Etsy (ETSY) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Etsy (ETSY).

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Etsy (ETSY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +45.91%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -8.92%.

2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Etsy (ETSY) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Etsy exhibits a strong bullish trend throughout the year, starting with a significant climb from February into early March, peaking around March 2nd with a gain of +9.9%. A bearish phase then occurs in late March, bottoming out around March 24th with a decline of -1.8%. The stock then enters a strong bullish phase that lasts throughout the rest of the year, reaching peak gains in December, with +52.8% by December 18th.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buy-the-dip opportunity arises in late March, specifically around March 24th, where the stock tends to decline by -1.8%. This pullback after the early March peak could represent a strategic entry point before the subsequent rally. Another minor dip occurs around early April, which could also be considered a buying opportunity.

3) Summary:

Seasonality suggests a generally bullish investment strategy for Etsy, with a potential entry point around late March to capitalize on a short-term dip. The strongest gains are typically realized towards the end of the year, particularly in December, making it crucial to hold through this period. Investors should be aware of the late March pullback and consider it as a tactical buying opportunity before the year-end rally.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 49.0500 2025-05-01 42.5100 -6.5400 -13.33
2023 2023-03-03 121.4200 2023-05-01 96.2700 -25.1500 -20.71
2022 2022-03-03 159.7800 2022-05-01 93.1900 -66.5900 -41.68
2021 2021-03-03 208.6100 2021-05-01 198.7900 -9.8200 -4.71
2020 2020-03-03 58.2100 2020-05-01 64.4450 6.2350 10.71
2017 2017-03-03 10.1900 2017-05-01 11.0600 0.8700 8.54
2016 2016-03-03 8.8900 2016-05-01 8.7800 -0.1100 -1.24
Avg 88.0214 73.5779 -14.44 -8.92
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.08% Feb Total +8.07% Mar Total -6.86% Apr Total +2.47% May Total +2.86% Jun Total +7.90% Jul Total +9.17% Aug Total +0.94% Sep Total +3.32% Oct Total -4.68% Nov Total +11.68% Dec Total -0.26%
1 Avg +0.36% 0.00% +0.75% +0.81% -0.25% -0.31% -0.23% +1.15% +1.01% +0.87% +0.20% -0.07% +0.40%
2 Avg +0.14% +0.31% -0.14% +1.02% +0.30% -0.03% +2.75% +0.62% -0.45% -0.43% -0.34% -1.57% -0.36%
3 Avg -0.29% -1.41% -0.53% -2.14% +0.19% -0.60% -1.20% +0.38% +0.18% -0.81% +0.65% +2.04% -0.20%
4 Avg +0.48% -0.04% +1.45% -1.10% +0.03% +1.14% +0.09% 0.00% +1.84% +0.21% +0.62% +1.16% +0.37%
5 Avg -0.24% +0.36% -0.30% +0.41% -1.76% -0.09% +0.50% +1.13% -2.60% -0.54% +0.29% +0.06% -0.38%
6 Avg -0.05% +1.50% -0.78% -1.08% +2.04% -1.66% +1.97% -0.56% -0.32% -0.89% +0.02% -0.87% 0.00%
7 Avg +0.30% -0.43% -0.37% -1.66% -0.62% +0.49% -0.20% +0.25% +1.99% +0.23% +0.56% +3.13% +0.27%
8 Avg +0.30% +0.44% -0.01% -0.45% +0.18% +1.11% +0.48% -0.01% +0.48% +0.23% -1.12% +0.57% +1.65%
9 Avg -0.10% -0.25% +0.31% +1.23% +1.70% -1.49% -0.19% +1.01% -0.13% +0.03% +1.03% -3.29% -1.11%
10 Avg +0.23% -0.32% +0.12% +0.01% +0.81% -0.09% -0.64% +0.66% +1.38% +0.21% -1.13% +1.69% +0.02%
11 Avg +0.08% -0.10% -0.18% -1.38% -0.01% -0.60% -0.80% +0.42% +0.23% +1.02% -0.95% +2.26% +1.11%
12 Avg +0.24% -0.47% +1.43% -1.77% -0.92% +0.56% +0.24% +0.53% +0.14% +0.89% +1.09% +0.24% +0.96%
13 Avg -0.11% -0.20% +0.48% +0.76% +0.59% +0.19% -0.90% -0.93% +1.14% +0.50% -0.51% -1.86% -0.55%
14 Avg +0.28% +0.38% +0.78% -0.50% +0.15% +0.72% +2.59% -1.02% -0.68% +1.40% -0.57% +0.77% -0.61%
15 Avg +0.54% -0.08% +1.64% +1.00% +0.30% +1.45% +1.63% -0.03% -1.26% -0.72% +0.52% +1.20% +0.86%
16 Avg +0.07% -0.10% -0.63% -1.04% +0.74% +1.35% -1.31% +0.72% +0.13% -0.18% +0.88% -0.47% +0.75%
17 Avg +0.31% +0.50% -0.18% +1.15% +0.77% -0.31% +0.80% +0.33% +0.04% +0.24% +0.77% -0.03% -0.40%
18 Avg -0.17% +0.30% -0.69% -1.12% -0.48% -2.03% +0.14% +0.66% -0.36% +0.96% +0.07% +0.37% +0.15%
19 Avg -0.16% +0.14% -0.46% -1.07% +0.21% -0.56% +1.42% +0.36% -0.88% +0.20% -1.44% -0.21% +0.40%
20 Avg +0.05% -0.07% +0.08% -0.14% -0.33% +0.38% +0.85% +1.13% +0.57% -1.23% +0.43% -0.29% -0.74%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.99% -0.43% -0.16% -1.01% -0.29% -0.48% +0.76% +0.01% +0.93% -0.19% +1.24% +0.44%
22 Avg +0.06% +0.39% -1.21% -0.27% +0.25% +0.38% +0.64% +1.17% -0.14% -0.79% +0.48% +0.22% -0.46%
23 Avg -0.01% +0.83% -0.78% -0.97% +0.65% -0.54% +1.22% -0.44% +0.06% +0.35% -0.47% +0.38% -0.43%
24 Avg -0.02% -0.30% +1.16% +0.34% +0.29% -0.93% -0.66% -0.41% +0.10% -0.15% -0.13% +0.44% -0.03%
25 Avg +0.22% -0.86% +1.18% +0.47% 0.00% +0.38% -0.31% +0.13% -0.94% +0.20% +0.55% +1.79% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.14% -0.23% +2.11% +0.48% -0.35% +1.04% -0.98% +0.38% -0.19% -0.56% -0.96% +0.48% +0.52%
27 Avg +0.25% -0.59% +1.52% -0.52% +1.10% +1.40% -1.05% +0.03% -0.95% +0.81% +0.54% +1.51% -0.87%
28 Avg +0.36% +1.71% +1.74% +0.67% -0.35% +0.40% +0.63% +1.44% -0.12% +0.56% -1.38% +0.51% -1.47%
29 Avg -0.02% -0.07% - +0.63% -0.05% +0.21% +0.64% -0.13% +0.41% +1.09% -2.71% -0.21% -0.01%
30 Avg -0.31% -0.22% - -0.12% -1.71% +0.69% +0.26% -0.63% +0.25% -1.28% -1.10% +0.48% +0.02%
31 Avg -0.11% -0.07% - -0.36% - +0.51% - +0.06% +0.01% - -0.38% - -0.57%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses