Check historical price trends and seasonality for Fastenal (FAST).
Fastenal (FAST) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +16.52%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 30 days) is +2.81%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Fastenal exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with gains in February and continuing through the end of the year. The stock tends to rise steadily from February, reaching +7.5% by April 1. The most significant gains occur in the final two months of the year, with a substantial climb culminating in a peak around December 12 at +19.5%, followed by a slight pullback to +16.5% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity may arise around January 3, where the stock tends to show a dip of -1.7%. Another potential buying opportunity could occur around early April, as the rate of increase slows down after April 1. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after periods of strong performance, offering a chance to enter the stock at a slightly lower price before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Fastenal would involve considering entry points during periods of weakness, such as around January 3, to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend. The strongest period for Fastenal is typically in December, so holding through this period can be advantageous. Investors should be aware that these are average tendencies and not guarantees of future performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 37.1900 | 2025-04-01 | 38.8050 | 1.6150 | 4.34 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 26.8400 | 2023-04-01 | 26.9700 | 0.1300 | 0.48 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 26.5750 | 2022-04-01 | 29.8350 | 3.2600 | 12.27 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 23.2250 | 2021-04-01 | 25.5550 | 2.3300 | 10.03 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 17.1950 | 2020-04-01 | 15.3050 | -1.8900 | -10.99 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 12.9500 | 2017-04-01 | 12.8750 | -0.0750 | -0.58 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 11.7500 | 2016-04-01 | 12.2325 | 0.4825 | 4.11 |
| Avg | 22.2464 | 23.0825 | 0.84 | 2.81 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.18% | Feb Total +2.05% | Mar Total +4.40% | Apr Total -1.15% | May Total -0.05% | Jun Total -0.37% | Jul Total +4.64% | Aug Total +0.96% | Sep Total -1.54% | Oct Total +0.76% | Nov Total +7.68% | Dec Total -1.33% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.61% | +0.16% | -0.34% | +0.06% | +0.32% | -1.29% | +0.02% | -0.85% | +0.38% | -0.24% |
| 2 Avg +0.16% | -0.42% | +0.29% | +0.54% | -0.19% | +0.28% | +0.72% | +0.22% | -0.23% | +0.10% | +0.08% | +0.72% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | -0.92% | +0.24% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.09% | +0.23% | -0.99% | +0.17% | +0.52% | +0.30% |
| 4 Avg +0.26% | +0.30% | +1.14% | +0.14% | -0.74% | +0.65% | +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.83% | +0.37% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | -0.58% | -0.20% | +0.06% | +0.01% | +0.25% | +0.82% | -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.44% | +0.44% | -0.01% | -0.21% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | +0.40% | +0.48% | +0.50% | +0.04% | -1.24% | -1.31% | +0.08% | +0.42% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.60% | +0.35% |
| 7 Avg -0.11% | -0.18% | -0.69% | +0.18% | -1.01% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.18% | +0.31% | -0.83% | -0.37% | +0.54% | +0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | +0.75% | -0.23% | -0.05% | -0.12% | +0.29% | +0.08% | -0.33% | +0.45% | -0.61% | -0.10% | +0.26% | +0.02% |
| 9 Avg +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.42% | -0.59% | +0.81% | -0.07% | -0.07% | +0.48% | -0.01% | +0.42% | -0.14% | +0.16% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.60% | +0.81% | +0.11% | -0.05% | -0.23% | +0.19% | -0.10% | +0.24% | -1.17% | +1.37% | -0.13% |
| 11 Avg +0.28% | +0.55% | +0.16% | -0.70% | -0.04% | -0.29% | -0.59% | +0.74% | +0.43% | +0.42% | +2.00% | +0.06% | +0.62% |
| 12 Avg +0.14% | +0.60% | +0.40% | -0.46% | -0.89% | -0.09% | +0.38% | -0.11% | +0.23% | +0.16% | +1.38% | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 13 Avg -0.27% | -0.07% | +0.27% | +0.94% | -0.54% | -0.21% | -0.59% | -1.09% | +0.35% | -0.57% | -1.08% | -0.05% | -0.55% |
| 14 Avg 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.29% | +0.20% | +0.46% | +0.32% | -0.83% | +0.63% | -0.03% | -0.24% | -0.52% | +0.45% | -0.57% |
| 15 Avg +0.21% | -0.21% | +0.41% | +0.52% | -0.16% | +0.14% | +0.21% | +0.67% | +0.15% | +0.43% | +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.19% |
| 16 Avg +0.14% | +0.13% | -0.11% | -0.45% | +0.27% | +0.15% | +0.31% | +0.40% | +0.49% | -0.42% | +0.30% | +0.74% | -0.20% |
| 17 Avg +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.13% | +1.74% | +0.40% | -0.48% | -0.14% | +0.11% | -0.39% | -0.03% | +0.82% | -0.45% | -0.69% |
| 18 Avg +0.03% | +1.58% | +0.08% | -0.11% | -0.46% | -0.20% | +0.32% | -0.14% | -0.21% | -0.21% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.31% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.28% | +0.03% | -0.47% | +0.66% | -0.29% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.32% | +0.44% | -0.36% | -0.11% | -0.33% |
| 20 Avg -0.13% | -0.12% | -0.04% | -1.02% | -0.05% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.59% | +0.14% | -0.49% | -0.10% | -0.76% | +0.02% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | -0.14% | -0.31% | +0.31% | -0.03% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.15% | +0.68% | +0.23% |
| 22 Avg +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.21% | -0.91% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.39% | +0.18% | +0.34% | -0.23% | +0.55% | -0.14% |
| 23 Avg -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.41% | -0.80% | +0.08% | -0.55% | +0.42% | +0.56% | -0.48% | +0.46% | +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.06% | +0.45% | -0.07% | +1.66% | +0.32% | -0.01% | -0.29% | +0.06% | -0.55% | -0.42% | -0.63% | +0.21% | +0.01% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.25% | -0.21% | -0.26% | -0.09% | -0.39% | +0.42% | +0.32% | +0.39% | +0.06% | +0.17% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | +0.09% | +0.16% | +1.20% | -0.10% | +0.70% | -0.35% | -0.10% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.03% | +0.24% | +0.31% |
| 27 Avg +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.11% | -0.69% | +0.82% | +0.71% | -0.23% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.23% | -0.38% | -0.08% | +0.16% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | +0.21% | -0.19% | +0.26% | +0.01% | -0.37% | -0.36% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.36% | +0.19% | +0.23% | -0.19% |
| 29 Avg +0.15% | -0.06% | - | +0.74% | -0.36% | +0.14% | +0.48% | +0.68% | +0.21% | -0.47% | +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.02% |
| 30 Avg +0.14% | +0.03% | - | +0.33% | -0.43% | +0.11% | +0.85% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.56% | +0.50% | -0.59% |
| 31 Avg -0.16% | -0.54% | - | +0.15% | - | -0.08% | - | -0.26% | -0.09% | - | -0.16% | - | -0.15% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
