Check historical price trends and seasonality for EURRUB (EURRUB=X).
EURRUB (EURRUB=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.07%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +3.39%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
The EURRUB pair exhibits a clear bullish and bearish seasonality throughout the year. A strong bullish phase typically begins in early March, peaking around March 19 with an average gain of +7.1%. Following this peak, the currency pair enters a bearish phase, with consistent declines until late June. The lowest point is usually around June 23, with an average loss of -4.4%. A smaller bullish trend appears towards the end of the year, culminating on December 31 with an average increase of +3.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant buying opportunity appears in late May and June, as the EURRUB pair tends to experience a consistent decline during this period. This bearish trend often bottoms out around June 23, presenting an attractive entry point for those anticipating a rebound. Another potential, albeit smaller, buying opportunity arises in late October, preceding the modest bullish trend observed in November.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to EURRUB trading involves capitalizing on predictable price swings. Consider establishing long positions around late May to late June, anticipating a recovery from the seasonal lows. Furthermore, monitor the market around late December for potential profit-taking opportunities as the year-end rally concludes.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 105.5198 | 2025-03-16 | 93.6186 | -11.9012 | -11.28 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 96.0123 | 2024-03-15 | 99.6246 | 3.6123 | 3.76 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 72.5216 | 2023-03-16 | 80.5359 | 8.0143 | 11.05 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 68.4526 | 2020-03-15 | 83.6491 | 15.1965 | 22.20 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 76.5700 | 2019-03-16 | 74.0410 | -2.5290 | -3.30 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 69.1004 | 2018-03-16 | 70.6993 | 1.5989 | 2.31 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 63.4163 | 2017-03-16 | 62.7813 | -0.6350 | -1.00 |
| Avg | 78.7990 | 80.7071 | 1.91 | 3.39 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.69% | Feb Total +0.14% | Mar Total +2.19% | Apr Total -1.19% | May Total -3.50% | Jun Total -0.51% | Jul Total +10.02% | Aug Total +2.74% | Sep Total -1.23% | Oct Total -0.82% | Nov Total +1.25% | Dec Total +2.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.29% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +2.43% | -0.56% | +0.03% | +1.09% | +0.61% | +0.75% | -0.51% | -0.45% | +0.23% | -0.07% |
| 2 Avg +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.33% | +0.24% | +0.27% | +0.16% | +0.26% | +0.18% | +0.16% | +0.37% | +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.22% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.24% | -0.74% | -0.22% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.24% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.43% | +0.32% | -0.11% |
| 4 Avg +1.00% | -0.38% | +0.20% | +0.82% | +0.56% | +0.23% | -0.10% | +12.09% | -0.39% | -0.29% | -0.17% | -0.19% | -0.34% |
| 5 Avg -0.32% | +0.07% | -0.26% | +0.34% | +0.45% | -0.63% | +0.21% | -4.86% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.57% | -0.10% | +0.18% |
| 6 Avg -0.03% | +0.12% | -0.36% | +0.44% | -0.08% | -1.00% | -0.36% | +0.72% | +0.29% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.03% | 0.00% |
| 7 Avg +0.14% | -0.07% | -0.16% | +0.29% | +0.57% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.80% | +0.01% | +0.23% | -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.01% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | -0.31% | +0.12% | +1.43% | -0.99% | -0.24% | -0.09% | -0.31% | +0.17% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.13% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.53% | +0.12% | +0.15% | -0.26% | -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.19% | -0.47% |
| 10 Avg +0.06% | -0.55% | +0.27% | +0.50% | +0.58% | +0.33% | -0.43% | -0.12% | +0.32% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.53% | +0.20% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.50% | +0.06% | -0.69% | -0.20% | +0.41% | -0.04% | +0.24% | -0.34% | +0.19% | +0.23% |
| 12 Avg +0.09% | +0.13% | +0.20% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.51% | -0.80% | +0.13% | -0.28% | +0.65% | 0.00% | +0.35% |
| 13 Avg -0.09% | -0.53% | -0.34% | +0.46% | +0.13% | -0.95% | +0.43% | -0.70% | +0.76% | +0.10% | -0.22% | +0.22% | -0.50% |
| 14 Avg -0.09% | +0.43% | -0.19% | -0.06% | -0.48% | -0.14% | -0.54% | +0.19% | -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.17% | +0.41% | -0.13% |
| 15 Avg -0.12% | -0.01% | -0.53% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.08% | -0.25% | -0.39% | -0.56% | -0.20% | +0.36% | +0.32% |
| 16 Avg -0.12% | +0.03% | -0.21% | -0.39% | +0.33% | +0.11% | -0.42% | +0.15% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.20% | -0.54% | -0.15% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | +0.23% | +0.17% | -0.08% | -0.37% | +0.13% | -0.10% | +0.10% | -0.26% | +0.06% | +0.21% | -0.28% | +0.12% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | +0.21% | -0.12% | -0.16% | +0.51% | +0.13% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.44% | +0.31% | -0.16% | -0.12% | +0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | +0.23% | -0.13% | +0.53% | -0.59% | +0.37% | -0.35% | -0.05% | +0.39% | +0.28% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.08% |
| 20 Avg 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.14% | -0.29% | -0.17% | -0.06% | +0.38% | +0.30% | +0.26% | -0.12% | -0.32% | -0.25% | +0.50% |
| 21 Avg +0.07% | +0.41% | -0.02% | +0.43% | +0.40% | -0.17% | -0.21% | -0.53% | +0.16% | -0.13% | -0.20% | +0.12% | +0.56% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | -0.12% | +0.51% | -0.21% | +0.24% | -0.42% | +0.06% | +0.32% | +0.56% | -0.15% | +0.11% | -0.42% | +0.69% |
| 23 Avg -0.20% | -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.22% | -0.38% | -0.53% | -0.84% | +0.25% | -0.40% | -0.04% | -0.55% | -0.01% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.45% | +0.32% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.10% | +0.15% | +0.01% | -0.24% | -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.27% |
| 25 Avg -0.14% | -0.33% | +0.37% | -0.24% | -0.43% | -0.59% | -0.03% | +0.15% | +0.19% | +0.05% | -0.63% | +0.42% | -0.55% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.15% | +0.19% | -0.33% | +0.18% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.25% | -0.77% | +0.25% | +0.09% | -0.19% |
| 27 Avg +0.16% | -0.27% | +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +1.01% | +0.53% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.39% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.08% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.32% | +0.04% | -0.53% | +0.36% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.21% | +0.86% | +0.32% |
| 29 Avg -0.21% | +0.07% | - | -2.36% | -0.17% | -0.36% | +0.36% | +0.36% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.28% | -0.26% | -0.15% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | +0.28% | - | -1.22% | -0.01% | +0.54% | -0.32% | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.42% | -0.14% | -0.20% | +0.55% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | -0.25% | - | -0.55% | - | -1.28% | - | +0.08% | +0.01% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.78% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
