Check historical price trends and seasonality for Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE).
Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.17%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is +0.71%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over a 10-year average. The stock tends to decline from early February, reaching a low point around March 7 with an average decrease of 3.0%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the year and culminating in substantial gains by December. The stock price peaks around December 16 with an average increase of 12.2% and remains high through December 31, showing an average increase of 11.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity arises in early March, specifically around March 7, when the stock experiences its largest seasonal dip of -3.0%. This pullback, likely driven by early year profit-taking or general market sentiment, presents a chance to enter at a relatively lower price. Another potential, though less pronounced, buying opportunity exists in early April as the stock continues to show negative seasonality through April 7, declining by -2.6%. The stock tends to rebound strongly from these lows as it enters a bullish phase.
3) Summary:
An effective investment strategy for Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE), based on 10-year average seasonality, involves accumulating shares during the weakness observed around March 7. Given the strong upward trend that typically follows, investors could consider holding these positions through the year, aiming to capitalize on the significant gains that historically materialize by December. Monitoring broader market conditions and company-specific news is crucial to validate the seasonal trends and manage risk.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 38.3800 | 2025-03-09 | 43.0500 | 4.6700 | 12.17 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 41.3800 | 2023-03-09 | 41.4550 | 0.0750 | 0.18 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 43.6400 | 2022-03-09 | 44.7200 | 1.0800 | 2.47 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 42.4800 | 2021-03-09 | 44.6500 | 2.1700 | 5.11 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 26.2500 | 2020-03-09 | 22.6200 | -3.6300 | -13.83 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 32.2850 | 2017-03-09 | 31.1350 | -1.1500 | -3.56 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 22.3650 | 2016-03-09 | 22.9100 | 0.5450 | 2.44 |
| Avg | 35.2543 | 35.7914 | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.08% | Feb Total -1.30% | Mar Total +2.22% | Apr Total +2.02% | May Total -1.27% | Jun Total +0.76% | Jul Total +4.39% | Aug Total +1.34% | Sep Total -2.60% | Oct Total +0.39% | Nov Total +4.58% | Dec Total -0.16% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.36% | -0.21% | -0.61% | 0.00% | -0.16% | +0.53% | -1.17% | -0.07% | -0.54% | +0.56% | +0.46% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.32% | +0.60% | -0.16% | -0.33% | +0.16% | +0.94% | +0.21% | -1.25% | +0.43% | -0.25% | +0.46% | -0.39% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | -0.40% | -0.73% | +0.21% | -0.44% | -0.08% | +0.43% | +0.68% | +0.95% | -0.37% | +0.13% | +0.09% | +0.24% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | +0.42% | -0.26% | -0.83% | -0.46% | -0.43% | +0.54% | -0.27% | +0.57% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.64% | -0.03% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.35% | +0.57% | -0.19% | -0.52% | -0.11% | +0.34% | -0.29% | +0.52% | -0.57% | -0.26% | -0.23% | +0.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | -0.16% | +0.21% | +0.28% | +0.30% | -0.62% | +0.31% | -0.27% | +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.05% | +0.63% | -0.34% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.93% | -0.66% | -0.42% | -0.21% | +0.07% | +0.37% | +0.88% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.46% | +0.65% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | +0.26% | -0.83% | +0.86% | +0.49% | -0.51% | -0.85% | +0.16% | +0.09% | -0.13% | -0.41% | +0.41% | +0.26% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.25% | +0.48% | -0.32% | -0.78% | -0.67% | +0.07% | -0.28% | +0.11% | +0.23% | -0.16% | -0.02% |
| 10 Avg -0.03% | -0.89% | -0.02% | -0.54% | +0.58% | +0.47% | -0.62% | +0.42% | +0.07% | +0.07% | +0.37% | +0.21% | -0.43% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.67% | +0.07% | -0.22% | -0.67% | -0.21% | +0.14% | +0.26% | +0.01% | +0.72% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.29% | +0.61% | +0.41% | -0.89% | +0.19% | +0.89% | +0.05% | +0.96% | +0.35% | +0.67% | +0.15% | +0.24% | -0.17% |
| 13 Avg +0.18% | -0.05% | +0.58% | +0.12% | +0.58% | +0.18% | -0.23% | +0.22% | +0.18% | -0.19% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.66% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | +0.02% | -0.26% | +0.90% | +0.70% | -0.22% | +0.34% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +0.43% | +0.34% | -0.32% |
| 15 Avg +0.15% | -0.37% | +1.09% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.40% | +0.18% | +0.23% | +0.17% | +0.34% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.35% |
| 16 Avg +0.13% | +0.48% | +0.09% | +0.50% | -0.04% | -0.20% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.40% | -0.61% | +0.57% | -0.18% | +0.40% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.35% | +0.23% | +0.47% | -0.22% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.18% | -0.13% | +0.02% | -0.18% | -0.42% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | +0.64% | -0.64% | -0.64% | +0.37% | +0.62% | +0.13% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.38% | -0.16% | +0.03% |
| 19 Avg -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.08% | +0.67% | +0.22% | -0.82% | -0.24% | +0.01% | +0.34% | -0.59% | -0.02% | +0.27% | -0.86% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.28% | -0.25% | +0.22% | +0.26% | +0.63% | +0.44% | -0.21% | -0.60% | +0.02% | +0.03% | -0.41% |
| 21 Avg -0.21% | -0.37% | -0.36% | -0.55% | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.43% | +0.08% | +0.01% | -0.58% | -0.20% | -0.06% | +0.22% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.33% | +0.10% | +0.23% | -0.21% | +0.10% | +0.10% | -0.25% | -0.42% | +0.04% | +0.14% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.52% | +0.03% | +0.48% | -0.46% | +0.11% | +0.40% | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.40% | -0.01% |
| 24 Avg -0.02% | -0.13% | -1.22% | +0.55% | +0.31% | -0.47% | -0.45% | -0.07% | +0.11% | -0.02% | +0.44% | +0.70% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.47% | +0.19% | -1.00% | +0.74% | -0.57% | +0.08% | -0.17% | -0.08% | +0.16% | +0.03% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | +0.26% | +0.24% | +0.15% | -0.23% | +0.68% | +0.08% | +0.07% | -0.19% | -0.16% | +0.35% | -0.04% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.12% | -0.38% | -0.49% | -0.63% | +0.77% | +0.93% | +0.26% | +0.32% | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.23% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | -0.16% | -0.25% | +0.02% | +0.74% | -0.31% | +0.37% | +0.43% | -0.21% | +0.19% | -0.31% | -0.04% | +0.29% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | -0.32% | - | +0.67% | -0.26% | -0.72% | +0.39% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +0.24% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg 0.00% | -1.14% | - | +1.21% | +0.07% | +0.65% | +0.03% | -0.66% | +0.45% | +0.06% | -0.25% | -0.30% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | -0.21% | - | -0.16% | - | -0.44% | - | +0.06% | -0.25% | - | -0.26% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
