Check historical price trends and seasonality for Capital One (COF).
Capital One (COF) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +16.69%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 10 for 60 days) is -11.21%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
Capital One (COF) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rise steadily from early January, reaching a peak around February 19 with an average gain of +7.5%. A significant bearish phase then occurs from late February through early April, bottoming out on March 23 with an average loss of -4.8%. A strong bullish trend emerges in late November, culminating in substantial gains by the end of December, peaking on December 26 with an average increase of +17.3%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A notable pullback period occurs from late February into April, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the stock bottoms out around March 23. This decline may be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. The stock tends to recover from this dip, showing signs of rebound starting in late April.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, an investment strategy for Capital One could involve accumulating shares during the pullback in late March, specifically around March 23, to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. The most opportune time to exit the position would be near the end of December, around December 26, to capture the significant gains typically observed during that period. Investors should be aware of broader economic conditions and company-specific news that could influence these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-10 | 198.7900 | 2025-04-10 | 162.1600 | -36.6300 | -18.43 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-10 | 115.3900 | 2023-04-10 | 95.2200 | -20.1700 | -17.48 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-10 | 157.5100 | 2022-04-10 | 131.7600 | -25.7500 | -16.35 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-10 | 117.6200 | 2021-04-10 | 134.1700 | 16.5500 | 14.07 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-10 | 101.9500 | 2020-04-09 | 60.1100 | -41.8400 | -41.04 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-10 | 88.4000 | 2017-04-10 | 82.7700 | -5.6300 | -6.37 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-10 | 62.2400 | 2016-04-09 | 66.6700 | 4.4300 | 7.12 |
| Avg | 120.2714 | 104.6943 | -15.58 | -11.21 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +5.03% | Feb Total +0.80% | Mar Total -7.54% | Apr Total +4.78% | May Total +2.10% | Jun Total -1.39% | Jul Total +4.63% | Aug Total -0.35% | Sep Total -1.21% | Oct Total +3.72% | Nov Total +5.76% | Dec Total +2.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.32% | -0.71% | -1.03% | +0.66% | +0.37% | -0.96% | -0.30% | +0.07% | +0.25% | +0.59% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.39% | +0.15% | +0.33% | -0.20% | +0.46% | +0.93% | +0.42% | -1.41% | -0.14% | -0.03% | +0.13% | +0.17% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.62% | -1.28% | -0.12% | +0.40% | +0.33% | +0.21% | -0.42% | +0.26% | +0.06% | -0.01% |
| 4 Avg +0.24% | +0.92% | +0.96% | -0.69% | -0.75% | +0.12% | +0.44% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.83% | +1.19% | +0.09% | -0.05% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | -0.33% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.88% | -0.06% | -0.43% | +0.58% | +1.04% | -0.18% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | +1.19% | -0.33% | -1.25% | +1.26% | -0.55% | +1.24% | -0.08% | +0.39% | -0.61% | -0.55% | +1.27% | +0.45% |
| 7 Avg +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -1.22% | +0.72% | +0.24% | +0.46% | -0.11% | +0.27% | +0.07% | -0.10% | +0.12% | +0.41% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | -0.10% | -1.00% | -0.03% | +0.73% | +0.50% | -0.28% | +0.39% | +0.46% | -0.49% | -0.18% | -0.26% | +0.44% |
| 9 Avg +0.27% | +0.14% | +0.41% | -0.96% | +2.13% | -0.16% | -0.85% | +0.59% | -0.55% | +0.88% | +0.27% | +1.06% | +0.26% |
| 10 Avg -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.84% | -0.19% | -1.45% | +0.30% | +0.47% | -0.35% | -0.30% | +1.60% | +0.31% |
| 11 Avg +0.02% | +0.61% | -0.38% | -0.07% | +0.29% | -0.98% | -1.08% | +0.36% | +0.90% | +0.33% | -0.06% | +0.56% | -0.23% |
| 12 Avg +0.16% | +0.14% | +1.09% | -0.64% | +0.18% | -0.52% | +0.64% | +0.68% | -0.05% | +0.44% | -0.17% | -0.39% | +0.58% |
| 13 Avg -0.10% | +0.57% | +0.03% | +0.61% | -0.52% | -0.67% | -0.83% | -0.02% | +0.27% | -0.61% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.09% |
| 14 Avg +0.13% | +0.67% | +0.42% | +0.45% | +0.28% | +1.21% | -1.10% | -0.65% | +0.45% | +0.20% | +0.30% | -0.39% | -0.29% |
| 15 Avg +0.18% | -0.12% | +0.73% | -0.62% | -0.66% | +0.62% | +0.67% | +1.00% | -0.51% | +0.89% | +0.32% | -0.62% | +0.45% |
| 16 Avg -0.19% | +0.09% | +0.28% | -2.19% | -0.60% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.33% | +0.48% | +0.38% | +0.09% | -0.67% | -0.33% |
| 17 Avg -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -1.05% | +1.55% | +0.86% | -0.33% | -0.22% | -1.00% | +0.14% | +0.76% | -0.43% | -0.65% |
| 18 Avg -0.05% | -0.31% | 0.00% | -1.50% | +0.63% | +1.10% | -0.09% | +0.51% | -0.28% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -0.36% | -0.27% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | -0.54% | +0.72% | +0.44% | +0.72% | -0.63% | -0.42% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.78% | -0.54% | -0.17% | -0.32% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | +0.26% | -0.30% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.27% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.43% | -0.45% | +0.47% | -0.44% | -0.43% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | -0.50% | -1.00% | -0.06% | -0.67% | -0.39% | -0.03% | +1.47% | -0.24% | -0.78% | -0.57% | +0.68% | +0.87% |
| 22 Avg -0.05% | +0.59% | +0.33% | -1.09% | +0.40% | -0.11% | -0.31% | -0.49% | -0.28% | -0.53% | +0.39% | +0.47% | +0.05% |
| 23 Avg +0.12% | -0.28% | -0.07% | -1.39% | +0.84% | +0.12% | +0.44% | +0.75% | +0.09% | -0.32% | -0.05% | +0.80% | +0.54% |
| 24 Avg +0.31% | +0.40% | -0.38% | +2.42% | +1.39% | -0.09% | -0.52% | -0.08% | +0.62% | -0.49% | -0.01% | +0.48% | -0.02% |
| 25 Avg +0.22% | +0.40% | -0.70% | +0.62% | -0.80% | +0.30% | +0.23% | +0.07% | +0.42% | +0.04% | +1.52% | +0.55% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.24% | +0.38% | +1.52% | +0.20% | +1.61% | -0.53% | -0.35% | -0.20% | -0.35% | -0.62% | -0.10% | +0.64% |
| 27 Avg +0.11% | +0.25% | -0.13% | -0.56% | -0.14% | +1.61% | -0.65% | +0.08% | +0.73% | +0.37% | -0.05% | -0.21% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg +0.32% | +0.52% | +0.17% | +0.13% | +1.36% | -0.74% | +0.66% | -0.34% | +0.56% | +0.66% | +0.54% | +0.52% | -0.17% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | +0.10% | - | +0.54% | +0.58% | -0.42% | -0.05% | +0.49% | +0.16% | -0.46% | -0.20% | +0.15% | -0.26% |
| 30 Avg -0.16% | -0.06% | - | +0.16% | -1.09% | -0.01% | +0.43% | -0.75% | -0.52% | -0.52% | +0.63% | -0.05% | -0.02% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | -0.03% | - | -0.47% | - | -0.28% | - | +0.30% | -0.25% | - | -0.27% | - | +0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
