Check historical price trends and seasonality for Dollar General (DG).
Dollar General (DG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.66%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.98%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Dollar General exhibits a clear annual cycle. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around February 5 with an average decrease of -2.6%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the end of the year, culminating in significant gains around December 29 and December 31, averaging +13.2% and +12.6% respectively.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for Dollar General historically occurs in January and early February. This bearish trend bottoms out around February 5, presenting a potential buying opportunity before the stock begins its ascent. Another, less severe, pullback occurs in late August, offering a secondary entry point before the final push higher into year-end.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Dollar General would involve accumulating shares during the weakness in January and early February, capitalizing on the dip around February 5. Holding these positions through the year, especially into late December, could yield substantial gains. However, consider broader market conditions and company-specific news before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 69.2600 | 2025-03-16 | 79.0200 | 9.7600 | 14.09 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 137.8200 | 2024-03-15 | 151.9500 | 14.1300 | 10.25 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 158.2700 | 2020-03-15 | 145.8100 | -12.4600 | -7.87 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 112.2100 | 2019-03-16 | 113.8900 | 1.6800 | 1.50 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 98.4400 | 2018-03-16 | 95.4300 | -3.0100 | -3.06 |
| Avg | 115.2000 | 117.2200 | 2.02 | 2.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.28% | Feb Total -0.85% | Mar Total +5.56% | Apr Total +3.78% | May Total -0.46% | Jun Total +3.85% | Jul Total -0.51% | Aug Total -4.91% | Sep Total -1.85% | Oct Total +1.53% | Nov Total +4.16% | Dec Total +2.16% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.16% | 0.00% | +0.32% | +0.79% | +0.46% | -0.91% | -1.15% | +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.43% | -0.39% | +0.08% | -0.88% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.42% | -0.42% | +0.51% | +0.52% | +0.25% | +0.69% | -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.40% | -0.51% | +0.16% | +0.01% |
| 3 Avg +0.13% | -0.83% | -0.25% | -0.69% | +0.85% | +0.08% | +2.19% | -0.26% | +0.38% | -0.47% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +0.25% |
| 4 Avg +0.17% | +0.56% | -0.18% | +0.22% | +0.06% | +0.27% | -0.33% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.16% | +0.17% | +0.15% | +1.10% |
| 5 Avg +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.60% | +0.38% | +0.53% | -0.20% | +0.03% | +0.33% | +0.26% | +0.25% | -0.31% | +0.36% | +0.85% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | +0.56% | -0.03% | +0.43% | +0.79% | +0.17% | -0.61% | -0.11% | +0.31% | +0.15% | -0.30% | -0.92% | +0.62% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | +0.11% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.08% | -0.44% | +0.42% | +0.36% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.96% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg -0.28% | -0.76% | 0.00% | -0.48% | -0.59% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.43% | +0.20% | -0.02% | +0.42% | -0.44% | -1.26% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.19% | +1.09% | +1.09% | -0.42% | +0.38% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.11% | -0.56% | -0.20% | -0.71% | -0.24% |
| 10 Avg +0.28% | -0.02% | -0.09% | +1.45% | +0.56% | -0.54% | +0.11% | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.14% | +0.55% | +1.30% | +0.34% |
| 11 Avg -0.12% | -0.62% | -0.17% | -0.51% | +0.05% | -0.17% | +0.14% | +0.28% | -0.55% | -0.03% | -0.32% | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg -0.14% | +0.29% | +0.12% | -1.05% | -0.13% | -0.47% | -0.17% | -0.32% | +0.38% | +0.34% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.56% |
| 13 Avg +0.11% | -0.50% | -0.05% | +0.95% | +0.26% | -1.05% | +0.22% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.57% | +1.63% | +0.18% | +0.40% |
| 14 Avg -0.07% | -0.82% | -0.13% | -1.20% | +0.51% | +0.22% | +0.15% | +0.35% | +0.22% | -0.11% | -0.47% | +0.52% | -0.05% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | -0.30% | +0.45% | +1.23% | -0.29% | +0.78% | +0.18% | -0.70% | -0.46% | +0.08% | +0.69% | +0.22% | +0.17% |
| 16 Avg +0.20% | +0.38% | +0.44% | -0.85% | +0.47% | +0.82% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.55% | +0.04% | +0.53% | -0.10% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.39% | +1.26% | +0.90% | -0.78% | -0.03% | -0.51% | -0.13% | +0.36% | +0.32% | -0.26% | +0.19% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | -0.61% | +0.56% | +0.17% | +0.34% | -1.11% | +0.09% | -0.14% | +0.09% | +0.35% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.12% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -0.18% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.63% | +0.12% | +0.34% | +0.01% | -0.31% | -0.10% | -0.39% | -0.36% |
| 20 Avg -0.08% | -0.15% | -0.08% | -0.25% | -0.08% | -0.79% | +0.21% | +0.48% | +0.17% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.49% | -0.05% |
| 21 Avg +0.13% | +0.60% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.14% | +0.44% | +0.80% | -0.30% | +0.22% | -1.24% | +0.33% | +0.28% | +0.28% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.47% | -0.33% | -0.53% | -0.18% | +0.70% | +0.43% | -0.13% | +0.14% | -0.24% | +0.66% | 0.00% |
| 23 Avg -0.21% | +0.16% | -0.70% | -0.59% | -0.26% | -0.33% | +0.01% | -0.32% | -0.17% | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.56% |
| 24 Avg +0.11% | +0.35% | +0.37% | +0.21% | +0.25% | +0.54% | +0.19% | -0.28% | -0.52% | -0.12% | +0.29% | -0.05% | +0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | +0.38% | +0.16% | -0.22% | -0.05% | +0.18% | -0.41% | +0.13% | -1.33% | +0.23% | +0.38% | +0.76% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.23% | -0.06% | -0.61% | +1.05% | +0.01% | +2.02% | -0.19% | +0.06% | -0.46% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.30% | +0.99% |
| 27 Avg +0.22% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.88% | +0.34% | +1.05% | +0.41% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.16% | +0.28% | +0.48% |
| 28 Avg -0.08% | -0.20% | -1.10% | +0.58% | -0.35% | -0.92% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.18% | +0.34% | +0.29% | +0.10% |
| 29 Avg -0.11% | -0.07% | - | +0.45% | -0.31% | -0.04% | +0.20% | +0.18% | -2.23% | +0.09% | -0.27% | +0.30% | +0.47% |
| 30 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | - | -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.01% | +0.31% | +0.04% | -0.30% | -0.45% | -0.14% | -0.04% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.43% | +0.03% | - | +0.24% | - | -0.65% | - | -0.14% | -1.95% | - | -0.35% | - | -0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
