Check historical price trends and seasonality for Crocs (CROX).
Crocs (CROX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +33.83%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -7.81%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Crocs' seasonality data reveals a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a notable bearish phase in early March. The stock tends to decline from the beginning of March, reaching a low around March 14 with an average drop of -4.2%. A significant bullish phase begins around May and extends through December, culminating in substantial gains by December 3 (+37.9%) and December 31 (+33.8%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 14, after a period of consistent decline. This pullback, averaging -4.2%, could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, dip occurs in early April. These pullbacks offer strategic entry points, anticipating a rebound and continuation of the upward trend that typically follows from May onwards.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Crocs would involve capitalizing on the dip in March. Specifically, consider establishing a position around March 14, anticipating a subsequent rally. The data suggests holding through the year, aiming to capture the significant gains typically observed by the end of December, while being mindful of potential smaller dips in early April.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 102.6700 | 2025-03-16 | 98.6000 | -4.0700 | -3.96 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 100.7300 | 2024-03-15 | 128.1700 | 27.4400 | 27.24 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 42.9100 | 2020-03-15 | 19.3400 | -23.5700 | -54.93 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 30.5300 | 2019-03-16 | 24.9200 | -5.6100 | -18.38 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 13.4000 | 2018-03-16 | 14.8700 | 1.4700 | 10.97 |
| Avg | 58.0480 | 57.1800 | -0.87 | -7.81 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.38% | Feb Total -4.20% | Mar Total +3.49% | Apr Total +1.37% | May Total +3.93% | Jun Total +5.39% | Jul Total +6.88% | Aug Total +1.37% | Sep Total +2.15% | Oct Total +3.27% | Nov Total +11.03% | Dec Total +1.29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.56% | +0.44% | -0.46% | -1.52% | +0.87% | +0.63% | +0.03% | +0.16% | +0.54% | +0.52% | +0.73% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.94% | -0.89% | +2.07% | -0.25% | +1.57% | +1.29% | -0.38% | -1.15% | +0.06% | -0.57% | -1.26% | +0.61% |
| 3 Avg -0.29% | -0.35% | -1.63% | -0.87% | -1.89% | -0.49% | +0.55% | +0.67% | -1.50% | -0.84% | +0.26% | +1.30% | +1.30% |
| 4 Avg +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.45% | -1.12% | -0.18% | -0.33% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.44% | +0.69% | +1.28% | 0.00% |
| 5 Avg -0.15% | -0.77% | -0.83% | -0.59% | -0.59% | -0.23% | +0.21% | +0.28% | +1.03% | -0.63% | +0.45% | +0.62% | -0.76% |
| 6 Avg -0.14% | +0.84% | -0.18% | -0.14% | +1.70% | -0.87% | +0.40% | -1.69% | +0.83% | -0.46% | -0.62% | -0.15% | -1.29% |
| 7 Avg -0.11% | -0.18% | -0.43% | -0.40% | -0.83% | +0.89% | +0.62% | +1.35% | -2.99% | +1.52% | -0.72% | -0.95% | +0.78% |
| 8 Avg +1.03% | +2.83% | +1.25% | -0.50% | +0.24% | +1.48% | +0.43% | +1.13% | +1.26% | +0.08% | +0.11% | +4.15% | -0.08% |
| 9 Avg -0.13% | +0.71% | +1.39% | -0.95% | +0.94% | -1.37% | +0.18% | -0.41% | +0.21% | +0.25% | +0.17% | -1.95% | -0.73% |
| 10 Avg +0.50% | +0.38% | -0.94% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +4.82% | -0.51% | +0.66% | +0.73% | +0.13% | -0.61% | +0.98% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg +0.19% | +1.84% | -1.30% | -0.14% | -0.12% | -2.03% | -0.40% | +0.05% | +0.69% | +1.13% | -0.02% | +1.93% | +0.65% |
| 12 Avg +0.29% | +1.30% | +1.33% | -0.91% | -0.33% | -0.26% | +0.64% | +0.49% | +0.55% | +0.21% | +0.71% | +0.15% | -0.34% |
| 13 Avg -0.08% | -1.76% | +2.83% | +0.42% | -0.24% | -0.31% | -1.97% | -0.31% | +1.04% | -1.73% | +0.72% | +0.04% | +0.33% |
| 14 Avg +0.28% | -0.88% | +0.59% | -0.66% | +1.30% | +0.67% | +0.41% | -0.49% | +0.12% | +1.12% | +0.60% | +0.88% | -0.33% |
| 15 Avg +0.62% | +0.17% | +1.76% | +1.49% | -0.76% | +0.26% | +0.53% | +1.05% | +0.29% | +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.89% | +1.22% |
| 16 Avg -0.11% | -0.35% | -0.54% | -0.23% | -0.24% | -0.24% | -0.76% | 0.00% | -0.34% | +1.00% | +0.53% | +0.15% | -0.31% |
| 17 Avg +0.00% | -0.18% | -1.20% | -0.20% | +1.66% | -0.18% | -0.41% | +0.09% | -0.67% | +0.15% | +0.22% | +0.89% | -0.13% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.72% | -0.17% | -1.84% | +0.45% | +0.30% | -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.56% | +0.10% | -0.46% |
| 19 Avg -0.07% | -1.00% | +0.70% | +1.09% | +0.50% | -1.41% | -0.22% | +1.31% | -0.67% | -0.05% | -0.98% | -0.07% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.10% | +0.42% | -0.91% | -0.14% | -0.62% | +0.81% | -0.49% | +0.47% | +0.17% | -0.65% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.29% |
| 21 Avg +0.39% | -0.56% | -1.25% | -0.26% | -0.17% | +0.91% | +1.44% | +0.77% | +0.95% | -0.40% | +1.29% | +0.05% | +1.96% |
| 22 Avg +0.26% | +0.04% | +1.25% | -0.50% | +1.13% | -0.88% | -0.22% | +1.07% | +0.73% | -0.26% | +0.49% | +1.20% | -0.99% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | +0.45% | -0.77% | +0.90% | -1.15% | -0.69% | +0.74% | -0.16% | +0.20% | +0.48% | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.90% |
| 24 Avg +0.14% | -0.41% | -0.32% | +2.04% | +2.07% | -0.17% | +0.45% | -0.57% | +0.34% | -0.82% | +0.08% | -0.44% | -0.55% |
| 25 Avg +0.45% | -0.26% | -0.53% | +3.09% | -0.99% | +1.17% | -0.08% | +0.29% | +0.67% | +0.41% | +1.02% | +0.65% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.25% | -0.80% | +0.72% | +0.23% | +0.13% | +2.20% | -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.81% | +0.28% | -0.65% | +0.13% | +1.43% |
| 27 Avg -0.17% | -1.56% | -1.87% | +0.17% | +0.33% | +0.97% | -0.14% | -1.44% | +0.21% | +0.16% | +0.49% | +0.09% | +0.59% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | +1.37% | -3.27% | -0.17% | -0.29% | -1.52% | -0.14% | +1.39% | +0.51% | +0.50% | +0.56% | +0.29% | -0.28% |
| 29 Avg +0.18% | +0.33% | - | +0.90% | +1.19% | -0.56% | +0.83% | +1.41% | +0.35% | +0.44% | -1.93% | -0.16% | -0.84% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | -0.40% | - | -0.14% | -1.32% | +1.45% | +1.10% | -0.32% | -0.99% | -0.52% | +1.41% | -0.32% | +0.13% |
| 31 Avg -0.42% | -0.08% | - | +0.35% | - | -0.51% | - | -0.54% | -0.11% | - | -1.84% | - | -0.21% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
