Check historical price trends and seasonality for EURGBP (EURGBP=X).
EURGBP (EURGBP=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.22%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 60 days) is +0.45%.
4 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 66.67%.
1) Overview:
EURGBP exhibits a bearish tendency early in the year, bottoming out around January 27 with an average decline of -1.0%. A strong bullish phase begins in June, extending through August, peaking around August 12 with an impressive +2.7%. After this peak, the pair consolidates with some volatility before experiencing another significant upward movement around October 10, reaching +4.0%. The year typically concludes with a smaller bullish trend towards December 31, averaging around +1.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant dip to consider buying occurs around January 27, where the pair tends to bottom out with a -1.0% decline, offering a potential entry point for a long position anticipating the subsequent recovery. Another, albeit smaller, dip occurs around the beginning of April, presenting a secondary opportunity to enter before the mid-year bullish trend. These pullbacks provide strategic entry points, capitalizing on seasonal weakness before the currency pair's historically stronger periods.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for EURGBP could involve entering a long position around late January to capitalize on the yearly low. Consider adding to the position around early April. Holding through the bullish summer and autumn months, with a potential exit around October 10, could align with historical seasonal patterns. However, remember that these are average tendencies and should be considered alongside other technical and fundamental analysis.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 0.8307 | 2025-04-04 | 0.8437 | 0.0130 | 1.56 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 0.8409 | 2022-04-04 | 0.8428 | 0.0019 | 0.23 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 0.8823 | 2021-04-04 | 0.8512 | -0.0311 | -3.52 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 0.8509 | 2020-04-03 | 0.8750 | 0.0241 | 2.83 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 0.8759 | 2019-04-04 | 0.8534 | -0.0225 | -2.57 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 0.7605 | 2016-04-03 | 0.7920 | 0.0315 | 4.14 |
| Avg | 0.8402 | 0.8430 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.38% | Feb Total -0.03% | Mar Total +0.70% | Apr Total -0.15% | May Total +0.32% | Jun Total +1.50% | Jul Total +0.19% | Aug Total +0.60% | Sep Total +0.05% | Oct Total -0.05% | Nov Total -0.83% | Dec Total +0.45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.08% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.17% | -0.12% | -0.14% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | -0.15% | -0.08% | +0.26% | -0.09% | +0.12% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.20% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.03% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -0.04% | -0.24% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.19% | +0.06% |
| 4 Avg +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.25% | 0.00% | +0.22% | +0.18% | -0.04% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.18% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.21% | -0.10% | +0.31% | -0.09% | +0.05% | +0.23% | -0.23% |
| 6 Avg +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.20% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.12% | +0.14% | +0.12% | -0.21% | +0.02% | -0.25% | +0.21% |
| 7 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +0.14% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.23% | -0.13% | -0.02% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.05% | +0.17% | -0.08% | -0.25% | -0.27% | +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.19% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.20% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.03% |
| 10 Avg +0.11% | +0.25% | +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +1.11% | -0.02% | -0.01% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.08% | -0.12% | +0.27% | +0.12% | -0.08% | +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.01% | -1.18% | -0.35% | +0.24% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.15% | -0.10% | +0.16% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.15% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.02% | +0.31% | -0.13% | -0.09% | +0.32% | -0.20% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.14% | +0.19% | -0.15% |
| 14 Avg -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.31% | -0.34% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.04% | +0.21% | -0.10% | +0.09% | -0.24% | -0.12% | +0.02% |
| 15 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.07% | +0.07% | +0.05% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.13% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.07% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.19% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.07% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.02% |
| 18 Avg +0.00% | -0.30% | -0.14% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.08% | -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.19% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -0.08% | -0.17% | +0.37% | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.19% | +0.22% | -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.26% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.29% | +0.14% | -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.07% | +0.26% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.05% | +0.07% | +0.13% | -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.23% |
| 22 Avg +0.00% | -0.09% | -0.11% | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.04% | -0.17% | -0.22% | +0.06% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | -0.16% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.21% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.01% |
| 24 Avg 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.01% | -0.17% | -0.12% |
| 25 Avg -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.09% | -0.29% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.13% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.21% | 0.00% | -0.14% |
| 26 Avg +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.36% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.05% |
| 27 Avg +0.01% | -0.20% | +0.12% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.60% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.15% | +0.07% | +0.03% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.20% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.13% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | +0.04% | - | +0.08% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.15% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.08% | +0.09% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | +0.07% | - | -0.06% | +0.11% | -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.06% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | - | -0.04% | - | +0.17% | - | +0.03% | -0.08% | - | +0.12% | - | -0.11% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
