Check historical price trends and seasonality for EURJPY (EURJPY=X).
EURJPY (EURJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.74%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 2 for 30 days) is +1.39%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
EURJPY exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The currency pair tends to decline from the beginning of the year, reaching a low around February 24 with a -1.3% average change. A strong bullish phase then emerges, starting in April and continuing through the end of the year, culminating in gains of +3.7% by December 30 and +3.6% by December 31. This suggests a consistent pattern of weakness in the early months followed by sustained strength later in the year.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent pullback period occurs in February, with a significant dip culminating around February 24 (-1.3%). This decline could be attributed to early-year profit-taking or specific economic factors influencing the EURJPY pair during this time. This presents a potential buying opportunity, anticipating a rebound starting in April and continuing throughout the rest of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for EURJPY involves entering a long position around late February, capitalizing on the seasonal low. The data suggests holding this position through the remainder of the year to benefit from the consistent upward trend, particularly from April onwards. However, it's crucial to consider other fundamental and technical factors alongside seasonality before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-03-02 | 145.2930 | 2023-03-31 | 145.2410 | -0.0520 | -0.04 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-02 | 127.8450 | 2022-03-31 | 136.1870 | 8.3420 | 6.53 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-02 | 128.7100 | 2021-03-31 | 129.3100 | 0.6000 | 0.47 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-02 | 119.0110 | 2020-03-31 | 119.1500 | 0.1390 | 0.12 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-02 | 130.2730 | 2018-03-31 | 130.9720 | 0.6990 | 0.54 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-02 | 120.2240 | 2017-03-31 | 119.4400 | -0.7840 | -0.65 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-02 | 123.9300 | 2016-03-31 | 127.3550 | 3.4250 | 2.76 |
| Avg | 127.8980 | 129.6650 | 1.77 | 1.39 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.45% | Feb Total -0.30% | Mar Total +0.92% | Apr Total +0.37% | May Total +0.51% | Jun Total +1.03% | Jul Total -0.37% | Aug Total +0.01% | Sep Total +0.29% | Oct Total +1.15% | Nov Total +0.10% | Dec Total +0.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.38% | -0.02% | +0.39% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.16% | +0.08% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.18% |
| 2 Avg -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.25% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.11% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | -0.51% | -0.27% | +0.21% | -0.26% | -0.24% | +0.13% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.11% | +0.01% |
| 4 Avg 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.31% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.10% | +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.20% | -0.24% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.18% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | +0.32% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.07% | -0.07% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.10% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.18% |
| 6 Avg -0.02% | -0.16% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.22% | +0.07% | -0.37% | -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.25% | +0.06% | +0.32% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.21% | -0.23% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.19% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.10% | +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.33% | +0.19% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.13% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.07% | -0.16% | -0.02% | +0.06% | 0.00% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.25% | +0.09% | +0.21% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.04% | +0.13% | +0.06% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.18% | +0.07% | +0.15% | +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.01% | +0.14% | -0.16% | +0.16% |
| 12 Avg +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.17% | +0.19% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.09% | +0.13% |
| 13 Avg +0.00% | -0.18% | +0.12% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.22% | +0.11% | -0.03% | +0.15% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.25% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.01% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.03% | -0.17% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.06% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.24% | -0.11% | -0.20% | -0.03% | +0.25% | +0.11% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.15% | -0.04% | -0.08% | +0.27% | -0.07% | -0.05% | -0.13% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.07% | +0.25% | -0.03% | +0.18% | -0.26% | +0.03% | +0.08% | -0.12% | +0.12% | -0.05% | +0.01% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.16% | +0.34% | +0.22% | -0.03% | -0.08% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -0.03% | +0.13% | -0.06% | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.18% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.26% | +0.17% | +0.24% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.28% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.20% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.08% | -0.32% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.12% | +0.30% | -0.27% | +0.01% | -0.19% | +0.13% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.32% | -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.01% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.20% | -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.17% | +0.09% | -0.05% | -0.11% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.31% | +0.11% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.13% | -0.10% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.07% |
| 27 Avg +0.00% | +0.03% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.11% | -0.33% | -0.22% | +0.11% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.17% | +0.14% |
| 28 Avg +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.12% | +0.19% | +0.19% | -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.11% | -0.11% | -0.15% | +0.19% |
| 29 Avg +0.03% | +0.10% | - | +0.27% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.19% | -0.25% | +0.13% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.04% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | -0.06% | - | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.26% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.29% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.14% | +0.13% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.15% | - | -0.02% | - | +0.22% | - | +0.12% | +0.03% | - | +0.24% | - | -0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
