Check historical price trends and seasonality for HF Sinclair (DINO).
HF Sinclair (DINO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.52%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -13.05%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
HF Sinclair (DINO) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early February, reaching a low point around April 16 with a -5.5% average decline. A strong bullish phase begins in late August, culminating around November 16 with an impressive +14.7% average increase, followed by a slight decline, and then ending the year on December 31 with a +7.5% gain.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for DINO historically occurs between February and mid-April, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the stock declines by an average of -5.5% by April 16. Another minor pullback occurs in late May, before the stock begins its climb in late August. These pullbacks could be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific headwinds, but the stock has historically rebounded strongly afterward.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in HF Sinclair (DINO) might involve accumulating shares during the weakness in February through mid-April. The most opportune time to enter a position is around April 16, capitalizing on the -5.5% dip, with the expectation of riding the upward trend that historically materializes from late August through November 16. Consider exiting or reducing positions near November 16 to capture the +14.7% gain, and then re-entering near the end of the year, around December 31, to capture the +7.5% gain.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 36.7400 | 2025-03-16 | 32.3600 | -4.3800 | -11.92 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 53.2400 | 2024-03-15 | 59.3400 | 6.1000 | 11.46 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 46.9300 | 2020-03-15 | 22.6600 | -24.2700 | -51.72 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 53.3000 | 2019-03-16 | 52.2000 | -1.1000 | -2.06 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 52.2500 | 2018-03-16 | 46.5100 | -5.7400 | -10.99 |
| Avg | 48.4920 | 42.6140 | -5.88 | -13.05 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.27% | Feb Total -5.14% | Mar Total +1.79% | Apr Total +2.33% | May Total -0.71% | Jun Total +2.03% | Jul Total +3.96% | Aug Total +2.53% | Sep Total +0.85% | Oct Total -0.03% | Nov Total +5.37% | Dec Total -1.92% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +1.37% | -0.69% | -0.64% | +2.02% | +0.02% | -0.40% | -0.38% | -0.41% | +1.15% | +0.56% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | +0.31% | -1.10% | -0.51% | +0.59% | +0.48% | +1.28% | 0.00% | -0.79% | +0.62% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.68% |
| 3 Avg -0.11% | -0.90% | -0.83% | +0.28% | -1.03% | +0.70% | +0.30% | +0.28% | +0.17% | -0.48% | +1.32% | +0.08% | -1.19% |
| 4 Avg -0.18% | +0.20% | +1.13% | -0.55% | -1.12% | -1.10% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.69% | +0.05% | +0.39% | -0.62% | -0.13% |
| 5 Avg -0.16% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.56% | +0.05% | -0.73% | +0.97% | -1.84% | +0.18% | -0.90% | +0.12% | +0.39% | +0.18% |
| 6 Avg -0.21% | -0.96% | -0.61% | -0.82% | +1.36% | -0.34% | -0.02% | -0.28% | -0.52% | +0.18% | -0.07% | +0.11% | -0.50% |
| 7 Avg +0.19% | +0.22% | +0.11% | -0.08% | -0.08% | -0.57% | +1.34% | +0.43% | +0.87% | +0.40% | -0.78% | +0.39% | +0.04% |
| 8 Avg +0.17% | -0.70% | +0.20% | +0.96% | -0.47% | +2.10% | +0.05% | +0.26% | +0.86% | +0.16% | -0.30% | -0.82% | -0.24% |
| 9 Avg +0.09% | -0.31% | +0.09% | -1.68% | +0.48% | -0.32% | -0.29% | -0.17% | -0.67% | +0.37% | +0.38% | +3.86% | -0.68% |
| 10 Avg +0.31% | +0.83% | +0.84% | +0.61% | +0.32% | +0.82% | -0.34% | +0.46% | +0.38% | -0.46% | -0.02% | -0.06% | +0.36% |
| 11 Avg +0.14% | +0.85% | +0.88% | -0.22% | +0.58% | -0.46% | -0.88% | +0.42% | +0.85% | +0.13% | -0.18% | -0.01% | -0.34% |
| 12 Avg -0.15% | +1.08% | -0.02% | -1.33% | -0.84% | -0.51% | -0.50% | +0.03% | +0.52% | -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.56% | +0.44% |
| 13 Avg +0.03% | -1.07% | +0.03% | +2.02% | +0.19% | -0.16% | -0.74% | -0.06% | -0.46% | +0.33% | +0.28% | +0.19% | -0.13% |
| 14 Avg +0.20% | +1.92% | +0.90% | +0.31% | +0.06% | +1.32% | -1.19% | -0.63% | -0.34% | -0.92% | +0.27% | +1.67% | -0.96% |
| 15 Avg -0.14% | -1.22% | +0.29% | -0.54% | -1.59% | -0.28% | +0.56% | +0.37% | -0.37% | +0.60% | -0.39% | +0.35% | +0.55% |
| 16 Avg -0.12% | -0.31% | -0.26% | -0.13% | -0.23% | -0.34% | +0.46% | -0.56% | -0.35% | +0.71% | -0.27% | +1.03% | -1.17% |
| 17 Avg +0.18% | +0.16% | -0.29% | +0.45% | +2.05% | +0.74% | -1.40% | +0.11% | +0.53% | -0.21% | +0.85% | -0.59% | -0.19% |
| 18 Avg +0.22% | +0.09% | -0.66% | 0.00% | +0.28% | +1.68% | +0.40% | +0.52% | -0.30% | +0.47% | +0.76% | -0.12% | -0.47% |
| 19 Avg -0.24% | +0.50% | +1.08% | -0.41% | -0.30% | -1.35% | +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.36% | -0.23% | -0.92% | -1.42% | -0.70% |
| 20 Avg +0.00% | -0.25% | -0.63% | +1.67% | -0.23% | +0.50% | +0.22% | -0.45% | +0.15% | -0.57% | +0.27% | -1.05% | +0.40% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.73% | -0.72% | -0.17% | +0.31% | -0.07% | +0.77% | +0.55% | -0.45% | -0.40% | -0.26% | +0.91% | 0.00% |
| 22 Avg +0.13% | +0.66% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.31% | -0.39% | -0.93% | -0.48% | +0.21% | +0.76% | +1.08% | +0.72% | -0.30% |
| 23 Avg -0.10% | +0.21% | -0.83% | -2.95% | +1.05% | -0.30% | -0.44% | +0.19% | +0.95% | -0.84% | +0.06% | +0.53% | +1.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | -0.16% | -0.51% | +0.66% | +0.78% | +0.63% | -0.66% | +0.18% | +1.11% | +0.11% | -0.66% | +0.74% | -0.65% |
| 25 Avg +0.22% | +0.09% | -0.70% | +1.57% | -0.29% | -0.94% | -0.21% | +0.98% | +0.75% | +0.91% | +0.89% | -0.40% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | +0.32% | -1.63% | +1.48% | +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.15% | +1.58% | -0.49% | -1.01% | -0.75% | -0.37% | +0.88% |
| 27 Avg -0.06% | -0.85% | -1.13% | +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.85% | +0.25% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.92% | -1.19% | -0.23% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg +0.11% | -0.17% | -0.63% | -0.10% | +1.13% | -0.87% | +0.68% | +0.33% | +0.95% | +1.69% | -1.14% | +0.10% | -0.69% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | -0.12% | - | +0.38% | +0.64% | +0.04% | +0.16% | +0.92% | +0.91% | -1.23% | -0.04% | -0.73% | +0.55% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | +0.20% | - | +0.44% | -1.27% | -0.46% | -0.11% | -0.19% | -0.25% | +0.16% | +0.34% | +0.01% | -0.02% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | +0.26% | - | -0.49% | - | -0.72% | - | +0.57% | -1.18% | - | +0.36% | - | +0.33% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
