Check historical price trends and seasonality for ConocoPhillips (COP).
ConocoPhillips (COP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.84%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -10.26%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
ConocoPhillips exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, peaking in early November. The stock price tends to rise steadily from January 2nd (+1.0%) through June, reaching a high point around June 8th (+7.9%). After this peak, the stock experiences a period of consolidation and slight decline through mid-March, bottoming out around March 18th (-1.7%). From late March, the stock begins another upward trend, culminating in a significant rally through November and December, with a peak around November 7th (+12.6%) and December 31st (+11.8%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A notable dip occurs around March 18th (-1.7%), presenting a potential buying opportunity before the stock begins its climb in late March and April. Another potential buy-the-dip opportunity arises in July, where the stock experiences a period of consolidation before resuming its upward trajectory in August. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but historically, they have been followed by renewed upward momentum.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in ConocoPhillips could involve accumulating shares during pullback periods, particularly around March 18th. Given the strong performance in November and December, investors might consider taking profits towards the end of the year. However, it's crucial to consider broader market conditions and company-specific news when making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 105.6100 | 2025-03-16 | 98.9500 | -6.6600 | -6.31 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 108.6400 | 2024-03-15 | 120.0400 | 11.4000 | 10.49 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 65.0700 | 2020-03-15 | 31.3800 | -33.6900 | -51.78 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 65.6600 | 2019-03-16 | 67.5900 | 1.9300 | 2.94 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 58.8400 | 2018-03-16 | 54.9300 | -3.9100 | -6.65 |
| Avg | 80.7640 | 74.5780 | -6.19 | -10.26 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.04% | Feb Total -2.16% | Mar Total +2.26% | Apr Total +3.53% | May Total -0.55% | Jun Total +0.45% | Jul Total +0.51% | Aug Total +0.82% | Sep Total +2.52% | Oct Total +0.73% | Nov Total +3.99% | Dec Total +1.28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +1.30% | +0.04% | -0.80% | +1.30% | +0.58% | -1.32% | -0.24% | +0.70% | +0.33% | +0.01% |
| 2 Avg +0.05% | +0.53% | -1.23% | +0.86% | +1.25% | -1.04% | +0.62% | -0.01% | -0.75% | +0.48% | -0.68% | +0.46% | +0.14% |
| 3 Avg +0.23% | +0.23% | +0.95% | -0.17% | -0.18% | +0.27% | +0.51% | +0.63% | -0.42% | -0.98% | +0.98% | +0.19% | +0.76% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.56% | -0.62% | +1.29% | -1.38% | +0.42% | -0.50% | 0.00% | -0.22% | +0.16% | +0.36% | +0.31% | +0.48% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.77% | -0.69% | -0.23% | -0.15% | +0.62% | +0.32% | -1.84% | +0.35% | -0.30% | +0.77% | +0.48% | -0.18% |
| 6 Avg +0.00% | +0.44% | -0.10% | -0.36% | +0.23% | +0.40% | +0.79% | -0.98% | +0.19% | -0.39% | +0.09% | -0.19% | -0.07% |
| 7 Avg +0.26% | +0.39% | -0.05% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.58% | +1.31% | -0.08% | +0.10% | -0.25% | +0.53% | +0.60% | -0.19% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | -0.35% | +0.28% | -1.70% | +0.68% | +0.59% | +0.24% | +0.66% | +0.91% | -0.27% | +0.19% | -0.52% | -0.09% |
| 9 Avg -0.20% | +0.15% | -0.55% | -2.51% | +0.89% | -1.19% | -0.49% | -0.53% | -0.09% | +0.53% | +0.62% | +0.99% | -0.21% |
| 10 Avg +0.21% | +0.08% | +0.22% | +0.79% | -0.28% | +0.58% | -0.54% | +1.05% | +0.25% | +0.07% | -0.93% | +0.60% | +0.60% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.30% | +0.19% | +0.01% | -0.20% | -0.53% | +0.21% | +0.88% | +0.02% | -0.75% | +0.25% | -0.09% |
| 12 Avg +0.17% | +0.50% | +0.70% | -1.32% | +0.64% | +0.17% | +0.32% | +0.34% | +0.78% | +0.31% | +0.42% | -0.99% | +0.11% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | -0.72% | +1.01% | +0.15% | -0.44% | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.43% | +0.16% | +0.38% | +0.11% | +0.23% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | +1.08% | +0.53% | -0.02% | +0.53% | +0.42% | -0.55% | -0.45% | -0.19% | +0.61% | -0.73% | +0.06% | -0.42% |
| 15 Avg -0.30% | -0.93% | -0.47% | -0.66% | -1.13% | +0.46% | -0.54% | -0.11% | -0.82% | +0.39% | -0.25% | +0.49% | -0.05% |
| 16 Avg -0.24% | -0.51% | -0.14% | -1.18% | -0.44% | +0.13% | -0.24% | -0.69% | -0.03% | +1.46% | -0.63% | +0.02% | -0.63% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.60% | +1.47% | +0.71% | -1.11% | -0.33% | +0.20% | +0.31% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.29% |
| 18 Avg -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.50% | -1.75% | +0.35% | 0.00% | -0.01% | +0.42% | +0.10% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.95% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | -0.49% | +0.19% | +1.08% | +0.23% | -0.30% | -0.29% | -0.19% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.30% | -0.47% | +0.01% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | -0.43% | +0.29% | +1.04% | -0.75% | +0.31% | +0.36% | +0.42% | -0.33% | -0.39% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.30% |
| 21 Avg +0.09% | -0.50% | -0.18% | +1.05% | -1.03% | -0.03% | +0.69% | +0.53% | -0.30% | +0.18% | -0.32% | +0.31% | +0.72% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.58% | -1.01% | +0.86% | -0.57% | -0.62% | -0.35% | +0.25% | +0.72% | +0.73% | +0.57% | -0.38% |
| 23 Avg -0.11% | -0.20% | +0.34% | -1.21% | +0.33% | -0.45% | -0.54% | -0.28% | +0.70% | -1.26% | -0.21% | +0.58% | +0.83% |
| 24 Avg +0.23% | -0.10% | +0.11% | +2.71% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.61% | +0.28% | +0.33% | +0.53% | -0.52% | +0.67% | -0.63% |
| 25 Avg -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.60% | +0.86% | -0.80% | -0.73% | -0.18% | +0.53% | +0.56% | +0.37% | +0.15% | -0.71% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.17% | +0.63% | -0.51% | +1.14% | +0.33% | +0.41% | +0.32% | +0.35% | -0.33% | -0.82% | -0.21% | -0.34% | +1.03% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.19% | -0.70% | -0.68% | +0.37% | +0.33% | -0.59% | -0.08% | +0.39% | +0.73% | +0.16% | -0.33% | +0.41% |
| 28 Avg +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.33% | +1.39% | -0.27% | +0.44% | +0.36% | +0.14% | +1.20% | -0.58% | +0.27% | -0.82% |
| 29 Avg +0.12% | -0.26% | - | -0.19% | +0.67% | -0.33% | +0.47% | +0.66% | +0.62% | -0.42% | +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.01% |
| 30 Avg -0.12% | -0.51% | - | +0.93% | -0.89% | -0.20% | +0.22% | -0.48% | -0.23% | -0.33% | -0.09% | -0.06% | +0.33% |
| 31 Avg +0.05% | -0.01% | - | +0.60% | - | -0.37% | - | +0.01% | -0.55% | - | +0.39% | - | +0.32% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
