Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS).

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Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.25%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -6.68%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The Walt Disney Company's stock exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The strongest bullish phase typically occurs in February, peaking around February 15 with an average gain of +4.2%. A second bullish phase occurs in December, gaining +3.2% by December 31. The stock tends to experience a bearish phase from March through October, with a significant low point around October 12, showing an average decline of -5.6%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant buying opportunity appears to be around October 12, where the stock experiences its largest average decline of -5.6%. This pullback is likely driven by end-of-summer travel season concerns and potentially weaker theme park attendance. Another potential buying opportunity exists in late March, continuing through April, as the stock experiences consistent negative returns. Investors might also consider accumulating shares throughout May, June, July, August, and September, as these months generally show negative seasonality.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average, a strategic approach to investing in Disney would involve accumulating shares during periods of seasonal weakness, particularly around October 12. Given the strong positive seasonality in February and December, these could be considered profit-taking opportunities. However, investors should always consider fundamental analysis and broader market conditions alongside these seasonal trends.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 112.7900 2025-05-01 90.8100 -21.9800 -19.49
2023 2023-03-03 101.1400 2023-05-01 102.2100 1.0700 1.06
2022 2022-03-03 145.5700 2022-05-01 111.6300 -33.9400 -23.32
2021 2021-03-03 192.2600 2021-05-01 186.0200 -6.2400 -3.25
2020 2020-03-03 116.4500 2020-05-01 105.5000 -10.9500 -9.40
2017 2017-03-03 111.2400 2017-05-01 114.7300 3.4900 3.14
2016 2016-03-03 98.8200 2016-05-01 103.2600 4.4400 4.49
Avg 125.4671 116.3086 -9.16 -6.68
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.19% Feb Total +0.37% Mar Total -2.36% Apr Total +0.75% May Total -0.84% Jun Total -0.64% Jul Total +1.99% Aug Total -0.23% Sep Total -3.41% Oct Total +0.78% Nov Total +5.62% Dec Total +1.62%
1 Avg +0.09% 0.00% +0.60% +0.50% -0.01% -0.49% +0.04% +0.40% -0.37% +0.05% -0.13% +0.33% +0.21%
2 Avg +0.04% +0.58% +0.14% +0.23% +0.12% +0.26% +0.21% -0.02% -1.11% -0.06% +0.18% -0.43% +0.40%
3 Avg -0.09% +0.36% +0.06% -0.12% -1.48% -0.27% +0.03% +0.31% +0.40% -0.49% -0.08% +0.44% -0.18%
4 Avg +0.09% +0.19% +0.61% -0.50% -0.36% -0.20% +0.49% 0.00% +0.08% +0.05% +0.52% -0.02% +0.22%
5 Avg -0.17% -0.22% -0.92% -0.36% -0.13% -0.19% -0.15% -0.15% +0.53% -0.21% +0.08% +0.46% -0.72%
6 Avg +0.15% +0.39% +0.39% -0.37% +0.34% +0.15% +0.34% -0.41% +0.68% -0.19% +0.10% +0.37% +0.05%
7 Avg -0.10% +0.06% -0.27% -0.75% -0.21% +0.77% +0.17% -0.07% -1.22% -0.01% -0.29% +0.65% -0.02%
8 Avg +0.29% -0.18% +1.18% +0.40% -0.28% +0.88% +0.08% -0.05% +0.40% +0.43% -0.16% +0.26% +0.52%
9 Avg +0.03% -0.11% +0.16% -1.42% +1.71% -0.51% -0.47% +0.29% -0.39% -0.08% +0.50% +0.81% -0.08%
10 Avg -0.04% -0.18% -0.23% +0.14% -0.48% +0.04% -0.22% +0.39% +0.67% -0.48% -0.74% +0.50% +0.16%
11 Avg -0.13% +0.49% -0.27% -0.74% -0.24% -1.75% -0.96% 0.00% +0.42% +0.04% -0.56% +0.11% +1.89%
12 Avg +0.13% +0.40% +0.09% -1.14% +0.65% -0.25% +0.48% +0.72% +0.28% +0.56% -0.13% -0.13% +0.07%
13 Avg +0.18% -0.53% +0.23% +0.74% +0.49% -0.07% +0.19% -0.21% +0.30% -0.09% +0.77% +0.48% -0.08%
14 Avg +0.00% -0.24% +0.32% +0.23% 0.00% +0.30% 0.00% -0.03% -0.31% -0.26% -0.16% +0.35% -0.20%
15 Avg +0.18% -0.75% +0.70% +0.22% -0.24% +0.19% +0.22% +0.48% +0.32% +0.15% +0.23% +0.77% -0.08%
16 Avg -0.05% -0.04% +0.02% -0.47% -0.41% -0.09% -0.20% -0.18% +0.07% -0.27% +0.63% +0.44% -0.11%
17 Avg 0.00% -0.13% -0.05% +0.07% +1.04% +0.01% 0.00% -0.47% -0.57% +0.10% +0.58% -0.41% -0.17%
18 Avg -0.18% +0.02% -0.43% -0.63% +0.10% +0.30% -0.38% +0.08% -0.09% -0.21% -0.45% -0.10% -0.36%
19 Avg -0.12% -0.06% +0.42% +0.37% +0.17% -0.65% -0.32% +0.11% -0.25% -0.58% +0.08% -0.52% -0.24%
20 Avg -0.19% +0.24% -0.37% -0.73% -1.19% +0.53% -0.06% +0.29% +0.03% -0.10% +0.08% -0.45% -0.56%
21 Avg -0.14% -0.57% -0.77% -0.03% -0.39% -0.25% -0.34% +0.18% +0.10% -1.13% +0.73% +0.83% -0.01%
22 Avg +0.04% +0.66% +0.44% -0.26% -0.03% +0.12% +0.10% -0.31% -0.13% -0.14% -0.02% +0.09% -0.09%
23 Avg -0.06% +0.09% +0.20% -0.59% +0.43% -0.55% +0.25% -0.21% -0.30% -0.53% -0.14% +0.39% +0.29%
24 Avg +0.03% -0.01% -0.01% +1.25% +0.36% -0.24% -0.23% -0.36% +0.02% +0.28% -0.90% +0.27% -0.10%
25 Avg +0.11% +0.13% -0.87% +0.80% +0.44% +0.17% -0.08% -0.13% +0.08% +0.34% +0.30% +0.16% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.11% +0.10% -0.17% +0.80% -0.30% +0.61% +0.16% +0.26% +0.11% -0.31% -0.33% -0.08% +0.43%
27 Avg -0.04% -0.54% -0.82% -0.73% +0.80% +0.83% -0.27% +0.42% +0.29% -0.03% -0.19% +0.09% -0.37%
28 Avg +0.05% +0.75% -0.01% -0.13% +0.06% -0.44% -0.06% +0.05% +0.23% +0.36% -0.22% -0.23% +0.20%
29 Avg +0.14% +0.13% - +0.61% +0.29% -0.39% +0.05% +0.36% +0.13% -0.11% 0.00% +0.16% +0.29%
30 Avg +0.01% -0.13% - +0.55% -0.50% +0.19% +0.29% -0.08% -0.12% -0.49% +0.32% +0.03% +0.07%
31 Avg +0.05% +0.28% - -0.31% - +0.13% - +0.33% -0.50% - +0.24% - +0.17%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses