CNH Industrial (CNH) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for CNH Industrial (CNH).

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CNH Industrial (CNH) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +8.27%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 17 for 60 days) is +0.15%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

CNH Industrial (CNH) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

CNH Industrial exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, particularly in December. The stock tends to rise significantly from November into late December, culminating in gains of +8.7% around December 27 and +8.2% by December 31. Conversely, there's a bearish phase in early April, with an average decline of -3.9% around April 6. The period from late spring through much of the fall tends to be a period of consolidation or slight downward drift.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Based on the data, April presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, specifically around April 6, where the stock tends to decline by -3.9%. Another potential buying opportunity appears in late May, with consistent negative returns until the end of the month. Buying in late spring or summer could position investors to capitalize on the strong upward trend that typically begins in November. Investors should also consider the period from late September through October as a potential entry point, as the stock tends to experience negative seasonality during this time.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for CNH Industrial could involve accumulating shares during periods of seasonal weakness, such as in April or during the late summer/early fall months. Specifically, consider initiating or adding to positions around April 6 to capitalize on the -3.9% dip. The goal would be to hold these shares through the historically strong period in late December, potentially taking profits near December 27 or December 31, when the stock tends to peak with gains of +8.7% and +8.2% respectively.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-04-17 11.1200 2025-06-15 12.5700 1.4500 13.04
2024 2024-04-17 12.3600 2024-06-15 10.4000 -1.9600 -15.86
2023 2023-04-17 14.6800 2023-06-15 14.5600 -0.1200 -0.82
2020 2020-04-17 5.3438 2020-06-15 6.0487 0.7049 13.19
2019 2019-04-17 9.8259 2019-06-15 8.2507 -1.5752 -16.03
2018 2018-04-17 10.9574 2018-06-15 10.0261 -0.9313 -8.50
2017 2017-04-17 8.6336 2017-06-15 10.0174 1.3838 16.03
Avg 10.4172 10.2676 -0.15 0.15
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.83% Feb Total +1.36% Mar Total -3.45% Apr Total +0.77% May Total -2.06% Jun Total +1.25% Jul Total +2.81% Aug Total -0.27% Sep Total -1.42% Oct Total +1.43% Nov Total +5.83% Dec Total +3.93%
1 Avg +0.22% 0.00% +1.78% +0.49% +0.16% +0.17% +0.93% -0.14% -1.41% -0.09% -0.55% +0.54% +0.76%
2 Avg +0.05% -0.04% -0.93% +0.13% -0.01% +0.29% +1.08% +0.13% -1.21% +0.51% +0.01% +0.56% +0.14%
3 Avg +0.15% -0.51% -0.36% -0.22% -1.13% -0.09% +1.11% +0.75% +0.95% -0.82% +0.55% +0.80% +0.73%
4 Avg +0.01% +0.38% +0.76% -0.86% -1.38% -0.47% +0.15% 0.00% +0.32% +0.66% +0.56% +0.62% -0.57%
5 Avg +0.00% +0.45% -0.26% +0.12% -0.53% +0.32% +0.28% -1.61% +0.12% +0.21% +0.38% +0.52% +0.06%
6 Avg +0.08% +0.77% +0.40% +0.37% +0.25% -0.45% +1.20% -0.43% -0.37% -0.27% -0.60% -0.38% +0.46%
7 Avg -0.16% -0.30% -0.28% +0.07% +0.19% -0.09% +0.29% -0.31% +0.20% -0.25% +0.18% -1.30% -0.29%
8 Avg +0.09% +0.14% -0.71% +0.65% +0.68% +0.29% +0.67% +0.11% +0.36% -0.07% -0.61% -0.23% -0.21%
9 Avg -0.07% -0.40% +0.07% -0.57% +1.02% -0.84% -0.81% -0.06% -0.37% +0.50% +0.36% +0.50% -0.18%
10 Avg +0.07% +0.23% +0.84% -0.29% +0.02% +0.03% -1.94% +0.80% +0.67% -0.13% +0.15% +0.34% +0.18%
11 Avg +0.05% +0.24% -0.57% -0.22% +0.72% -0.38% -0.83% -0.20% +0.18% +0.13% +0.05% +1.39% +0.06%
12 Avg +0.14% +0.57% +1.87% -2.05% +0.30% +0.39% +0.82% +0.87% -0.57% +0.07% -0.16% -0.39% -0.11%
13 Avg +0.27% +0.49% -0.44% +1.39% +0.59% +0.33% -0.40% +0.16% +0.46% -0.42% +0.19% +0.03% +0.87%
14 Avg +0.06% +0.19% +0.51% +0.52% +0.19% +0.07% -0.49% +0.23% -0.89% +0.01% +0.26% +0.62% -0.49%
15 Avg +0.02% -0.89% +0.36% -0.09% -0.62% -0.18% +0.75% +0.43% -0.24% +0.13% +0.11% +0.52% +0.01%
16 Avg -0.07% +0.60% +0.06% -1.40% -0.52% -0.24% -0.25% -0.21% +0.05% 0.00% +1.17% +0.12% -0.18%
17 Avg +0.09% -0.01% +0.29% +0.33% +0.76% -0.12% -0.04% +0.08% -0.58% +0.34% -0.19% +0.03% +0.19%
18 Avg +0.02% +0.40% -0.24% -1.34% +0.46% +0.81% -0.07% +0.26% +0.08% +0.21% -0.38% -0.33% +0.34%
19 Avg +0.00% +0.16% +0.42% +0.23% +0.21% -0.45% -0.43% +0.07% +0.35% +0.41% -0.28% -0.48% -0.16%
20 Avg -0.17% +0.24% -0.19% +0.28% +0.09% -0.94% -0.31% +0.12% -0.46% -0.83% +0.05% -0.12% +0.08%
21 Avg +0.07% +0.08% -0.60% +0.19% -0.41% -0.61% +0.18% -0.02% +0.69% -0.68% +0.52% +0.95% +0.53%
22 Avg -0.21% -0.43% +0.02% -0.99% -1.16% -0.19% -0.12% -0.34% -0.40% +0.19% -0.03% +0.79% +0.17%
23 Avg -0.03% +0.38% -0.28% -1.64% +0.47% -0.17% -1.04% +0.37% +0.19% -0.27% -0.07% +0.97% +0.74%
24 Avg -0.06% -0.20% -1.25% +0.80% -0.06% +0.04% -0.43% +0.44% +0.17% +0.11% -0.41% +0.46% -0.33%
25 Avg -0.02% -0.79% +0.09% +0.42% -0.90% +0.03% -0.41% +0.22% +0.39% -0.57% +0.73% +0.54% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.35% +0.81% +0.02% +0.91% +0.03% +1.40% +0.81% +1.32% -0.43% -0.31% -0.32% -0.83% +0.73%
27 Avg +0.13% -0.84% +0.05% +0.15% +1.16% +0.99% +0.12% +0.39% +0.18% -0.19% -0.84% -0.34% +0.69%
28 Avg +0.01% +0.31% -0.06% -0.39% +0.50% -0.15% +0.16% -0.86% +0.39% +0.55% +0.21% -0.10% -0.42%
29 Avg +0.09% +0.12% - -0.17% +0.85% -1.11% +0.07% +0.50% +0.92% -0.28% -0.23% +0.02% +0.34%
30 Avg -0.19% -0.27% - +0.52% -1.18% -0.31% +0.20% -0.34% +0.28% -0.25% -0.19% 0.00% -0.52%
31 Avg -0.19% -1.04% - -0.78% - -0.41% - +0.10% -0.30% - +0.82% - +0.31%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Apr 17 - May 16] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses