Check historical price trends and seasonality for Fluor (FLR).
Fluor (FLR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.94%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -17.00%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Fluor (FLR) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rally strongly from early January, peaking around January 24 with an average gain of +6.1%. A significant bearish phase then occurs, starting in February and extending through September, with the most pronounced dip on September 8, averaging -10.2%. A bullish trend then emerges in late November, leading to a positive close to the year, with gains on December 8 (+6.6%) and December 31 (+2.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended pullback from February through September. The most significant dip occurs around September 8, presenting a strong buy-the-dip opportunity, as the stock tends to rebound in late November. Another smaller pullback occurs in early May, bottoming out around May 13, which could also be considered a buying opportunity. Investors should monitor for signs of reversal during these periods to capitalize on the subsequent rallies.
3) Summary:
The 10-year average seasonality suggests a strategy of buying Fluor (FLR) during the significant dip in September, particularly around September 8, and holding through the end of the year to capture the typical December rally. Another potential entry point is around May 13. Investors should be aware of the historical tendency for declines from February through September and manage their positions accordingly, considering external factors that may influence the stock's performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 49.5100 | 2025-03-16 | 36.8100 | -12.7000 | -25.65 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 37.1500 | 2024-03-15 | 38.7000 | 1.5500 | 4.17 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 20.7900 | 2020-03-15 | 6.9800 | -13.8100 | -66.43 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 36.4400 | 2019-03-16 | 37.7400 | 1.3000 | 3.57 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 58.0300 | 2018-03-16 | 57.6400 | -0.3900 | -0.67 |
| Avg | 40.3840 | 35.5740 | -4.81 | -17.00 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.23% | Feb Total -7.61% | Mar Total +6.94% | Apr Total +4.32% | May Total -4.67% | Jun Total +4.12% | Jul Total +1.52% | Aug Total -6.71% | Sep Total +0.87% | Oct Total +4.78% | Nov Total +10.09% | Dec Total -1.81% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | +1.02% | +0.39% | -0.67% | -1.17% | +1.14% | -1.23% | -3.39% | -0.40% | +0.50% | +2.69% | +0.03% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.94% | +1.97% | +0.30% | -2.39% | +1.62% | -0.13% | -2.40% | +0.27% | +0.55% | +1.13% | +1.08% |
| 3 Avg +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.11% | -0.44% | -0.67% | -0.38% | +0.77% | +0.65% | +1.27% | -1.13% | +0.63% | +1.66% | +0.04% |
| 4 Avg -0.03% | +0.59% | +0.89% | +0.40% | -1.36% | -2.28% | +0.81% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.63% | +0.40% | -1.16% | +0.48% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | +0.10% | -0.06% | +0.11% | -0.17% | -1.26% | +0.82% | -0.73% | -1.25% | +0.49% | +0.61% | +2.70% | -1.16% |
| 6 Avg +0.03% | +0.76% | +0.30% | -1.11% | +0.48% | -0.19% | +0.68% | -0.64% | +0.67% | -0.90% | +0.61% | -0.29% | -0.04% |
| 7 Avg +0.30% | -0.51% | -0.18% | +1.72% | -0.04% | +0.34% | +0.39% | +0.63% | -0.61% | -0.04% | +1.13% | +1.07% | -0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | -0.54% | -0.27% | +0.09% | +0.58% | +0.44% | +1.00% | -0.04% | +0.79% | -1.15% | 0.00% | -1.79% | +1.19% |
| 9 Avg +0.14% | +0.22% | -0.22% | -1.77% | +1.90% | -0.13% | -0.47% | +0.53% | -0.19% | +2.10% | -0.33% | +0.59% | -0.55% |
| 10 Avg +0.14% | -0.28% | -0.69% | +0.75% | +0.65% | +0.52% | -1.73% | +0.85% | +0.90% | -0.29% | -0.02% | +1.25% | -0.22% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | +0.49% | -0.60% | +0.05% | +0.44% | +0.07% | +0.03% | +0.65% | +0.87% | +0.65% | -1.56% | -0.86% | -0.36% |
| 12 Avg +0.21% | +1.60% | +1.93% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -1.70% | +0.31% | +0.55% | -0.50% | +0.69% | +0.20% | -0.90% | +0.39% |
| 13 Avg -0.49% | +0.35% | -0.50% | +1.09% | -1.04% | -2.97% | -0.59% | -0.38% | -0.73% | -0.64% | +0.86% | -0.61% | -0.69% |
| 14 Avg +0.27% | +1.54% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +0.98% | +1.11% | -1.04% | -0.05% | -0.54% | +0.33% | -0.44% | +1.03% | -0.05% |
| 15 Avg +0.18% | -0.28% | +0.99% | -0.79% | -0.68% | +1.15% | +0.15% | +1.04% | -0.75% | -0.13% | +0.37% | +1.03% | +0.07% |
| 16 Avg -0.09% | +0.34% | -0.40% | -1.58% | -0.31% | +0.07% | +0.01% | -0.51% | +0.09% | +0.45% | +0.88% | +0.46% | -0.58% |
| 17 Avg -0.32% | -0.48% | -0.09% | -1.57% | +1.68% | -0.12% | -1.05% | -0.31% | -0.99% | -0.37% | +0.32% | -0.36% | -0.51% |
| 18 Avg -0.25% | +0.78% | -3.85% | -2.41% | +0.25% | +1.65% | +0.84% | +0.10% | -0.10% | +0.55% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.70% |
| 19 Avg +0.73% | -0.49% | -0.09% | +7.14% | -0.56% | -0.78% | +0.15% | +0.81% | -0.71% | +1.57% | +1.10% | +0.62% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.35% | +0.18% | -0.58% | -0.58% | -0.88% | +0.41% | +0.05% | +0.32% | -0.68% | -1.20% | +0.05% | -0.94% | -0.37% |
| 21 Avg +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.54% | +1.14% | -0.46% | +0.73% | +0.36% | +0.04% | -0.31% | -0.76% | +0.45% | +0.48% | +0.53% |
| 22 Avg -0.13% | +0.04% | +0.68% | -1.55% | +0.04% | -0.34% | -0.13% | -0.57% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.83% | -0.40% |
| 23 Avg +0.50% | +0.20% | +0.95% | -0.25% | +1.96% | +0.58% | -0.04% | +0.74% | +0.58% | +0.15% | -0.39% | +0.76% | +0.79% |
| 24 Avg +0.11% | +0.98% | -0.36% | +0.21% | +0.39% | +0.22% | -0.86% | -0.40% | +0.77% | +0.13% | -0.32% | +0.96% | -0.44% |
| 25 Avg +0.05% | -0.36% | -1.34% | +0.56% | -0.82% | +0.66% | -0.14% | +0.82% | +0.42% | -0.15% | +0.48% | +0.51% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | -0.19% | -2.25% | +2.68% | +0.41% | +0.93% | -0.65% | +0.24% | -0.99% | -0.44% | -0.20% | -0.43% | +1.13% |
| 27 Avg -0.16% | -2.28% | -0.80% | -1.09% | +1.26% | +1.37% | +0.05% | -0.40% | +0.44% | +0.78% | -0.60% | -0.16% | -0.47% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.55% | -0.75% | -0.12% | +0.41% | -0.95% | -0.01% | +0.13% | +0.45% | +0.10% | +1.62% | -0.10% | -0.52% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | -0.20% | - | +0.22% | +0.68% | -0.19% | +0.75% | +0.09% | +0.22% | -0.13% | -0.50% | -0.33% | -0.48% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | -0.53% | - | -0.07% | -0.34% | +0.39% | +0.89% | -0.47% | -0.23% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +0.35% | +0.26% |
| 31 Avg -0.32% | -0.57% | - | +1.51% | - | -0.49% | - | -0.82% | -0.08% | - | -1.87% | - | +0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
