Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS).

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Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.25%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.96%.

2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The Walt Disney Company's stock exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The strongest bullish phase typically occurs in February, peaking around February 15 with an average gain of +4.2%. A second bullish phase occurs in December, gaining +3.2% by December 31. The stock tends to experience a bearish phase from March through October, with a significant low point around October 12, showing an average decline of -5.6%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant buying opportunity appears to be around October 12, where the stock experiences its largest average decline of -5.6%. This pullback is likely driven by end-of-summer travel season concerns and potentially weaker theme park attendance. Another potential buying opportunity exists in late March, continuing through April, as the stock experiences consistent negative returns. Investors might also consider accumulating shares throughout May, June, July, August, and September, as these months generally show negative seasonality.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average, a strategic approach to investing in Disney would involve accumulating shares during periods of seasonal weakness, particularly around October 12. Given the strong positive seasonality in February and December, these could be considered profit-taking opportunities. However, investors should always consider fundamental analysis and broader market conditions alongside these seasonal trends.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 106.4600 2025-03-16 98.6400 -7.8200 -7.35
2024 2024-01-16 93.0500 2024-03-15 111.9500 18.9000 20.31
2020 2020-01-16 145.1200 2020-03-15 102.5200 -42.6000 -29.36
2019 2019-01-16 110.9100 2019-03-16 114.9600 4.0500 3.65
2018 2018-01-16 110.6900 2018-03-16 102.8700 -7.8200 -7.06
Avg 113.2460 106.1880 -7.06 -3.96
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.19% Feb Total +0.37% Mar Total -2.36% Apr Total +0.75% May Total -0.84% Jun Total -0.64% Jul Total +1.99% Aug Total -0.23% Sep Total -3.41% Oct Total +0.78% Nov Total +5.62% Dec Total +1.62%
1 Avg +0.09% 0.00% +0.60% +0.50% -0.01% -0.49% +0.04% +0.40% -0.37% +0.05% -0.13% +0.33% +0.21%
2 Avg +0.04% +0.58% +0.14% +0.23% +0.12% +0.26% +0.21% -0.02% -1.11% -0.06% +0.18% -0.43% +0.40%
3 Avg -0.09% +0.36% +0.06% -0.12% -1.48% -0.27% +0.03% +0.31% +0.40% -0.49% -0.08% +0.44% -0.18%
4 Avg +0.09% +0.19% +0.61% -0.50% -0.36% -0.20% +0.49% 0.00% +0.08% +0.05% +0.52% -0.02% +0.22%
5 Avg -0.17% -0.22% -0.92% -0.36% -0.13% -0.19% -0.15% -0.15% +0.53% -0.21% +0.08% +0.46% -0.72%
6 Avg +0.15% +0.39% +0.39% -0.37% +0.34% +0.15% +0.34% -0.41% +0.68% -0.19% +0.10% +0.37% +0.05%
7 Avg -0.10% +0.06% -0.27% -0.75% -0.21% +0.77% +0.17% -0.07% -1.22% -0.01% -0.29% +0.65% -0.02%
8 Avg +0.29% -0.18% +1.18% +0.40% -0.28% +0.88% +0.08% -0.05% +0.40% +0.43% -0.16% +0.26% +0.52%
9 Avg +0.03% -0.11% +0.16% -1.42% +1.71% -0.51% -0.47% +0.29% -0.39% -0.08% +0.50% +0.81% -0.08%
10 Avg -0.04% -0.18% -0.23% +0.14% -0.48% +0.04% -0.22% +0.39% +0.67% -0.48% -0.74% +0.50% +0.16%
11 Avg -0.13% +0.49% -0.27% -0.74% -0.24% -1.75% -0.96% 0.00% +0.42% +0.04% -0.56% +0.11% +1.89%
12 Avg +0.13% +0.40% +0.09% -1.14% +0.65% -0.25% +0.48% +0.72% +0.28% +0.56% -0.13% -0.13% +0.07%
13 Avg +0.18% -0.53% +0.23% +0.74% +0.49% -0.07% +0.19% -0.21% +0.30% -0.09% +0.77% +0.48% -0.08%
14 Avg +0.00% -0.24% +0.32% +0.23% 0.00% +0.30% 0.00% -0.03% -0.31% -0.26% -0.16% +0.35% -0.20%
15 Avg +0.18% -0.75% +0.70% +0.22% -0.24% +0.19% +0.22% +0.48% +0.32% +0.15% +0.23% +0.77% -0.08%
16 Avg -0.05% -0.04% +0.02% -0.47% -0.41% -0.09% -0.20% -0.18% +0.07% -0.27% +0.63% +0.44% -0.11%
17 Avg 0.00% -0.13% -0.05% +0.07% +1.04% +0.01% 0.00% -0.47% -0.57% +0.10% +0.58% -0.41% -0.17%
18 Avg -0.18% +0.02% -0.43% -0.63% +0.10% +0.30% -0.38% +0.08% -0.09% -0.21% -0.45% -0.10% -0.36%
19 Avg -0.12% -0.06% +0.42% +0.37% +0.17% -0.65% -0.32% +0.11% -0.25% -0.58% +0.08% -0.52% -0.24%
20 Avg -0.19% +0.24% -0.37% -0.73% -1.19% +0.53% -0.06% +0.29% +0.03% -0.10% +0.08% -0.45% -0.56%
21 Avg -0.14% -0.57% -0.77% -0.03% -0.39% -0.25% -0.34% +0.18% +0.10% -1.13% +0.73% +0.83% -0.01%
22 Avg +0.04% +0.66% +0.44% -0.26% -0.03% +0.12% +0.10% -0.31% -0.13% -0.14% -0.02% +0.09% -0.09%
23 Avg -0.06% +0.09% +0.20% -0.59% +0.43% -0.55% +0.25% -0.21% -0.30% -0.53% -0.14% +0.39% +0.29%
24 Avg +0.03% -0.01% -0.01% +1.25% +0.36% -0.24% -0.23% -0.36% +0.02% +0.28% -0.90% +0.27% -0.10%
25 Avg +0.11% +0.13% -0.87% +0.80% +0.44% +0.17% -0.08% -0.13% +0.08% +0.34% +0.30% +0.16% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.11% +0.10% -0.17% +0.80% -0.30% +0.61% +0.16% +0.26% +0.11% -0.31% -0.33% -0.08% +0.43%
27 Avg -0.04% -0.54% -0.82% -0.73% +0.80% +0.83% -0.27% +0.42% +0.29% -0.03% -0.19% +0.09% -0.37%
28 Avg +0.05% +0.75% -0.01% -0.13% +0.06% -0.44% -0.06% +0.05% +0.23% +0.36% -0.22% -0.23% +0.20%
29 Avg +0.14% +0.13% - +0.61% +0.29% -0.39% +0.05% +0.36% +0.13% -0.11% 0.00% +0.16% +0.29%
30 Avg +0.01% -0.13% - +0.55% -0.50% +0.19% +0.29% -0.08% -0.12% -0.49% +0.32% +0.03% +0.07%
31 Avg +0.05% +0.28% - -0.31% - +0.13% - +0.33% -0.50% - +0.24% - +0.17%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses