Etsy (ETSY) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Etsy (ETSY).

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Etsy (ETSY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +45.91%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +10.99%.

2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Etsy (ETSY) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Etsy exhibits a strong bullish trend throughout the year, starting with a significant climb from February into early March, peaking around March 2nd with a gain of +9.9%. A bearish phase then occurs in late March, bottoming out around March 24th with a decline of -1.8%. The stock then enters a strong bullish phase that lasts throughout the rest of the year, reaching peak gains in December, with +52.8% by December 18th.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buy-the-dip opportunity arises in late March, specifically around March 24th, where the stock tends to decline by -1.8%. This pullback after the early March peak could represent a strategic entry point before the subsequent rally. Another minor dip occurs around early April, which could also be considered a buying opportunity.

3) Summary:

Seasonality suggests a generally bullish investment strategy for Etsy, with a potential entry point around late March to capitalize on a short-term dip. The strongest gains are typically realized towards the end of the year, particularly in December, making it crucial to hold through this period. Investors should be aware of the late March pullback and consider it as a tactical buying opportunity before the year-end rally.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 52.7200 2025-03-16 45.6500 -7.0700 -13.41
2024 2024-01-16 67.8600 2024-03-15 66.2600 -1.6000 -2.36
2020 2020-01-16 50.9000 2020-03-15 49.0100 -1.8900 -3.71
2019 2019-01-16 54.5300 2019-03-16 69.8900 15.3600 28.17
2018 2018-01-16 19.3500 2018-03-16 28.3000 8.9500 46.25
Avg 49.0720 51.8220 2.75 10.99
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.08% Feb Total +8.07% Mar Total -6.86% Apr Total +2.47% May Total +2.86% Jun Total +7.90% Jul Total +9.17% Aug Total +0.94% Sep Total +3.32% Oct Total -4.68% Nov Total +11.68% Dec Total -0.26%
1 Avg +0.36% 0.00% +0.75% +0.81% -0.25% -0.31% -0.23% +1.15% +1.01% +0.87% +0.20% -0.07% +0.40%
2 Avg +0.14% +0.31% -0.14% +1.02% +0.30% -0.03% +2.75% +0.62% -0.45% -0.43% -0.34% -1.57% -0.36%
3 Avg -0.29% -1.41% -0.53% -2.14% +0.19% -0.60% -1.20% +0.38% +0.18% -0.81% +0.65% +2.04% -0.20%
4 Avg +0.48% -0.04% +1.45% -1.10% +0.03% +1.14% +0.09% 0.00% +1.84% +0.21% +0.62% +1.16% +0.37%
5 Avg -0.24% +0.36% -0.30% +0.41% -1.76% -0.09% +0.50% +1.13% -2.60% -0.54% +0.29% +0.06% -0.38%
6 Avg -0.05% +1.50% -0.78% -1.08% +2.04% -1.66% +1.97% -0.56% -0.32% -0.89% +0.02% -0.87% 0.00%
7 Avg +0.30% -0.43% -0.37% -1.66% -0.62% +0.49% -0.20% +0.25% +1.99% +0.23% +0.56% +3.13% +0.27%
8 Avg +0.30% +0.44% -0.01% -0.45% +0.18% +1.11% +0.48% -0.01% +0.48% +0.23% -1.12% +0.57% +1.65%
9 Avg -0.10% -0.25% +0.31% +1.23% +1.70% -1.49% -0.19% +1.01% -0.13% +0.03% +1.03% -3.29% -1.11%
10 Avg +0.23% -0.32% +0.12% +0.01% +0.81% -0.09% -0.64% +0.66% +1.38% +0.21% -1.13% +1.69% +0.02%
11 Avg +0.08% -0.10% -0.18% -1.38% -0.01% -0.60% -0.80% +0.42% +0.23% +1.02% -0.95% +2.26% +1.11%
12 Avg +0.24% -0.47% +1.43% -1.77% -0.92% +0.56% +0.24% +0.53% +0.14% +0.89% +1.09% +0.24% +0.96%
13 Avg -0.11% -0.20% +0.48% +0.76% +0.59% +0.19% -0.90% -0.93% +1.14% +0.50% -0.51% -1.86% -0.55%
14 Avg +0.28% +0.38% +0.78% -0.50% +0.15% +0.72% +2.59% -1.02% -0.68% +1.40% -0.57% +0.77% -0.61%
15 Avg +0.54% -0.08% +1.64% +1.00% +0.30% +1.45% +1.63% -0.03% -1.26% -0.72% +0.52% +1.20% +0.86%
16 Avg +0.07% -0.10% -0.63% -1.04% +0.74% +1.35% -1.31% +0.72% +0.13% -0.18% +0.88% -0.47% +0.75%
17 Avg +0.31% +0.50% -0.18% +1.15% +0.77% -0.31% +0.80% +0.33% +0.04% +0.24% +0.77% -0.03% -0.40%
18 Avg -0.17% +0.30% -0.69% -1.12% -0.48% -2.03% +0.14% +0.66% -0.36% +0.96% +0.07% +0.37% +0.15%
19 Avg -0.16% +0.14% -0.46% -1.07% +0.21% -0.56% +1.42% +0.36% -0.88% +0.20% -1.44% -0.21% +0.40%
20 Avg +0.05% -0.07% +0.08% -0.14% -0.33% +0.38% +0.85% +1.13% +0.57% -1.23% +0.43% -0.29% -0.74%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.99% -0.43% -0.16% -1.01% -0.29% -0.48% +0.76% +0.01% +0.93% -0.19% +1.24% +0.44%
22 Avg +0.06% +0.39% -1.21% -0.27% +0.25% +0.38% +0.64% +1.17% -0.14% -0.79% +0.48% +0.22% -0.46%
23 Avg -0.01% +0.83% -0.78% -0.97% +0.65% -0.54% +1.22% -0.44% +0.06% +0.35% -0.47% +0.38% -0.43%
24 Avg -0.02% -0.30% +1.16% +0.34% +0.29% -0.93% -0.66% -0.41% +0.10% -0.15% -0.13% +0.44% -0.03%
25 Avg +0.22% -0.86% +1.18% +0.47% 0.00% +0.38% -0.31% +0.13% -0.94% +0.20% +0.55% +1.79% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.14% -0.23% +2.11% +0.48% -0.35% +1.04% -0.98% +0.38% -0.19% -0.56% -0.96% +0.48% +0.52%
27 Avg +0.25% -0.59% +1.52% -0.52% +1.10% +1.40% -1.05% +0.03% -0.95% +0.81% +0.54% +1.51% -0.87%
28 Avg +0.36% +1.71% +1.74% +0.67% -0.35% +0.40% +0.63% +1.44% -0.12% +0.56% -1.38% +0.51% -1.47%
29 Avg -0.02% -0.07% - +0.63% -0.05% +0.21% +0.64% -0.13% +0.41% +1.09% -2.71% -0.21% -0.01%
30 Avg -0.31% -0.22% - -0.12% -1.71% +0.69% +0.26% -0.63% +0.25% -1.28% -1.10% +0.48% +0.02%
31 Avg -0.11% -0.07% - -0.36% - +0.51% - +0.06% +0.01% - -0.38% - -0.57%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses