Check historical price trends and seasonality for Enphase Energy (ENPH).
Enphase Energy (ENPH) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +108.52%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +31.71%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Enphase Energy exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with consistent gains from February through July. The most significant gains tend to occur from February to July, culminating in a peak around July 8th with an average gain of +48.0%. After a slight dip in early September, the stock recovers and experiences another strong bullish phase from mid-September through December, reaching a peak around December 26th with an average gain of +117.4%. The only period of relative weakness appears around January 27th, with an average loss of -1.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Historically, January 27th has shown a slight dip of -1.2%, potentially offering a buying opportunity for investors looking to enter before the typical February surge. This pullback is relatively small, but it could provide a slightly more favorable entry point. The stock tends to rebound quickly after this period, making it a short-term buying opportunity.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy for Enphase Energy, capitalizing on the consistent upward trend throughout the year. Consider accumulating shares around January 27th to take advantage of the dip before the strong bullish trend resumes in February. Given the significant gains in December, investors should be aware of potential profit-taking at the end of the year, although the overall trend remains strongly positive.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 63.4700 | 2025-03-16 | 58.1300 | -5.3400 | -8.41 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 108.7500 | 2024-03-15 | 107.7300 | -1.0200 | -0.94 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 30.8300 | 2020-03-15 | 32.8600 | 2.0300 | 6.58 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 6.6800 | 2019-03-16 | 9.0500 | 2.3700 | 35.48 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 2.0900 | 2018-03-16 | 4.7200 | 2.6300 | 125.84 |
| Avg | 42.3640 | 42.4980 | 0.13 | 31.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.44% | Feb Total +14.75% | Mar Total +4.53% | Apr Total -5.06% | May Total +9.17% | Jun Total +5.05% | Jul Total +9.70% | Aug Total +1.71% | Sep Total -2.86% | Oct Total -2.72% | Nov Total +17.65% | Dec Total -0.07% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.52% | 0.00% | +0.28% | +3.53% | -0.42% | +1.47% | +0.59% | +0.27% | -0.62% | +1.01% | +1.49% | -0.45% | -0.93% |
| 2 Avg +0.57% | +2.74% | -1.69% | -0.19% | -0.36% | +2.08% | +0.94% | +0.75% | -1.44% | -0.48% | -0.03% | +2.89% | +1.63% |
| 3 Avg -0.08% | -0.93% | +0.40% | +1.13% | -1.17% | +0.55% | -0.60% | +0.82% | -0.03% | -2.67% | +0.31% | +0.65% | +0.52% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.30% | +2.16% | -1.23% | +1.66% | -1.72% | -0.05% | 0.00% | +1.53% | -0.32% | -0.91% | -0.49% | +0.04% |
| 5 Avg -0.13% | -2.10% | +0.10% | +1.13% | -2.70% | -0.26% | -0.36% | -1.06% | +0.33% | +0.32% | -0.32% | +3.34% | +0.01% |
| 6 Avg +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.87% | -0.97% | +1.88% | -0.23% | +0.85% | +0.25% | -0.22% | -0.18% | +0.59% | -2.73% | +1.29% |
| 7 Avg +0.70% | +0.35% | +2.75% | +1.14% | -0.76% | +1.39% | -0.08% | +0.36% | +0.89% | +2.03% | +0.60% | -0.58% | +0.32% |
| 8 Avg +0.15% | -0.54% | -0.58% | -1.68% | -0.56% | +1.40% | -0.74% | +1.96% | +0.80% | -0.94% | -0.19% | +2.55% | +0.30% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | +0.44% | +0.83% | -0.25% | +1.25% | -0.98% | -1.19% | +1.68% | +1.21% | -1.45% | +0.09% | -1.27% | -0.38% |
| 10 Avg -0.07% | -0.77% | -0.37% | +1.83% | -1.10% | +0.40% | +0.46% | +1.05% | -1.71% | -0.78% | -2.17% | +1.92% | +0.38% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | +2.75% | -0.51% | -0.49% | -0.15% | -2.05% | -0.18% | -1.14% | -1.52% | +0.98% | +1.29% | +0.52% | +0.61% |
| 12 Avg -0.36% | -1.49% | +3.23% | -2.46% | +0.22% | -1.80% | -0.01% | +0.90% | +0.86% | -1.62% | -0.04% | -0.86% | -1.24% |
| 13 Avg +0.50% | +0.25% | +0.31% | -0.83% | +1.26% | +0.01% | +2.83% | -1.02% | +0.50% | -0.28% | +0.48% | +1.18% | +1.33% |
| 14 Avg +0.45% | -0.55% | -0.24% | -0.65% | +1.80% | +1.93% | +0.42% | -0.23% | -1.89% | +0.88% | +0.89% | +2.46% | +0.61% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | -0.94% | +2.53% | +0.63% | -2.35% | +0.39% | -0.18% | -1.10% | +0.79% | +1.49% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.84% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.47% | -1.27% | -0.22% | +0.32% | -0.45% | -0.26% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.46% | +1.55% | +0.02% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +1.14% | +0.23% | +1.60% | +1.94% | -0.82% | -2.96% | -0.05% | -0.45% | +0.44% | +0.17% | +0.80% | -0.14% |
| 18 Avg +0.03% | -0.14% | -1.57% | -2.17% | -0.61% | +1.11% | +3.53% | +0.60% | +1.10% | +1.11% | -0.84% | -0.19% | -1.54% |
| 19 Avg +0.73% | -1.45% | +4.91% | +0.90% | -0.86% | +1.50% | +0.68% | +0.49% | +0.88% | +0.90% | -0.34% | +0.43% | +0.72% |
| 20 Avg -0.36% | -0.40% | -1.48% | +0.30% | +0.25% | +0.39% | -1.16% | +1.11% | +0.06% | -0.84% | -0.50% | -1.31% | -0.73% |
| 21 Avg +0.19% | +1.84% | +0.41% | +0.06% | -1.58% | -0.46% | -0.50% | +0.51% | -0.30% | +0.35% | -0.67% | +1.59% | +1.04% |
| 22 Avg +0.14% | -0.05% | -2.15% | -0.28% | +1.83% | -0.40% | +0.72% | +0.60% | -0.03% | +1.21% | -0.98% | +1.27% | -0.01% |
| 23 Avg -0.42% | +0.86% | +0.62% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.51% | +0.87% | -2.45% | +1.51% | -3.90% | -2.79% | +0.54% | -0.70% |
| 24 Avg +0.05% | -0.67% | +0.92% | +1.83% | -1.32% | +0.22% | +0.45% | +1.10% | +0.06% | -1.52% | -0.33% | -0.29% | +0.16% |
| 25 Avg +0.35% | -0.87% | -1.03% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.52% | -0.70% | +0.76% | +0.90% | +0.81% | +1.12% | +2.45% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.01% | -1.12% | +1.36% | -0.68% | -1.19% | +0.95% | +1.63% | -0.02% | -0.39% | -1.30% | +0.35% | -0.11% | +0.70% |
| 27 Avg +0.32% | -1.82% | +1.29% | +0.43% | +0.21% | +1.06% | -0.58% | +0.25% | -0.90% | +1.72% | +1.75% | +2.16% | -1.77% |
| 28 Avg +0.37% | +2.13% | +1.62% | -0.70% | -0.78% | +0.01% | +0.31% | -0.37% | +0.86% | +0.74% | +1.03% | +1.13% | -1.48% |
| 29 Avg -0.26% | -0.05% | - | +0.80% | +0.92% | +0.95% | -1.00% | +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.26% | -1.61% | -1.58% | -1.02% |
| 30 Avg -0.12% | -0.28% | - | +1.35% | -2.26% | +2.23% | +1.50% | +0.38% | -1.01% | -0.23% | -2.63% | +0.10% | -0.47% |
| 31 Avg +0.91% | +1.95% | - | +1.75% | - | -1.52% | - | +3.53% | -0.21% | - | +1.05% | - | -0.21% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
