Check historical price trends and seasonality for CNH Industrial (CNH).
CNH Industrial (CNH) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +8.27%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.69%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
CNH Industrial exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, particularly in December. The stock tends to rise significantly from November into late December, culminating in gains of +8.7% around December 27 and +8.2% by December 31. Conversely, there's a bearish phase in early April, with an average decline of -3.9% around April 6. The period from late spring through much of the fall tends to be a period of consolidation or slight downward drift.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, April presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, specifically around April 6, where the stock tends to decline by -3.9%. Another potential buying opportunity appears in late May, with consistent negative returns until the end of the month. Buying in late spring or summer could position investors to capitalize on the strong upward trend that typically begins in November. Investors should also consider the period from late September through October as a potential entry point, as the stock tends to experience negative seasonality during this time.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for CNH Industrial could involve accumulating shares during periods of seasonal weakness, such as in April or during the late summer/early fall months. Specifically, consider initiating or adding to positions around April 6 to capitalize on the -3.9% dip. The goal would be to hold these shares through the historically strong period in late December, potentially taking profits near December 27 or December 31, when the stock tends to peak with gains of +8.7% and +8.2% respectively.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 12.0500 | 2025-03-16 | 12.9300 | 0.8800 | 7.30 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 11.4600 | 2024-03-15 | 12.3400 | 0.8800 | 7.68 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 9.6084 | 2020-03-15 | 6.5013 | -3.1071 | -32.34 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 8.6162 | 2019-03-16 | 9.2254 | 0.6092 | 7.07 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 12.8111 | 2018-03-16 | 11.7668 | -1.0443 | -8.15 |
| Avg | 10.9091 | 10.5527 | -0.36 | -3.69 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.83% | Feb Total +1.36% | Mar Total -3.45% | Apr Total +0.77% | May Total -2.06% | Jun Total +1.25% | Jul Total +2.81% | Aug Total -0.27% | Sep Total -1.42% | Oct Total +1.43% | Nov Total +5.83% | Dec Total +3.93% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.22% | 0.00% | +1.78% | +0.49% | +0.16% | +0.17% | +0.93% | -0.14% | -1.41% | -0.09% | -0.55% | +0.54% | +0.76% |
| 2 Avg +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.93% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.29% | +1.08% | +0.13% | -1.21% | +0.51% | +0.01% | +0.56% | +0.14% |
| 3 Avg +0.15% | -0.51% | -0.36% | -0.22% | -1.13% | -0.09% | +1.11% | +0.75% | +0.95% | -0.82% | +0.55% | +0.80% | +0.73% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | +0.38% | +0.76% | -0.86% | -1.38% | -0.47% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.32% | +0.66% | +0.56% | +0.62% | -0.57% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.45% | -0.26% | +0.12% | -0.53% | +0.32% | +0.28% | -1.61% | +0.12% | +0.21% | +0.38% | +0.52% | +0.06% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.77% | +0.40% | +0.37% | +0.25% | -0.45% | +1.20% | -0.43% | -0.37% | -0.27% | -0.60% | -0.38% | +0.46% |
| 7 Avg -0.16% | -0.30% | -0.28% | +0.07% | +0.19% | -0.09% | +0.29% | -0.31% | +0.20% | -0.25% | +0.18% | -1.30% | -0.29% |
| 8 Avg +0.09% | +0.14% | -0.71% | +0.65% | +0.68% | +0.29% | +0.67% | +0.11% | +0.36% | -0.07% | -0.61% | -0.23% | -0.21% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.40% | +0.07% | -0.57% | +1.02% | -0.84% | -0.81% | -0.06% | -0.37% | +0.50% | +0.36% | +0.50% | -0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | +0.23% | +0.84% | -0.29% | +0.02% | +0.03% | -1.94% | +0.80% | +0.67% | -0.13% | +0.15% | +0.34% | +0.18% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.24% | -0.57% | -0.22% | +0.72% | -0.38% | -0.83% | -0.20% | +0.18% | +0.13% | +0.05% | +1.39% | +0.06% |
| 12 Avg +0.14% | +0.57% | +1.87% | -2.05% | +0.30% | +0.39% | +0.82% | +0.87% | -0.57% | +0.07% | -0.16% | -0.39% | -0.11% |
| 13 Avg +0.27% | +0.49% | -0.44% | +1.39% | +0.59% | +0.33% | -0.40% | +0.16% | +0.46% | -0.42% | +0.19% | +0.03% | +0.87% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | +0.19% | +0.51% | +0.52% | +0.19% | +0.07% | -0.49% | +0.23% | -0.89% | +0.01% | +0.26% | +0.62% | -0.49% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | -0.89% | +0.36% | -0.09% | -0.62% | -0.18% | +0.75% | +0.43% | -0.24% | +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.52% | +0.01% |
| 16 Avg -0.07% | +0.60% | +0.06% | -1.40% | -0.52% | -0.24% | -0.25% | -0.21% | +0.05% | 0.00% | +1.17% | +0.12% | -0.18% |
| 17 Avg +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.29% | +0.33% | +0.76% | -0.12% | -0.04% | +0.08% | -0.58% | +0.34% | -0.19% | +0.03% | +0.19% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | +0.40% | -0.24% | -1.34% | +0.46% | +0.81% | -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.38% | -0.33% | +0.34% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | +0.16% | +0.42% | +0.23% | +0.21% | -0.45% | -0.43% | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.41% | -0.28% | -0.48% | -0.16% |
| 20 Avg -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.19% | +0.28% | +0.09% | -0.94% | -0.31% | +0.12% | -0.46% | -0.83% | +0.05% | -0.12% | +0.08% |
| 21 Avg +0.07% | +0.08% | -0.60% | +0.19% | -0.41% | -0.61% | +0.18% | -0.02% | +0.69% | -0.68% | +0.52% | +0.95% | +0.53% |
| 22 Avg -0.21% | -0.43% | +0.02% | -0.99% | -1.16% | -0.19% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.40% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.79% | +0.17% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.38% | -0.28% | -1.64% | +0.47% | -0.17% | -1.04% | +0.37% | +0.19% | -0.27% | -0.07% | +0.97% | +0.74% |
| 24 Avg -0.06% | -0.20% | -1.25% | +0.80% | -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.43% | +0.44% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.41% | +0.46% | -0.33% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.79% | +0.09% | +0.42% | -0.90% | +0.03% | -0.41% | +0.22% | +0.39% | -0.57% | +0.73% | +0.54% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.35% | +0.81% | +0.02% | +0.91% | +0.03% | +1.40% | +0.81% | +1.32% | -0.43% | -0.31% | -0.32% | -0.83% | +0.73% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -0.84% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +1.16% | +0.99% | +0.12% | +0.39% | +0.18% | -0.19% | -0.84% | -0.34% | +0.69% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | +0.31% | -0.06% | -0.39% | +0.50% | -0.15% | +0.16% | -0.86% | +0.39% | +0.55% | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.42% |
| 29 Avg +0.09% | +0.12% | - | -0.17% | +0.85% | -1.11% | +0.07% | +0.50% | +0.92% | -0.28% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.34% |
| 30 Avg -0.19% | -0.27% | - | +0.52% | -1.18% | -0.31% | +0.20% | -0.34% | +0.28% | -0.25% | -0.19% | 0.00% | -0.52% |
| 31 Avg -0.19% | -1.04% | - | -0.78% | - | -0.41% | - | +0.10% | -0.30% | - | +0.82% | - | +0.31% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
