Check historical price trends and seasonality for Est?e Lauder Companies (The) (EL).
Est?e Lauder Companies (The) (EL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.91%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 20 for 60 days) is -5.24%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Estée Lauder typically experiences a bearish phase in early May, bottoming out around May 7 with an average decline of -2.7%. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in June and peaking in late December. The most significant gains tend to occur around December 27 (+10.2%) and December 31 (+9.9%), indicating a strong year-end rally. The period from early January to early February is generally a period of consolidation or slight decline before the bullish trend resumes.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip to consider for buying occurs in early May, with the lowest point around May 7, averaging a -2.7% decline. This pullback likely represents a seasonal lull before a sustained uptrend. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, dip occurs in early April. Buying during these periods could position investors to capitalize on the subsequent rallies that typically unfold in the following months.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Estée Lauder might involve accumulating shares during the early May dip to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend. The data suggests that holding through the end of the year, particularly to late December, could yield significant gains. However, investors should be aware of the potential for short-term declines in early April and early May and manage their positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-20 | 71.3400 | 2025-04-20 | 54.4700 | -16.8700 | -23.65 |
| 2024 | 2024-02-20 | 145.1100 | 2024-04-19 | 144.4100 | -0.7000 | -0.48 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-20 | 211.3200 | 2020-04-19 | 174.2600 | -37.0600 | -17.54 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-20 | 156.6700 | 2019-04-20 | 170.3300 | 13.6600 | 8.72 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-20 | 139.3500 | 2018-04-20 | 148.7300 | 9.3800 | 6.73 |
| Avg | 144.7580 | 138.4400 | -6.32 | -5.24 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.64% | Feb Total +2.28% | Mar Total +0.19% | Apr Total +1.31% | May Total -2.50% | Jun Total +2.28% | Jul Total +1.81% | Aug Total +0.44% | Sep Total -2.99% | Oct Total -4.17% | Nov Total +4.64% | Dec Total +5.26% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.52% | +0.35% | -0.01% | -2.01% | -0.05% | +0.55% | -0.85% | +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.72% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.23% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.68% | -0.32% | -0.21% | +1.10% | +0.69% | -0.57% | -0.10% | -0.16% | +0.11% | +1.57% |
| 3 Avg -0.38% | -0.76% | -0.12% | -0.26% | -1.58% | -2.85% | +0.59% | +0.19% | -0.07% | +0.06% | -0.29% | -0.48% | +1.07% |
| 4 Avg +0.06% | +0.41% | -0.85% | -0.48% | -0.82% | +1.12% | +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.26% | -0.56% | +0.23% | +0.59% | +0.58% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | -0.34% | +3.14% | +0.65% | -0.24% | -1.15% | -0.40% | -0.02% | -0.86% | -0.01% | +0.42% | +0.44% | -0.79% |
| 6 Avg +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.25% | -0.21% | +0.07% | -0.16% | +0.61% | -0.29% | +0.24% | -0.49% | +0.30% | -0.37% | +0.60% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.24% | -0.51% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.48% | +0.32% | -0.24% | +0.08% | +0.80% | +0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | +0.34% | -0.19% | +0.13% | -0.07% | +0.65% | -0.22% | -0.36% | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.40% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.29% | +0.40% | -0.55% | +1.44% | -0.34% | -0.82% | -0.06% | -0.58% | +0.11% | -0.30% | -0.04% | +0.20% |
| 10 Avg -0.09% | -1.22% | +0.28% | +0.40% | -0.42% | -0.01% | -0.30% | +0.74% | +0.54% | -0.88% | -1.61% | +0.64% | +0.74% |
| 11 Avg -0.17% | +0.38% | -0.20% | -0.71% | +0.41% | -0.35% | -0.58% | -0.69% | -0.50% | -0.33% | -0.02% | +0.70% | -0.18% |
| 12 Avg -0.06% | -0.05% | +0.50% | -1.41% | -0.32% | +0.38% | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.01% |
| 13 Avg +0.31% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +1.03% | -0.03% | +0.16% | -0.56% | +0.31% | +1.28% | -0.49% | +0.51% | +0.23% | +1.01% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | -0.61% | +0.14% | -0.36% | +0.30% | +0.16% | +0.65% | +0.44% | -0.83% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.75% | -0.24% |
| 15 Avg +0.10% | -0.03% | +0.41% | +0.17% | -0.74% | +0.75% | +0.56% | -0.29% | +0.42% | +0.38% | -0.42% | +0.30% | -0.36% |
| 16 Avg +0.14% | +0.09% | +0.20% | -0.79% | +0.45% | +0.04% | +1.09% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -0.28% | +0.70% | -0.33% | +0.41% |
| 17 Avg +0.23% | +0.21% | +0.16% | +0.82% | +1.34% | -0.06% | +0.36% | +0.09% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.49% | +0.23% | -0.79% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.36% | +0.38% | -0.01% | +0.85% | -0.11% | -0.43% | -0.60% | +0.68% | -0.16% | -0.66% | +0.14% | -0.21% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.39% | +0.25% | +0.34% | -0.32% | +0.51% | +0.51% | -0.16% | -0.76% | -0.30% | -0.06% |
| 20 Avg -0.22% | +0.29% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.35% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.79% | -0.60% | -0.58% | -0.06% | -0.35% |
| 21 Avg -0.11% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.24% | -1.09% | -0.19% | +0.39% | -0.18% | +0.11% | -0.57% | +0.35% | -0.35% | +0.47% |
| 22 Avg +0.17% | -0.21% | -0.04% | -0.29% | +0.56% | -0.07% | +0.30% | +0.53% | -0.32% | +0.23% | +0.16% | +0.79% | +0.39% |
| 23 Avg +0.08% | +0.60% | +0.31% | -0.88% | +0.22% | -0.77% | +0.99% | +0.17% | +0.20% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.21% | -0.16% | +1.31% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.20% | -0.76% | +0.38% | +0.56% | +0.32% | +0.76% | -0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | +0.02% | -0.36% | +0.15% | +0.08% | +0.22% | -0.33% | +0.69% | +0.53% | -0.27% | +0.35% | +0.39% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | -0.06% | -0.86% | +0.93% | -0.15% | +0.96% | +0.04% | -0.26% | -0.13% | +1.16% | -0.13% | -0.11% | +0.58% |
| 27 Avg -0.07% | -0.82% | -0.49% | -0.19% | +0.39% | +1.37% | -0.65% | -0.06% | +0.47% | 0.00% | -1.16% | -0.15% | +0.44% |
| 28 Avg +0.17% | +0.98% | -0.36% | +0.50% | +0.78% | +0.01% | -0.75% | +0.87% | +0.55% | -0.26% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | - | +0.75% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.15% | +0.09% | -0.05% | -0.10% | +0.27% | -0.24% | -0.05% |
| 30 Avg +0.16% | +0.60% | - | +0.33% | -0.14% | -0.20% | +0.56% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.01% | +0.40% | +0.92% | -0.47% |
| 31 Avg -0.49% | -0.03% | - | -0.74% | - | -0.54% | - | 0.00% | -0.33% | - | -2.12% | - | +0.34% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
