Check historical price trends and seasonality for Eagle Materials (EXP).
Eagle Materials (EXP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.44%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -5.01%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Eagle Materials exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from early January through late July. The stock tends to rise steadily from January, reaching a peak around late July. A period of consolidation and slight pullback occurs from August through October, before another significant rally begins in November, culminating in substantial gains by December. Specifically, the stock shows significant strength around December 8 (+22.6%) and December 31 (+19.4%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around March 23, where the stock tends to experience a slight pullback of -1.4%. Another consolidation period occurs between August and October, which could present further buying opportunities as the stock prepares for its year-end rally. These pullbacks may be attributed to profit-taking after strong rallies or seasonal market adjustments, but historically, the stock has rebounded strongly following these periods.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a strategic approach of accumulating Eagle Materials shares during pullback periods, particularly around March 23, to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. The most opportune time to hold the stock appears to be from November through December, given the historically significant gains during this period. Investors should consider these seasonal patterns alongside fundamental analysis for informed decision-making.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 254.4300 | 2025-03-16 | 213.3100 | -41.1200 | -16.16 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 200.2400 | 2024-03-15 | 249.5700 | 49.3300 | 24.64 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 92.1100 | 2020-03-15 | 64.8600 | -27.2500 | -29.58 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 64.5900 | 2019-03-16 | 72.2500 | 7.6600 | 11.86 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 117.8300 | 2018-03-16 | 99.1900 | -18.6400 | -15.82 |
| Avg | 145.8400 | 139.8360 | -6.00 | -5.01 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.24% | Feb Total -0.20% | Mar Total +1.72% | Apr Total +1.23% | May Total +2.45% | Jun Total -0.27% | Jul Total +5.66% | Aug Total +0.33% | Sep Total -1.63% | Oct Total +0.17% | Nov Total +7.82% | Dec Total -1.73% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.26% | 0.00% | +1.46% | +1.01% | -0.64% | -0.21% | +0.46% | -0.13% | -1.30% | +0.21% | +0.11% | +1.55% | +0.58% |
| 2 Avg +0.22% | +0.29% | -0.26% | +0.94% | -0.33% | +0.89% | +0.44% | +0.45% | -0.29% | +0.22% | -0.26% | +0.46% | +0.07% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.10% | -0.51% | -0.90% | +0.77% | +0.49% | +0.61% | +0.82% | -1.10% | +0.21% | -0.03% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.22% | +0.90% | -0.31% | +0.50% | -0.91% | +0.98% | +0.61% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.06% | +0.93% | +0.20% | -0.57% |
| 5 Avg 0.00% | +0.16% | +0.24% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.46% | -0.64% | +0.08% | -0.18% | -0.05% | +0.25% | -0.50% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.36% | -0.52% | -0.67% | +0.45% | -0.61% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.08% | +0.14% | +0.40% | +0.60% | +0.45% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.20% | +0.07% | -0.79% | +0.28% | +0.01% | +0.34% | +0.11% | +0.15% | -0.36% | -0.23% | +0.30% | +0.72% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.30% | -0.95% | -0.50% | +0.59% | +0.71% | +0.16% | -0.36% | +0.29% | -0.67% | +0.81% | +0.49% | +0.41% |
| 9 Avg -0.19% | -0.30% | +0.03% | -1.50% | +1.58% | -0.17% | -0.35% | +0.07% | -0.78% | -0.51% | +0.11% | +0.30% | -0.74% |
| 10 Avg +0.14% | -0.35% | +0.19% | +0.48% | -0.14% | +0.45% | -0.79% | +0.53% | +0.15% | +0.46% | -0.40% | +1.15% | -0.04% |
| 11 Avg -0.12% | +0.23% | +0.02% | -1.04% | +0.54% | -0.76% | -1.54% | +0.29% | +0.39% | +0.67% | -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.13% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.63% | -1.80% | +0.14% | +0.18% | +0.50% | +0.80% | +0.48% | +0.80% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.23% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.30% | +0.12% | +1.29% | -0.44% | -0.52% | -0.39% | +0.09% | +0.39% | -0.67% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.73% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.32% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.38% | -0.56% | -0.08% | -0.14% | -0.24% | +0.65% | +0.17% | +0.17% |
| 15 Avg +0.05% | +0.24% | +1.20% | -0.17% | -0.67% | +0.64% | -0.07% | +0.25% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.14% | -0.45% | -0.39% |
| 16 Avg -0.25% | +0.03% | -0.49% | -1.66% | -0.76% | -0.20% | -0.07% | +0.37% | -0.20% | -0.27% | +0.38% | +0.17% | -0.24% |
| 17 Avg -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.02% | +0.72% | +0.16% | +0.01% | -0.68% | +0.07% | -0.88% | -0.31% | +0.14% | -0.48% | +0.06% |
| 18 Avg +0.10% | +0.19% | -0.20% | -0.86% | +0.38% | +1.55% | -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.28% | +0.34% | -0.30% | +0.56% | -0.10% |
| 19 Avg -0.23% | -0.64% | +0.06% | +0.60% | +0.11% | -0.47% | -0.54% | +0.37% | -0.48% | +0.66% | -1.29% | -0.06% | -1.07% |
| 20 Avg -0.32% | +0.37% | -0.53% | -1.15% | +0.06% | -0.33% | -0.37% | +0.44% | -0.50% | -0.56% | -0.36% | -0.36% | -0.58% |
| 21 Avg +0.14% | -0.12% | -0.47% | +0.79% | -0.92% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.31% | +0.52% | -0.41% | +0.39% | +1.14% | +0.51% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.45% | +1.05% | -0.87% | +0.10% | -0.60% | -0.18% | +0.25% | +0.68% | +0.11% | -0.57% | +0.46% | -0.42% |
| 23 Avg +0.11% | -0.28% | -0.82% | -0.76% | +0.87% | +0.13% | +0.76% | +0.91% | +0.82% | -0.55% | -0.32% | +0.34% | +0.27% |
| 24 Avg +0.31% | +0.72% | +0.83% | +2.38% | +0.36% | -0.23% | -0.42% | -0.20% | -0.03% | -0.61% | +0.56% | +0.35% | +0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.19% | +0.08% | -0.51% | +1.31% | -0.14% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +0.82% | +0.18% | +0.29% | +0.10% | +0.40% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | -0.26% | +0.04% | +1.27% | +0.22% | +1.03% | +0.19% | +0.06% | -0.44% | -0.15% | -0.89% | +0.01% | +0.87% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | -0.51% | -0.54% | -0.96% | +1.05% | +0.68% | -0.03% | +0.51% | -0.41% | +0.41% | -0.37% | -0.04% | +0.53% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.72% | -0.74% | +0.35% | +0.65% | -1.11% | +0.66% | -0.60% | +0.27% | +0.91% | +0.37% | -0.02% | -0.39% |
| 29 Avg +0.47% | +1.38% | - | +2.23% | +0.44% | -0.31% | +0.34% | +0.75% | +0.63% | -0.23% | -0.24% | +0.14% | +0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.16% | +0.35% | - | +0.19% | -0.85% | +0.15% | +0.46% | +0.39% | +0.58% | -0.06% | +0.53% | +0.42% | -0.43% |
| 31 Avg -0.27% | -0.31% | - | +0.82% | - | -0.85% | - | -0.76% | -0.67% | - | -0.09% | - | -0.01% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
