Check historical price trends and seasonality for eBay (EBAY).
eBay (EBAY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +15.98%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is +9.96%.
5 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
eBay's stock price tends to experience a strong bullish phase from early January, starting around +0.2% on January 4th, and continuing through July, reaching a peak around +21.3% by July 31st. This upward trend culminates in a significant peak around August 13th (+24.1%). Following this peak, the stock typically enters a bearish phase, declining from late August through October, before finding some support. There is a tendency for the stock to consolidate in November and December, culminating in a year-end rally around December 31st (+15.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities may arise during pullback periods. One such period appears from March 10th to March 25th, where the stock declines from +5.7% to +4.4%. Another potential buying opportunity occurs from late April into early May, where the stock pulls back from +9.1% on April 28th to +7.0% on May 1st. Finally, a more significant dip tends to occur from late August through October, offering a chance to buy before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in eBay might involve accumulating shares during pullback periods in March, late April/early May, or more significantly, from late August through October. The data suggests holding through the bullish periods, particularly leading up to August 13th, and potentially capitalizing on the year-end rally around December 31st. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other fundamental and technical analyses for a well-rounded investment strategy.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 65.0600 | 2025-02-14 | 69.9000 | 4.8400 | 7.44 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 40.7000 | 2024-02-14 | 42.1800 | 1.4800 | 3.64 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 35.9200 | 2020-02-14 | 38.1400 | 2.2200 | 6.18 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 30.2900 | 2019-02-14 | 36.3200 | 6.0300 | 19.91 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 37.6800 | 2018-02-14 | 42.4400 | 4.7600 | 12.63 |
| Avg | 41.9300 | 45.7960 | 3.87 | 9.96 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.58% | Feb Total +2.66% | Mar Total +0.56% | Apr Total +1.58% | May Total +1.72% | Jun Total +2.46% | Jul Total +7.44% | Aug Total +1.49% | Sep Total -2.13% | Oct Total -5.92% | Nov Total +1.81% | Dec Total +1.08% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.20% | 0.00% | +2.64% | +0.38% | +0.03% | -0.76% | -0.03% | +0.62% | -0.09% | -0.02% | -0.44% | +0.01% | +0.03% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.52% | -0.95% | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.31% | +1.35% | +0.53% | -0.24% | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.46% | +0.48% |
| 3 Avg +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.02% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.57% | -0.06% | -0.07% | +0.66% | -0.50% | +0.22% | +1.03% | -0.34% |
| 4 Avg +0.37% | -0.36% | +1.95% | +1.05% | -0.61% | +0.26% | +1.43% | 0.00% | -0.56% | +0.26% | +0.47% | +0.45% | +0.08% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.32% | -0.45% | -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.42% | +0.36% | +0.36% | -0.94% | -0.16% | +0.12% | +0.31% | +0.01% |
| 6 Avg +0.18% | +1.68% | +0.57% | -0.34% | +0.25% | +0.27% | +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.15% | -0.28% | -0.24% | +0.20% | -0.23% |
| 7 Avg +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.61% | +0.03% | -0.72% | +0.21% | +0.44% | +0.46% | +0.20% | +0.38% | +0.20% | +0.66% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.19% | +1.49% | -0.21% | -0.62% | +0.24% | +0.32% | +0.23% | -0.01% | +0.55% | -0.28% | +0.27% | -0.33% | +0.64% |
| 9 Avg +0.06% | -0.70% | -0.26% | -0.14% | +0.71% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.63% | -0.03% | +0.42% | +0.88% | -1.03% | +0.13% |
| 10 Avg -0.17% | -0.92% | -0.04% | -0.80% | +0.36% | +0.39% | -0.50% | +0.53% | -0.15% | -0.61% | -0.66% | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 11 Avg +0.11% | +0.53% | +0.06% | -0.57% | -0.11% | -0.76% | -0.27% | +0.41% | +0.66% | +0.42% | -0.51% | +1.21% | +0.27% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.99% | -0.70% | 0.00% | -0.80% | -0.26% | +0.56% | +0.35% | +0.67% | +0.02% | -0.52% | +0.26% |
| 13 Avg +0.03% | -0.66% | -0.13% | -0.07% | +0.95% | -0.04% | -0.40% | -0.28% | +1.50% | -0.58% | +0.62% | -0.61% | +0.07% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.04% | +0.58% | +0.65% | +0.21% | +0.78% | -0.76% | +0.61% | -0.45% | -0.29% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.15% |
| 15 Avg +0.25% | +0.05% | +0.90% | +0.25% | +0.23% | +0.35% | +0.29% | +0.29% | -0.16% | +0.36% | +0.02% | +0.64% | -0.22% |
| 16 Avg -0.13% | -0.18% | -0.26% | -0.17% | +0.36% | -0.24% | -0.65% | +0.27% | +0.21% | -0.43% | +0.25% | -0.22% | -0.45% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.36% | -0.20% | +1.46% | +0.10% | -0.15% | +0.38% | -0.32% | -0.46% | -0.14% | -0.04% | -0.41% | +0.10% |
| 18 Avg -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -1.04% | +0.43% | -0.14% | +0.13% | +0.53% | -0.27% | -0.52% | -0.28% | +0.12% | +0.17% |
| 19 Avg -0.07% | +0.61% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.41% | -0.49% | +0.44% | -0.30% | +0.24% | -0.02% | -1.35% | +0.06% | +0.31% |
| 20 Avg -0.23% | -0.16% | +0.02% | -0.59% | -0.62% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.59% | -0.05% | -0.66% | -0.59% | -0.53% | -0.19% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.15% | +0.08% | -0.28% | +0.24% | -0.13% | +0.77% | +0.47% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.54% | -0.54% |
| 22 Avg +0.23% | +0.97% | +0.20% | -0.54% | -0.04% | +0.38% | +0.32% | +0.98% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.21% | +0.62% | -0.24% |
| 23 Avg -0.13% | +0.20% | -0.84% | -0.77% | -0.06% | +0.21% | +0.28% | -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.06% | -0.26% | -0.11% | +0.55% | +0.99% | +0.26% | -0.51% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.45% | -0.76% | +0.21% | -0.27% |
| 25 Avg +0.11% | +0.85% | -0.58% | +0.31% | +0.25% | +0.42% | -0.09% | -0.28% | +0.30% | -0.44% | -0.15% | +0.68% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.24% | +1.34% | -0.27% | +1.34% | -0.32% | +0.48% | +0.06% | +0.76% | -0.36% | -0.27% | -0.70% | +0.05% | +0.71% |
| 27 Avg -0.14% | +0.16% | -1.03% | +0.14% | +0.62% | +0.55% | -0.57% | -0.91% | -0.41% | -0.26% | -0.04% | +0.07% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg -0.02% | -1.08% | +0.60% | +0.42% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.05% | -0.30% | +0.22% | -0.52% | -0.09% | +0.15% |
| 29 Avg -0.15% | -0.61% | - | +0.42% | -1.19% | +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.30% | -0.24% | -0.33% | -1.18% | +0.93% |
| 30 Avg -0.12% | +0.10% | - | +0.33% | +0.11% | +0.22% | +0.22% | -0.74% | +0.49% | +0.11% | -1.57% | -0.19% | -0.46% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | -0.27% | - | -0.49% | - | -0.32% | - | +1.69% | +0.12% | - | -0.51% | - | -0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
