Check historical price trends and seasonality for Five Below (FIVE).
Five Below (FIVE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +25.95%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.40%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Five Below's stock exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a significant bullish phase starting in late February and continuing through December. The most substantial gains typically occur in December, culminating around December 31 with an average increase of +25.9%. However, there is a notable bearish period in March, reaching its lowest point around March 22 with an average decrease of -6.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 22, where the stock tends to experience a significant pullback of -6.5%. This decline could be attributed to profit-taking after the initial part of the year or broader market corrections. Another potential buying opportunity arises in early April, with a low around April 5, although the magnitude of this dip is smaller. These pullbacks are typically followed by a rebound, presenting attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the stock's overall upward trend.
3) Summary:
An effective investment strategy for Five Below might involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, specifically around March 22, to take advantage of the subsequent rally. Given the strong positive seasonality into the end of the year, holding through December 31 could maximize returns, as the stock tends to peak around that time with an average increase of +25.9%. However, it's crucial to consider individual risk tolerance and conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 92.8300 | 2025-03-16 | 73.0000 | -19.8300 | -21.36 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 190.0100 | 2024-03-15 | 201.5700 | 11.5600 | 6.08 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 116.6000 | 2020-03-15 | 76.5600 | -40.0400 | -34.34 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 117.7400 | 2019-03-16 | 116.9400 | -0.8000 | -0.68 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 66.7700 | 2018-03-16 | 68.9600 | 2.1900 | 3.28 |
| Avg | 116.7900 | 107.4060 | -9.38 | -9.40 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.98% | Feb Total +0.68% | Mar Total -0.50% | Apr Total +4.44% | May Total +1.28% | Jun Total +3.43% | Jul Total -0.37% | Aug Total +1.49% | Sep Total +4.47% | Oct Total +2.33% | Nov Total +5.16% | Dec Total +7.86% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.79% | -0.15% | -0.60% | -0.97% | -0.34% | +0.48% | -0.70% | +1.06% | +0.12% | +0.51% | +1.82% |
| 2 Avg +0.18% | +0.18% | -0.24% | +1.14% | -0.10% | +2.04% | +1.39% | -0.67% | -0.86% | -1.34% | -0.80% | +0.21% | +1.22% |
| 3 Avg -0.07% | -0.66% | -0.34% | -1.10% | -3.02% | -0.29% | +0.60% | +0.57% | +0.61% | +1.09% | -0.01% | +0.82% | +0.92% |
| 4 Avg +0.31% | +0.43% | +0.74% | -0.73% | -0.32% | 0.00% | +1.21% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.07% | +0.75% | +0.52% | +0.73% |
| 5 Avg +0.21% | +0.15% | +0.18% | +0.28% | +0.04% | -0.61% | +0.67% | +0.47% | -0.22% | +0.48% | +0.08% | -0.23% | +1.28% |
| 6 Avg -0.06% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +0.20% | +1.42% | -0.94% | -0.47% | -0.42% | -0.07% | +0.42% | +0.34% | -1.49% | -0.10% |
| 7 Avg +0.45% | +0.32% | -0.55% | -1.30% | +0.61% | +0.17% | +2.71% | -0.17% | +0.12% | +1.76% | -0.05% | +1.95% | -0.21% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | -0.92% | -0.37% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.46% | +0.14% | +0.22% | -1.03% | +0.75% | -0.35% | +0.40% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.34% | +1.25% | -0.44% | +2.34% | -0.26% | -1.35% | +0.05% | -0.37% | +0.36% | +0.08% | -0.12% | -1.11% |
| 10 Avg +0.24% | +0.43% | -0.43% | +0.34% | +1.19% | -0.41% | +0.12% | -0.61% | +0.91% | +1.04% | -1.42% | +1.13% | +0.61% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.25% | -0.02% | -0.54% | +0.87% | -1.34% | +0.12% | +0.36% | +0.55% | +1.04% | +0.06% | -0.68% | -0.04% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.84% | -2.26% | -0.58% | +1.89% | +0.32% | -0.09% | +0.30% | +0.01% | -0.68% | +0.22% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.17% | -1.33% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +0.22% | -0.80% | -0.76% | -0.38% | +0.62% | -0.29% | +0.94% | -0.30% | -0.21% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | -0.37% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +1.04% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.56% | +1.21% | -0.96% |
| 15 Avg +0.12% | -0.34% | +0.41% | +0.76% | -0.44% | +0.74% | +0.03% | -0.38% | +0.01% | +0.56% | +0.90% | -0.21% | -0.60% |
| 16 Avg +0.11% | +0.14% | +0.74% | -2.24% | +0.34% | -0.21% | -0.30% | +0.75% | +1.14% | +0.41% | +1.25% | +0.03% | -0.68% |
| 17 Avg +0.15% | -0.28% | +0.45% | +1.72% | +1.81% | -0.22% | -0.06% | -2.10% | -0.64% | +0.50% | +0.42% | +0.28% | -0.03% |
| 18 Avg +0.07% | -0.10% | +0.67% | -1.90% | +0.09% | -0.38% | -0.29% | +1.12% | +0.27% | +0.28% | +0.29% | +0.53% | +0.26% |
| 19 Avg -0.24% | -0.92% | -0.20% | +0.67% | -0.28% | -0.33% | -0.37% | +0.64% | -0.39% | -0.75% | -0.25% | -0.82% | +0.07% |
| 20 Avg -0.24% | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.32% | -0.09% | -0.41% | -0.07% | -0.27% | +0.26% | -0.88% | -0.28% | -0.68% | -0.51% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | +0.82% | -0.82% | -1.79% | -0.75% | +0.03% | +0.65% | +0.65% | +1.66% | -1.12% | -0.23% | +0.57% | +0.05% |
| 22 Avg +0.11% | -0.44% | -0.43% | -0.27% | +0.56% | -0.16% | +0.57% | +0.35% | -0.48% | +0.38% | -0.15% | +1.58% | -0.16% |
| 23 Avg +0.22% | +0.18% | -0.62% | +2.40% | +0.02% | -1.06% | +0.78% | -0.24% | +0.68% | +0.20% | +0.13% | +0.05% | +0.16% |
| 24 Avg +0.40% | +1.35% | +0.46% | +2.50% | +0.93% | +0.74% | -0.07% | -1.19% | -0.18% | -0.15% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.15% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -0.36% | -0.14% | +0.93% | -0.50% | +0.34% | -0.81% | -0.10% | +0.32% | +0.26% | +0.54% | +0.60% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | -0.13% | -0.36% | +0.96% | +0.07% | +1.66% | +0.16% | -0.41% | -0.64% | +0.36% | -0.92% | -0.25% | +2.05% |
| 27 Avg +0.19% | -1.20% | -0.16% | -0.42% | +1.31% | +1.90% | -0.17% | +0.11% | -0.73% | +0.82% | -0.18% | +0.23% | +0.78% |
| 28 Avg +0.18% | +0.53% | -1.00% | +0.71% | +0.31% | -0.45% | -0.72% | +0.73% | +0.37% | +0.28% | +0.73% | +0.04% | +0.59% |
| 29 Avg -0.02% | -0.35% | - | +0.24% | +0.08% | -0.30% | -0.15% | +0.19% | -0.09% | -0.43% | +0.24% | -0.30% | +0.67% |
| 30 Avg -0.24% | -0.23% | - | -0.82% | -1.10% | +0.51% | +0.03% | -0.30% | -0.37% | -0.83% | +0.38% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.20% | +0.12% | - | +0.02% | - | -0.82% | - | +0.16% | -1.28% | - | -0.12% | - | +0.49% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
