Check historical price trends and seasonality for D. R. Horton (DHI).
D. R. Horton (DHI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +22.80%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.93%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
D. R. Horton's seasonality data reveals a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. The stock price tends to decline in March, specifically around March 23 with an average drop of -2.8%. However, the stock experiences a significant rally starting in November, culminating in substantial gains around December 15 (+25.2%) and December 31 (+22.7%). This suggests a pattern of weakness in the early part of the year followed by considerable strength as the year concludes.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 23, where the stock tends to decline by -2.8%. This pullback could be attributed to seasonal factors or broader market corrections. Another potential buying opportunity exists in late February and early April, as the data indicates a period of relative weakness during this time. Investors might consider accumulating shares during these periods of temporary price weakness in anticipation of the later year rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for D. R. Horton involves accumulating shares during the identified periods of weakness in late February, March, and early April. The most opportune entry point appears to be around March 23, given the historical tendency for a -2.8% decline. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies in conjunction with fundamental analysis and broader market conditions to make informed investment decisions, aiming to capitalize on the year-end rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 146.6000 | 2025-03-16 | 126.7800 | -19.8200 | -13.52 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 152.9900 | 2024-03-15 | 151.6900 | -1.3000 | -0.85 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 55.3800 | 2020-03-15 | 39.3000 | -16.0800 | -29.04 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 37.8500 | 2019-03-16 | 40.7600 | 2.9100 | 7.69 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 50.8300 | 2018-03-16 | 43.7600 | -7.0700 | -13.91 |
| Avg | 88.7300 | 80.4580 | -8.27 | -9.93 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.35% | Feb Total -3.50% | Mar Total +1.08% | Apr Total +4.51% | May Total +1.25% | Jun Total +1.01% | Jul Total +10.53% | Aug Total +2.51% | Sep Total -1.36% | Oct Total -2.78% | Nov Total +8.28% | Dec Total -1.51% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.35% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.89% | +0.05% | -0.35% | +0.29% | +0.91% | +0.95% | +0.42% | +0.39% | +1.09% | -0.35% |
| 2 Avg -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.13% | +0.69% | -0.72% | +0.44% | +0.47% | +0.12% | -0.81% | -0.03% | -0.27% | +0.03% | -0.03% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | +0.38% | -1.30% | +0.02% | -0.20% | +0.65% | +0.22% | -0.33% | +0.27% | -0.54% | +0.13% | -0.16% | +0.99% |
| 4 Avg +0.18% | -0.05% | -0.51% | +0.46% | +1.03% | +0.35% | +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.43% | +0.10% | +0.28% | +1.10% | -1.08% |
| 5 Avg -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.11% | +0.26% | +0.26% | -0.37% | +0.46% | +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.38% | -0.53% | +0.41% | -0.31% |
| 6 Avg +0.01% | -0.48% | -0.37% | +0.17% | +0.99% | -0.35% | +0.13% | +0.03% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.38% | +0.36% |
| 7 Avg +0.06% | -0.54% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.99% | +0.27% | +0.07% | +0.84% | +0.38% | -0.09% | -0.88% | +0.41% | +1.10% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.19% | -0.46% | +0.37% | +0.37% | +0.28% | -0.08% | +0.58% | +0.39% | -0.08% | +0.22% | -1.45% | -0.23% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.49% | +0.34% | -0.62% | +1.12% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.49% | -0.31% | -0.40% | -0.57% | +0.02% | -0.33% |
| 10 Avg +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.40% | +0.77% | -0.65% | -0.12% | -0.31% | +1.27% | +0.43% | -0.31% | -0.24% | +1.93% | +0.31% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +1.36% | -0.40% | -0.55% | +1.03% | -1.31% | -1.35% | +0.35% | +0.21% | +0.66% | -0.12% | +0.85% | -0.16% |
| 12 Avg +0.10% | +0.24% | +1.17% | -1.69% | -0.03% | -0.37% | +1.33% | +0.97% | +0.39% | +0.37% | -0.73% | -0.29% | -0.12% |
| 13 Avg -0.18% | -0.30% | -0.30% | -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.14% | -1.18% | -0.49% | +0.60% | -1.05% | -0.01% | +0.49% | +0.31% |
| 14 Avg +0.12% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.66% | +0.22% | +0.07% | -0.27% | +0.61% | -0.01% | +0.30% | +0.64% | +0.51% | +0.08% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | +0.24% | +0.41% | +0.57% | -0.85% | +0.55% | +0.44% | -0.39% | +0.36% | -0.45% | +0.13% | -0.23% | +0.32% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | -0.27% | -0.60% | -1.30% | +0.35% | +0.36% | -0.38% | +1.30% | +0.12% | +0.47% | +0.34% | +0.33% | -0.56% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.32% | -0.65% | +0.57% | +1.02% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -1.18% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.09% | -0.32% |
| 18 Avg -0.01% | -0.91% | -0.06% | -0.97% | +0.34% | +0.19% | -0.48% | +0.87% | -0.11% | +0.28% | +0.65% | +0.39% | -0.30% |
| 19 Avg -0.09% | -0.11% | +0.19% | +0.77% | -0.50% | -0.12% | -0.43% | +0.37% | +0.12% | +0.54% | -0.97% | +0.06% | -0.96% |
| 20 Avg +0.04% | +0.52% | +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.54% | +0.04% | +0.89% | -0.24% | +0.12% | -0.94% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.01% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | +0.17% | -0.45% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.22% | -0.09% | +0.69% | +1.00% | -0.52% | -0.45% | +0.90% | +0.06% |
| 22 Avg +0.23% | +0.97% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.19% | -0.52% | +0.27% | +2.08% | +0.41% | +0.38% | -1.00% | +0.20% | -0.06% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | -0.24% | +0.09% | -1.28% | +1.02% | -0.72% | +1.07% | -0.50% | +0.25% | -0.45% | +0.77% | +0.72% | -0.68% |
| 24 Avg +0.27% | +0.82% | +0.69% | +1.37% | +0.78% | +0.76% | -0.59% | -0.68% | +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.21% | -0.37% | +0.25% |
| 25 Avg +0.19% | -0.79% | +0.09% | +1.48% | -0.21% | +0.89% | -1.04% | -0.06% | +0.14% | -0.13% | +0.42% | +1.48% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.34% | +1.24% | +0.05% | +0.99% | -0.26% | +0.89% | -1.24% | -0.45% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.42% |
| 27 Avg +0.05% | -0.46% | -0.43% | -0.58% | +0.26% | +1.16% | +0.33% | +0.65% | -0.16% | +0.01% | -0.34% | -0.14% | +0.35% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | +0.33% | -0.99% | -0.16% | +1.18% | -1.10% | +0.16% | -0.41% | -0.08% | +1.26% | +0.04% | +0.33% | -0.33% |
| 29 Avg 0.00% | -0.32% | - | +0.50% | -0.04% | -0.19% | +0.51% | +0.55% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -1.54% | +0.42% | +0.15% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.47% | - | -0.31% | -0.84% | +0.24% | +0.69% | +0.26% | +0.16% | -0.09% | +0.55% | -0.41% | -0.31% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | +0.37% | - | -1.01% | - | -0.24% | - | -0.26% | -0.03% | - | +0.02% | - | -0.11% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
