Check historical price trends and seasonality for EURUSD (EURUSD=X).
EURUSD (EURUSD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +1.06%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 60 days) is -0.16%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
The EURUSD exhibits a bearish tendency in early January, bottoming around January 4 with an average decline of -0.7%. A strong bullish phase begins around June 3, peaking in late August and early September. Specifically, August 6 shows an average increase of +1.4%. The year concludes with a bullish trend around December 31, showing an average increase of +1.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around January 4, where the EURUSD tends to bottom out with a -0.7% decline. Another pullback period occurs from late February through early March, presenting another chance to buy before a potential rebound. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after bullish periods or anticipation of economic data releases.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, consider entering long positions around January 4 to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. Another entry point is during the late February to early March dip. Be mindful of the strong bullish phase from June to September and the year-end rally, adjusting positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 1.0886 | 2024-03-17 | 1.0883 | -0.0003 | -0.03 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 1.0793 | 2023-03-18 | 1.0614 | -0.0179 | -1.66 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 1.1411 | 2022-03-18 | 1.1100 | -0.0311 | -2.73 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 1.2068 | 2021-03-18 | 1.1983 | -0.0085 | -0.70 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 1.1393 | 2019-03-18 | 1.1320 | -0.0073 | -0.64 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 1.2184 | 2018-03-18 | 1.2309 | 0.0125 | 1.03 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 1.0697 | 2017-03-18 | 1.0775 | 0.0078 | 0.73 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 1.0920 | 2016-03-17 | 1.1219 | 0.0299 | 2.74 |
| Avg | 1.1294 | 1.1275 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.14% | Feb Total -0.45% | Mar Total +0.62% | Apr Total +0.16% | May Total +0.00% | Jun Total +0.29% | Jul Total +0.45% | Aug Total +0.25% | Sep Total -0.88% | Oct Total -0.59% | Nov Total +0.15% | Dec Total +0.92% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.01% | -0.27% | -0.05% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.13% | -0.22% | +0.02% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.30% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.02% | -0.11% | -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.27% |
| 3 Avg -0.08% | -0.35% | -0.17% | +0.02% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.01% | -0.22% | -0.16% | -0.18% | -0.02% | +0.01% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | -0.16% | +0.33% | +0.14% | +0.30% | +0.08% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.06% | +0.05% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.09% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.15% | -0.13% |
| 6 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.22% | +0.36% | -0.15% | -0.19% | +0.17% | -0.23% | +0.18% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.14% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.12% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.31% | +0.05% | -0.12% |
| 8 Avg -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.22% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.18% | -0.05% | +0.16% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.06% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.14% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.09% |
| 10 Avg 0.00% | +0.19% | +0.04% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.19% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.09% | -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.07% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.07% | +0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 12 Avg 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.09% | +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.11% | -0.08% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.31% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.01% | +0.20% | -0.13% | -0.09% | +0.18% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.19% | +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.19% |
| 15 Avg -0.03% | +0.11% | -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.21% | +0.13% | -0.23% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.16% | -0.02% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.10% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.02% | +0.22% | 0.00% | +0.14% | -0.19% | +0.05% | +0.13% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.04% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.13% | +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.04% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.11% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.04% | +0.17% | -0.12% |
| 20 Avg +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.04% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.09% | -0.16% | +0.05% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.07% | +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.05% | -0.21% | +0.07% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.13% | -0.25% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.11% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.07% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.13% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.12% | +0.02% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.10% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.03% |
| 26 Avg +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.41% | +0.10% | -0.04% | +0.09% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.15% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.28% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.15% | -0.05% | +0.17% | -0.04% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.13% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.15% | +0.14% | -0.30% | -0.18% | +0.03% | +0.18% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.07% | - | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.18% | -0.09% | +0.27% | +0.10% | +0.13% | -0.06% |
| 30 Avg +0.05% | -0.04% | - | +0.18% | +0.06% | -0.16% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.11% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.32% |
| 31 Avg +0.08% | +0.04% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.27% | - | +0.11% | +0.01% | - | +0.17% | - | -0.01% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
