Check historical price trends and seasonality for EURBRL (EURBRL=X).
EURBRL (EURBRL=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +5.35%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +1.17%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
EURBRL tends to experience a bearish phase from early January through February, bottoming out around February 24 with an average decrease of -2.0%. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in March and peaking around September 1, reaching approximately +5.2%. The currency pair then consolidates at a high level through November before experiencing a final surge in December, culminating with gains of +5.7% on December 30 and +5.3% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period occurs from early January through February, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the currency pair bottoms out around February 24 (-2.0%). This dip is likely driven by early year profit-taking. A rebound is typically observed starting in March, making this a favorable entry point for long positions.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to EURBRL involves capitalizing on the weakness in January and February. Consider establishing long positions near February 24, anticipating a rally that extends through the spring, summer, and into the end of the year. Be aware of the strong bullish tendency at the end of December.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 5.3564 | 2024-01-24 | 5.3693 | 0.0129 | 0.24 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 5.4992 | 2023-01-24 | 5.6587 | 0.1595 | 2.90 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 6.2909 | 2022-01-24 | 6.1873 | -0.1036 | -1.65 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 6.2758 | 2021-01-24 | 6.5067 | 0.2309 | 3.68 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 4.2683 | 2019-01-24 | 4.2843 | 0.0160 | 0.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 3.9242 | 2018-01-24 | 3.9811 | 0.0569 | 1.45 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 3.4309 | 2017-01-24 | 3.4002 | -0.0307 | -0.89 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 4.3697 | 2016-01-24 | 4.5105 | 0.1408 | 3.22 |
| Avg | 4.9269 | 4.9873 | 0.06 | 1.17 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.81% | Feb Total +0.09% | Mar Total +1.35% | Apr Total +0.19% | May Total +1.30% | Jun Total -0.29% | Jul Total -0.45% | Aug Total +2.83% | Sep Total +0.22% | Oct Total -0.37% | Nov Total +0.91% | Dec Total +0.33% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.49% | +0.52% | -0.14% | +0.23% | +0.18% | +0.39% | +0.01% | -0.36% | -0.20% |
| 2 Avg +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.44% | -0.30% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.59% | -0.04% | -0.05% | -0.04% | +0.81% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | -0.47% | -0.07% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.79% | -0.57% | -0.09% | -0.01% | -0.37% | -0.39% | +0.05% | -0.03% |
| 4 Avg -0.15% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.11% | +0.03% | -0.12% | -0.21% | -0.23% | +0.38% | +0.06% | -0.93% | -0.51% | -0.27% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | +0.33% | +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.11% | +0.19% | -0.20% | -0.38% | +0.55% | +0.10% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.30% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.04% | +0.56% | +0.08% | -0.28% | -0.19% | -0.10% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.27% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.74% | -0.16% | -0.28% | -0.17% | -0.08% | -0.15% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.06% | +0.16% | -0.02% | -0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.06% | -0.20% | -0.49% | -0.25% | -0.52% | +0.29% | -0.21% | -0.28% | -0.04% |
| 10 Avg +0.13% | +0.05% | +0.33% | +0.36% | -0.28% | +0.34% | +0.24% | +0.13% | +0.19% | -0.36% | +0.17% | +0.08% | +0.29% |
| 11 Avg -0.11% | -0.27% | +0.14% | -0.45% | +0.03% | -0.64% | -0.22% | -0.67% | +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.17% | +0.96% | -0.19% |
| 12 Avg -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.19% | -0.17% | -0.11% | -0.31% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.20% | -0.37% | -0.25% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.45% | -0.33% | -0.28% | -0.10% | +0.08% | +0.52% | -0.24% | +0.32% | +0.21% | +0.13% | +0.19% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg +0.18% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.32% | +0.16% | +0.27% | +0.33% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.23% | -0.21% | +0.48% | +0.43% |
| 15 Avg -0.05% | -0.40% | -0.39% | +0.35% | -0.10% | -0.24% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.13% | -0.24% | +0.16% | +0.27% | +0.21% |
| 16 Avg +0.10% | +0.29% | +0.03% | +0.44% | +0.32% | +0.21% | +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.18% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.09% |
| 17 Avg +0.10% | +0.18% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.19% | +0.19% | -0.04% | -0.15% | +0.36% | -0.38% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.49% |
| 18 Avg -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.54% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.26% | +0.14% | +0.33% | -0.05% | -0.19% | -0.21% | -0.21% |
| 19 Avg +0.22% | +0.46% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.66% | +0.35% | +0.12% | +0.27% | -0.04% | +0.15% | +0.24% | +0.16% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.21% | -0.09% | -0.37% | -0.12% | +0.19% | -0.07% | +0.23% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.13% | -0.38% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.36% | -0.04% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.30% | -0.37% | +0.01% |
| 22 Avg -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.08% | -0.79% | -0.29% | -0.19% | +0.12% | -0.13% | +0.21% | +0.07% | -0.05% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.31% | +0.04% | -0.38% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.39% | +0.08% | 0.00% |
| 24 Avg +0.11% | +0.06% | -0.18% | +0.60% | +0.09% | -0.06% | -0.24% | +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +0.29% | +0.17% |
| 25 Avg +0.01% | -0.30% | +0.17% | +0.25% | +0.31% | -0.05% | +0.37% | -0.22% | -0.32% | -0.16% | +0.21% | -0.21% | +0.04% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | -0.27% | +0.18% | -0.21% | +0.65% | -0.05% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.25% | -0.14% | -0.11% | -0.13% |
| 27 Avg +0.12% | -0.34% | +0.41% | 0.00% | +0.21% | -0.22% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.29% | +0.48% | +0.32% | +0.52% | -0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.08% | +0.14% | +0.36% | +0.21% | -0.13% | -0.23% | +0.31% | -0.14% | -0.23% | +0.07% | -0.15% | +0.49% | +0.24% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | -0.11% | - | -0.08% | -0.73% | +0.34% | +0.07% | -0.30% | +0.51% | +0.40% | +0.16% | -0.13% | +0.07% |
| 30 Avg -0.05% | -0.01% | - | +0.10% | -0.37% | -0.31% | -0.35% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.33% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.02% | - | +0.10% | - | +0.21% | - | 0.00% | -0.05% | - | +0.52% | - | -0.46% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
