Check historical price trends and seasonality for Emcor (EME).
Emcor (EME) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +33.29%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.33%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Emcor (EME) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from late winter through the end of the year. The stock tends to climb steadily from March 01, gaining +4.0%, and continues its upward trajectory through November, peaking around November 25 with a substantial +37.9% gain. However, there's a period of weakness around January 27, showing a -1.5% dip. The year typically concludes on December 31 with a strong +33.2% gain.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity appears around January 27, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -1.5%. This dip could be a strategic entry point, anticipating a rebound as the stock begins its climb in late winter. The period leading up to March, while generally positive, can offer minor pullbacks that could be viewed as secondary buy-the-dip opportunities before the more substantial spring rally.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Emcor (EME) could involve capitalizing on the seasonal weakness in late January, specifically around January 27, to establish a position. Given the strong bullish trend throughout the remainder of the year, holding through November and December could yield significant gains. However, consider the potential for volatility and manage risk accordingly, especially around the peak in November and December.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 510.9900 | 2025-03-16 | 388.5100 | -122.4800 | -23.97 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 220.2800 | 2024-03-15 | 328.5000 | 108.2200 | 49.13 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 86.5600 | 2020-03-15 | 62.8500 | -23.7100 | -27.39 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 63.4700 | 2019-03-16 | 73.4700 | 10.0000 | 15.76 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 82.5400 | 2018-03-16 | 80.9800 | -1.5600 | -1.89 |
| Avg | 192.7680 | 186.8620 | -5.91 | 2.33 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.34% | Feb Total +2.66% | Mar Total +1.29% | Apr Total +3.79% | May Total +2.16% | Jun Total +3.66% | Jul Total +6.50% | Aug Total +2.87% | Sep Total -0.72% | Oct Total +5.03% | Nov Total +5.91% | Dec Total -2.05% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.35% | +1.27% | +0.02% | -0.62% | +0.61% | -0.58% | -0.39% | +0.03% | +0.15% | +0.84% | -0.01% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | -0.04% | -0.46% | +0.87% | +0.35% | +0.46% | +0.90% | +0.12% | -0.98% | +0.27% | -0.04% | +0.32% | -0.11% |
| 3 Avg +0.02% | +0.31% | +0.21% | -0.22% | -0.77% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.68% | +0.51% | -1.33% | +0.10% | +0.61% | -0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.19% | -0.17% | -1.19% | +0.21% | +0.44% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.23% | +0.55% | +0.24% | +0.48% |
| 5 Avg +0.08% | -0.30% | 0.00% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.33% | +0.50% | -0.13% | -0.12% | -0.56% | +0.16% | +1.59% | -0.66% |
| 6 Avg +0.24% | +1.20% | +0.35% | -0.83% | +0.51% | +0.09% | +0.62% | -0.08% | +0.50% | -0.10% | +0.26% | +0.26% | +0.16% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | -0.41% | -0.48% | +0.12% | +0.45% | +0.50% | +0.21% | +0.26% | +0.49% | -0.13% | -0.09% | +0.37% | +0.10% |
| 8 Avg +0.18% | -0.09% | -0.19% | +0.11% | +0.16% | +0.72% | +0.30% | -0.38% | +0.81% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.31% | +0.76% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.27% | +0.29% | -0.66% | +1.24% | -0.38% | -0.51% | +0.04% | -0.73% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +1.04% | -0.96% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | +0.08% | +0.42% | -0.28% | +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.90% | +0.15% | +0.26% | +0.07% | -0.35% | +1.12% | -0.36% |
| 11 Avg -0.04% | +0.40% | -0.51% | +0.18% | +0.31% | -0.87% | -0.80% | -0.01% | +0.18% | +0.32% | +0.02% | -0.24% | +0.56% |
| 12 Avg -0.06% | +0.43% | -0.03% | -1.22% | +0.29% | -0.51% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.52% | -0.03% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.03% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +1.14% | -0.14% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.05% | -0.30% | -0.26% | +0.06% | -0.49% | -0.19% |
| 14 Avg +0.08% | +0.57% | +0.44% | +0.45% | +0.24% | +0.13% | -0.78% | +0.32% | +0.03% | +0.08% | -0.10% | +0.65% | -1.00% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.66% | +0.17% | -0.48% | +0.43% | +0.33% | +0.55% | -0.09% | +0.16% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.28% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.18% | -1.19% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.20% | -0.08% | -0.27% | -0.10% | +0.28% | +0.56% | +0.28% |
| 17 Avg -0.20% | -0.52% | -0.19% | -0.38% | +0.87% | -0.17% | -0.57% | -0.87% | -0.42% | 0.00% | +0.58% | +0.03% | -0.77% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.05% | -0.15% | +0.15% | +0.24% | +0.35% | -0.21% | +0.27% | +0.21% | -0.11% | -0.20% | +0.01% | -0.07% |
| 19 Avg +0.05% | -0.60% | +0.61% | +0.71% | -0.37% | -0.24% | +0.11% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.74% | -0.26% | +0.23% | -0.30% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.41% | +0.23% | +0.56% | +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.09% | -0.15% | -0.13% | -0.62% | -0.10% |
| 21 Avg -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.64% | -0.11% | -0.71% | +0.57% | +0.58% | 0.00% | +0.56% | -0.79% | +0.21% | +0.07% | +0.06% |
| 22 Avg +0.09% | +0.81% | +0.65% | -0.63% | +0.31% | -0.66% | +0.24% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.80% | -0.69% | -0.13% | +0.31% |
| 23 Avg +0.15% | -0.50% | +0.56% | -0.99% | +0.83% | -0.02% | +0.53% | +0.68% | +0.15% | -0.08% | +0.22% | +0.17% | +0.28% |
| 24 Avg +0.26% | +0.83% | -0.35% | +1.00% | +0.91% | +0.62% | +0.21% | -0.68% | +0.13% | -0.28% | +0.46% | +0.34% | -0.11% |
| 25 Avg +0.29% | -0.74% | +0.20% | +0.61% | +0.55% | +0.48% | +0.06% | +0.81% | +0.52% | +0.13% | +0.46% | +0.43% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.34% | +0.38% | +0.12% | +1.41% | -0.84% | +1.01% | +0.32% | +0.19% | -0.39% | -0.20% | +1.56% | -0.02% | +0.57% |
| 27 Avg +0.20% | -2.63% | -0.05% | -1.00% | +1.22% | +1.18% | +0.24% | +2.06% | +0.50% | +0.32% | +0.77% | -0.19% | +0.01% |
| 28 Avg +0.26% | +0.71% | +0.52% | -0.14% | -0.33% | -0.78% | -0.06% | +1.66% | +0.63% | +0.69% | +0.97% | -0.13% | -0.61% |
| 29 Avg +0.27% | -0.04% | - | +0.53% | +1.01% | -0.35% | +0.44% | +1.03% | +0.56% | -0.33% | +0.48% | -0.25% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg -0.05% | +0.35% | - | +0.53% | -1.16% | +0.30% | +0.72% | -0.30% | +0.26% | +0.16% | -0.82% | -0.37% | -0.21% |
| 31 Avg -0.10% | -0.25% | - | +0.16% | - | -1.11% | - | +0.40% | -0.09% | - | +0.39% | - | -0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
