Check historical price trends and seasonality for FirstGroup plc (FGP.L).
FirstGroup plc (FGP.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.87%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 1 for 30 days) is +8.24%.
5 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 83.33%.
1) Overview:
FirstGroup plc exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline notably in March, bottoming out around March 22 with an average decrease of -4.7%. A strong bullish phase follows, starting in April and extending through September, peaking around +10.9% around September 17-18. The year concludes with a significant rally in December, particularly strong towards the end of the month, reaching +12.0% on December 29 and +10.8% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for FirstGroup plc is in March, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The stock experiences a consistent decline throughout the month, reaching its lowest point around March 22 with an average drop of -4.7%. This dip could be attributed to various factors, such as end-of-quarter profit-taking or sector-specific news. The stock tends to rebound strongly starting in April, making March a favorable time to consider establishing a long position.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a strategic approach to investing in FirstGroup plc involves capitalizing on the March dip. Consider initiating a position around March 22, anticipating a rebound in April and a continued upward trend through the summer and into early autumn. Furthermore, the end of December shows a strong tendency to rally, suggesting another potential window for profit-taking or adding to existing positions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-04-01 | 156.2000 | 2025-04-30 | 172.7000 | 16.5000 | 10.56 |
| 2022 | 2022-04-01 | 112.1000 | 2022-04-30 | 112.8000 | 0.7000 | 0.62 |
| 2021 | 2021-04-01 | 91.1000 | 2021-04-30 | 74.3000 | -16.8000 | -18.44 |
| 2020 | 2020-04-01 | 49.7600 | 2020-04-30 | 66.8500 | 17.0900 | 34.34 |
| 2019 | 2019-04-01 | 92.0000 | 2019-04-30 | 110.4000 | 18.4000 | 20.00 |
| 2016 | 2016-04-01 | 97.5500 | 2016-04-30 | 99.8500 | 2.3000 | 2.36 |
| Avg | 99.7850 | 106.1500 | 6.37 | 8.24 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.66% | Feb Total -0.31% | Mar Total -0.67% | Apr Total +7.96% | May Total +3.39% | Jun Total -2.22% | Jul Total -0.14% | Aug Total +3.01% | Sep Total -1.35% | Oct Total -0.20% | Nov Total +2.33% | Dec Total +5.59% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.27% | 0.00% | +0.17% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.30% | +0.28% | +1.22% | -0.16% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.92% | +0.80% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | +0.18% | +0.30% | -0.63% | -0.33% | +1.03% | +0.96% | -0.38% | -0.55% | -0.17% | -0.73% | +0.01% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg +0.14% | +0.17% | -0.65% | +1.04% | +1.15% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.07% | +0.04% | -0.69% | -0.17% | +0.50% |
| 4 Avg +0.10% | -0.52% | +1.17% | -0.58% | -0.03% | -0.20% | -0.29% | +0.01% | +1.39% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.26% | -0.01% |
| 5 Avg +0.19% | +0.72% | +0.59% | +0.08% | +0.43% | +0.46% | +0.16% | -0.64% | +0.88% | -0.38% | +0.06% | +0.04% | -0.12% |
| 6 Avg +0.18% | -0.21% | -0.65% | 0.00% | +1.97% | -0.22% | -0.14% | -0.22% | -0.06% | +0.57% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +1.11% |
| 7 Avg +0.49% | +1.12% | +0.23% | -0.67% | +1.17% | +0.35% | -0.49% | +0.32% | +0.39% | +2.72% | +1.13% | -0.10% | -0.30% |
| 8 Avg -0.21% | -0.32% | -0.32% | +0.06% | +1.02% | -0.97% | +0.93% | -2.35% | +0.49% | -0.72% | +0.17% | +0.23% | -0.67% |
| 9 Avg +0.08% | +0.32% | -0.35% | +0.66% | +0.04% | +0.29% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.01% | -0.65% | +0.59% | +0.35% | -0.34% |
| 10 Avg +0.40% | +0.27% | +0.15% | +0.77% | +1.15% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.48% | +0.25% | -0.31% | +1.27% | +0.50% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | -0.62% | -0.24% | +0.81% | +0.75% | -0.06% | -1.46% | +0.10% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.55% | +0.24% | -0.54% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | -0.19% | +0.97% | -1.28% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.33% | +0.20% | +0.70% | -0.16% | -0.67% | -0.20% | +0.72% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | +0.59% | -0.13% | -1.36% | +0.83% | -0.50% | -0.68% | +0.04% | -1.09% | +0.12% | +0.67% | +0.79% | +0.42% |
| 14 Avg -0.16% | +0.13% | -0.30% | +0.46% | +0.98% | -0.46% | +0.64% | -0.98% | +0.05% | -0.69% | -0.78% | -1.65% | +0.72% |
| 15 Avg +0.08% | -0.45% | +0.86% | +1.14% | -1.29% | +0.76% | -0.67% | -0.13% | +0.47% | -0.18% | -0.39% | +0.58% | +0.25% |
| 16 Avg -0.46% | -0.21% | -0.36% | -4.49% | -0.56% | +0.11% | -0.63% | -0.93% | -0.94% | +0.83% | +0.43% | +0.43% | +0.84% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.55% | -2.51% | +0.49% | +0.52% | -0.36% | +1.19% | -0.22% | +0.32% | +0.21% | -0.06% | -0.41% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.81% | -0.16% | +1.19% | -0.11% | +0.68% | -0.42% | -0.15% | -0.23% | +0.17% | +0.62% |
| 19 Avg +0.15% | -0.15% | -0.08% | +3.61% | +0.35% | +0.09% | -0.93% | -0.48% | -0.06% | -0.34% | -0.40% | -0.32% | +0.45% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | -0.37% | -0.27% | -0.23% | -0.64% | +0.71% | +1.03% | -0.27% | -0.37% | -0.35% | +0.15% | -0.07% | +0.31% |
| 21 Avg -0.41% | -0.01% | -1.38% | -1.07% | -0.63% | -0.08% | -0.97% | +0.90% | +0.57% | -1.11% | -0.28% | +0.38% | -1.19% |
| 22 Avg +0.20% | +0.41% | +0.49% | -0.44% | -0.26% | -0.42% | +1.35% | +0.26% | -0.49% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.79% | +0.78% |
| 23 Avg +0.12% | -0.17% | -0.47% | +0.77% | +0.59% | +0.20% | -0.21% | -0.33% | +0.45% | -0.08% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.57% |
| 24 Avg +0.08% | +0.08% | -0.88% | +2.75% | +0.61% | +0.35% | -0.77% | -0.61% | +0.41% | -0.27% | -0.55% | -0.35% | +0.16% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.74% | -0.66% | -0.48% | +0.43% | -0.73% | +0.30% | +0.27% | +0.11% | +1.04% | +0.07% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.41% | +0.27% | +0.41% | +0.87% | +0.25% | +1.67% | -0.09% | +0.42% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.92% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.06% | -0.27% | +0.12% | -0.51% | -0.03% | +0.63% | -0.41% | +0.19% | +0.21% | -0.52% | +0.48% | -0.52% | -0.07% |
| 28 Avg -0.02% | -0.99% | -0.82% | +0.41% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.12% | +0.50% |
| 29 Avg -0.09% | +0.08% | - | +0.68% | +0.52% | -1.06% | +0.76% | -0.23% | -0.37% | -0.59% | -1.04% | -0.33% | +0.59% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | -0.33% | - | +0.59% | -0.17% | +0.38% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.71% | +0.03% | +0.53% | -1.33% | -0.60% |
| 31 Avg -0.28% | -0.03% | - | -0.13% | - | -1.77% | - | +0.59% | +0.06% | - | -0.48% | - | -0.19% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
