.33% | +0.15% | -0.47% | -0.53% | -0.42% | +1.48% | -0.12% | +1.01% | +0.25% |
| 20 Avg +0.28% | +0.47% | +0.39% | +0.79% | -0.17% | +0.71% | +0.55% | -0.30% | +0.23% | +0.42% | +0.48% | -0.27% | +0.07% |
| 21 Avg -0.15% | -0.02% | -0.47% | +0.42% | -0.37% | -0.12% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.41% | -0.76% | -0.42% | +0.42% |
| 22 Avg +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.29% | -0.25% | +0.11% | +0.48% | +0.64% | +0.77% | +0.19% | +0.92% | +0.38% | -1.45% | +0.19% |
| 23 Avg -0.23% | -0.95% | +0.25% | +0.20% | -1.34% | +0.04% | +0.62% | -0.48% | +0.81% | -1.00% | +0.78% | -1.75% | +0.10% |
| 24 Avg +0.27% | +0.94% | +0.37% | +1.92% | -0.27% | -0.59% | +1.00% | -0.20% | +0.11% | -0.15% | -0.39% | +0.47% | +0.05% |
| 25 Avg -0.36% | -0.31% | -0.73% | +0.34% | -0.97% | -0.45% | -0.29% | -1.36% | -0.37% | -0.01% | +0.25% | -0.42% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | -1.25% | -1.23% | +0.62% | +0.50% | +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.16% | +0.75% | +0.13% | -0.32% | +1.66% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.31% | -1.75% | -1.36% | -0.45% | -0.32% | -0.27% | +0.32% | +0.65% | +0.22% | -1.31% | -0.58% | -0.01% | +1.17% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.07% | -2.21% | +0.03% | -0.63% | +0.89% | -0.57% | +1.11% | +0.67% | +0.30% | -0.66% | +0.71% | +0.61% |
| 29 Avg +0.69% | +1.82% | - | -0.07% | +0.33% | +0.87% | +0.36% | +1.15% | +0.82% | +0.46% | +0.73% | +0.43% | +0.74% |
| 30 Avg -0.35% | +0.46% | - | +0.29% | -0.78% | +0.02% | +0.16% | -2.31% | -1.29% | +0.22% | -0.09% | -1.25% | +0.73% |
| 31 Avg -0.27% | +0.13% | - | -0.53% | - | -0.49% | - | +0.18% | -0.70% | - | -0.37% | - | -0.14% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
