Check historical price trends and seasonality for Expedia Group (EXPE).
Expedia Group (EXPE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.24%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -5.34%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
Expedia Group's stock typically experiences a bearish phase from early March through May, bottoming out around May 12 with a -6.6% average dip. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in July and extending through December. This culminates in substantial gains around December 26 and December 31, averaging +14.7% and +14.2% respectively.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A significant buying opportunity historically occurs around May 12, as the stock tends to bottom out with an average decline of -6.6%. This dip is likely driven by seasonal travel patterns and potentially early-year financial reporting. Another, less pronounced, dip can be found in March and April. These pullbacks offer strategic entry points before the stock begins its strong climb during the summer and into the end-of-year holiday season.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to EXPE involves accumulating shares during the pullback around May 12. This allows investors to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend that typically unfolds through the end of the year. Consider that these are average tendencies, and broader market conditions can influence actual performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 193.5000 | 2025-05-01 | 157.9600 | -35.5400 | -18.37 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 107.6100 | 2023-05-01 | 94.4200 | -13.1900 | -12.26 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 185.2500 | 2022-05-01 | 174.7500 | -10.5000 | -5.67 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 163.4300 | 2021-05-01 | 176.2300 | 12.8000 | 7.83 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 95.1900 | 2020-05-01 | 67.2900 | -27.9000 | -29.31 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 120.1200 | 2017-05-01 | 136.6000 | 16.4800 | 13.72 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 108.5100 | 2016-05-01 | 115.7700 | 7.2600 | 6.69 |
| Avg | 139.0871 | 131.8600 | -7.23 | -5.34 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.32% | Feb Total +2.02% | Mar Total -5.25% | Apr Total +3.64% | May Total -2.29% | Jun Total +0.95% | Jul Total +5.64% | Aug Total +0.92% | Sep Total +0.78% | Oct Total +0.23% | Nov Total +8.46% | Dec Total +1.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.11% | 0.00% | +1.40% | -0.15% | -0.62% | -0.52% | +0.53% | +0.83% | -1.35% | +0.61% | +0.44% | +0.19% | -0.07% |
| 2 Avg -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.28% | -0.26% | -1.21% | +0.62% | +1.24% | +0.12% | -1.25% | +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.97% | +0.31% |
| 3 Avg -0.45% | -0.21% | -0.45% | -0.11% | -0.88% | -3.69% | +0.34% | +0.85% | -1.98% | -0.59% | -0.18% | +2.12% | -0.66% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | +0.64% | +1.04% | -0.95% | -0.98% | -0.45% | +0.48% | 0.00% | +0.33% | -0.24% | +1.37% | 0.00% | +0.66% |
| 5 Avg +0.20% | +0.63% | -0.42% | +0.32% | -0.54% | -0.72% | +1.24% | -0.02% | +0.24% | -0.09% | -0.62% | +2.36% | +0.06% |
| 6 Avg +0.15% | +0.36% | +0.74% | -0.20% | +0.31% | -1.00% | +1.31% | -0.29% | +0.19% | -0.49% | -0.12% | +0.49% | +0.54% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | -0.20% | +2.01% | -1.23% | +0.29% | +0.67% | -0.21% | +0.43% | -0.15% | +0.72% | -0.33% | -0.50% | -0.64% |
| 8 Avg +0.39% | +0.24% | +0.44% | +0.68% | +0.54% | +0.16% | +0.16% | -0.26% | +1.34% | +0.25% | -0.13% | +0.64% | +0.62% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | +0.07% | -3.20% | -0.52% | +2.28% | -1.02% | -1.33% | +0.38% | +0.92% | +0.24% | +0.17% | +1.72% | +0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | +0.01% | -0.48% | +0.07% | -0.81% | +0.48% | -1.18% | +0.95% | +0.67% | -0.59% | -0.49% | +1.56% | +0.72% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.60% | +0.19% | -0.94% | +0.18% | -0.40% | -0.78% | -0.14% | +0.52% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.36% | -0.02% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.37% | +0.17% | -1.32% | -0.25% | -0.85% | +0.90% | +0.80% | +0.54% | +1.07% | +0.61% | -0.69% | -0.49% |
| 13 Avg -0.18% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.37% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -1.37% | -0.06% | +0.56% | -0.24% | -0.50% | +0.13% | -0.79% |
| 14 Avg +0.31% | +0.51% | +1.44% | +0.76% | +0.96% | +0.99% | -0.37% | -0.27% | -0.06% | +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.11% | -0.47% |
| 15 Avg +0.32% | -0.35% | +1.45% | +0.37% | -0.21% | +0.55% | +0.22% | +0.94% | -0.26% | +0.22% | -0.17% | +0.76% | +0.31% |
| 16 Avg -0.34% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -1.59% | +0.12% | -0.21% | -0.91% | +0.16% | +0.10% | -1.04% | +0.11% | -0.43% | -0.37% |
| 17 Avg +0.15% | -0.07% | +0.46% | +0.22% | +1.09% | -0.42% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.81% | +0.16% | +1.30% | +0.05% | -0.27% |
| 18 Avg -0.08% | -0.58% | -0.19% | -1.99% | +0.04% | +1.82% | -0.01% | +0.34% | -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.04% | -0.34% | +0.22% |
| 19 Avg +0.09% | +0.53% | +0.52% | +1.09% | -0.02% | -0.30% | -0.01% | +0.38% | -0.15% | +0.18% | -0.38% | -0.51% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | +0.56% | +0.02% | +0.27% | -0.97% | +0.43% | +0.58% | +0.42% | -0.14% | +0.73% | -0.46% | -0.77% | +0.30% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | -0.83% | -0.86% | -0.08% | -0.55% | -0.61% | +0.25% | +0.34% | +0.42% | -1.08% | +1.19% | +1.05% | +0.70% |
| 22 Avg +0.15% | -0.82% | +0.22% | -1.17% | +1.14% | +0.25% | +0.45% | -0.19% | +0.11% | +0.17% | +0.77% | +0.86% | +0.07% |
| 23 Avg +0.14% | +1.27% | -0.81% | -0.33% | +1.08% | -0.90% | +0.38% | -0.01% | +0.42% | +0.07% | -0.44% | +0.49% | +0.52% |
| 24 Avg +0.18% | -0.48% | -0.80% | +1.96% | +0.90% | +0.13% | -0.19% | -0.61% | +0.75% | +0.34% | +0.02% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg +0.25% | +0.39% | -0.33% | +1.43% | -0.03% | +1.16% | -0.04% | -0.17% | +0.33% | -0.38% | +0.14% | +0.49% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.23% | -0.11% | -0.41% | -0.30% | -0.72% | +1.14% | -1.19% | +0.14% | -0.92% | +0.24% | -0.55% | -0.46% | +0.35% |
| 27 Avg -0.04% | -1.86% | -0.47% | -1.04% | +1.87% | +0.28% | -0.25% | +1.45% | +0.80% | +0.69% | -1.90% | +0.23% | -0.27% |
| 28 Avg +0.19% | +0.54% | -0.04% | +0.16% | +0.45% | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.64% | +0.07% | +0.69% | +0.27% | -0.26% | -0.32% |
| 29 Avg +0.28% | +0.08% | - | +0.80% | +0.96% | -0.06% | +0.33% | -0.01% | +0.35% | -0.37% | +0.22% | +0.33% | +0.44% |
| 30 Avg -0.27% | -0.16% | - | -0.63% | -0.96% | +0.10% | +0.34% | -0.83% | -0.67% | -0.56% | +0.15% | +0.24% | -0.01% |
| 31 Avg -0.19% | -0.02% | - | -0.21% | - | +0.09% | - | -0.75% | -0.02% | - | -0.35% | - | -0.11% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
