Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG).

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +22.76%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 14 for 60 days) is +1.51%.

3 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Chipotle exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with gains starting in January and peaking around September 1, showing an average increase of +25.5%. A slight pullback occurs in early October, followed by a consolidation period before another upward surge leading to December 31, where the average gain reaches +22.7%. The strongest period of growth appears to be from late January through August, consistently adding value.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities arise during the minor pullbacks. One such period appears in early March, where gains slightly decrease before resuming an upward trend. Another dip occurs in late October, presenting a chance to enter before the year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but historically, they have been followed by renewed upward momentum.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Chipotle could involve accumulating shares during the pullback periods in early March and late October. The data suggests holding through the strong periods leading to September and December for potentially significant gains. However, consider broader market conditions and company-specific news when making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-04-14 49.4600 2025-06-12 50.8900 1.4300 2.89
2023 2023-04-14 34.7660 2023-06-12 41.2734 6.5074 18.72
2022 2022-04-14 32.0634 2022-06-12 26.3408 -5.7226 -17.85
2021 2021-04-14 30.3332 2021-06-12 27.3360 -2.9972 -9.88
2020 2020-04-14 15.7066 2020-06-12 19.8366 4.1300 26.29
2016 2016-04-14 9.1202 2016-06-12 8.1052 -1.0150 -11.13
Avg 28.5749 28.9637 0.39 1.51
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +5.41% Feb Total +1.04% Mar Total +2.53% Apr Total +8.21% May Total +0.58% Jun Total +1.63% Jul Total -0.22% Aug Total +2.29% Sep Total -2.73% Oct Total -5.23% Nov Total +7.02% Dec Total -0.72%
1 Avg +0.13% 0.00% +0.60% +0.08% -0.34% -0.15% +0.30% -0.01% -0.31% +0.74% -0.42% +0.78% +0.31%
2 Avg +0.18% +0.40% +0.34% +0.46% -0.05% +1.03% +0.27% -0.01% -0.05% -0.15% +0.09% +0.35% -0.50%
3 Avg -0.34% -0.06% -1.12% -0.98% -0.29% -0.23% -1.08% +0.29% +0.09% -0.85% +0.33% -0.17% +0.03%
4 Avg +0.09% -0.93% +0.64% +0.03% -0.30% -0.59% +0.74% 0.00% -0.01% -0.06% +0.67% +0.14% +0.73%
5 Avg -0.08% +0.32% -1.08% -0.68% +0.18% -0.89% +0.84% +0.67% -0.03% -0.43% +0.20% -0.07% 0.00%
6 Avg +0.09% -0.21% +0.03% -0.78% +0.61% +0.03% +0.53% +0.55% +0.84% +0.74% -0.44% +0.31% -1.09%
7 Avg +0.09% +0.34% +0.88% -1.11% -0.05% +0.53% -0.54% -0.56% -0.17% +0.81% -0.16% +0.33% +0.81%
8 Avg -0.03% +0.64% -1.14% +0.13% +0.50% +0.34% -0.10% -0.25% +0.09% -0.94% -0.03% -0.01% +0.37%
9 Avg +0.21% +0.33% +1.03% +0.49% +1.66% -0.20% -0.64% +0.10% +0.13% +0.16% +0.14% -0.26% -0.37%
10 Avg +0.10% +0.24% +0.16% +0.72% +0.46% +0.40% -0.69% -0.07% -0.52% -0.81% -0.09% +1.25% +0.17%
11 Avg +0.08% +0.58% +0.24% -0.39% -0.44% -0.12% +0.54% -0.93% -0.09% +0.59% -0.37% +0.91% +0.41%
12 Avg +0.31% -0.20% +0.31% -0.22% +0.28% -0.19% +0.10% +0.39% +0.70% +0.47% +0.16% +0.79% +1.13%
13 Avg -0.08% +0.38% +0.44% +0.45% +0.05% -0.53% -0.95% -0.09% -0.22% -0.77% +1.02% -0.33% -0.43%
14 Avg +0.32% +0.56% +1.95% +0.45% +0.81% +1.07% +0.06% -0.12% -0.32% -0.41% +0.05% +0.67% -0.88%
15 Avg +0.26% +0.92% +0.09% +0.02% +0.06% +0.56% +0.46% -0.22% +1.65% +0.05% +0.02% -0.57% +0.14%
16 Avg +0.09% +0.32% +0.43% -0.34% +0.22% +0.04% +0.12% -0.16% -0.45% +0.51% -0.16% +0.13% +0.40%
17 Avg -0.02% +0.37% -0.11% -1.51% +0.64% -0.07% +0.29% -0.20% +0.10% +0.13% +0.32% -0.43% +0.19%
18 Avg -0.17% -0.24% -0.29% -1.70% +0.04% -0.13% +0.53% -0.16% -0.36% -0.36% +0.13% +0.67% -0.13%
19 Avg +0.14% +0.13% -0.13% +1.85% +0.43% +0.22% +0.06% -0.02% -0.38% -0.10% +0.27% -0.16% -0.49%
20 Avg -0.14% +0.20% +0.09% +0.87% -0.51% +0.39% -1.14% 0.00% +0.21% -0.26% -0.11% -0.41% -1.04%
21 Avg -0.03% -0.55% -0.44% +0.71% -1.53% -0.26% -0.10% +0.51% +0.57% -0.75% +0.85% +0.66% -0.06%
22 Avg +0.16% -0.56% -0.52% +0.66% +0.85% +0.02% +0.81% +0.80% +0.04% +0.52% -1.09% +0.22% +0.16%
23 Avg -0.12% +0.61% -0.64% 0.00% +0.18% -0.89% +0.47% -0.39% -0.30% +0.23% -0.44% -0.03% -0.24%
24 Avg +0.02% +0.56% -0.35% +1.33% +0.32% -0.03% +0.50% -1.27% +0.30% -0.53% -0.11% -0.35% -0.06%
25 Avg +0.10% -0.52% -0.51% -0.08% +1.05% +0.19% +0.37% +0.22% +0.65% +0.19% -1.43% +1.04% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.30% +0.28% +0.29% +0.92% +3.76% -0.06% -0.28% -0.99% +0.29% +0.03% -1.65% +0.44% +0.56%
27 Avg -0.05% -0.15% -0.90% -0.18% -0.16% +0.26% -0.63% +1.49% +0.07% -0.72% +0.27% +0.01% 0.00%
28 Avg +0.13% +0.67% +0.77% +0.21% +0.03% +0.19% -0.55% -0.31% +0.21% +0.03% -0.13% +0.72% -0.30%
29 Avg +0.09% +0.45% - +0.07% -0.11% -0.32% +0.92% +1.04% -0.03% -0.42% -0.40% +0.21% -0.46%
30 Avg -0.20% -0.05% - +0.29% -0.12% +0.32% +0.41% +0.04% -0.08% -0.36% -2.46% +0.18% -0.39%
31 Avg +0.03% +0.56% - +0.79% - -0.35% - -0.55% -0.32% - -0.25% - +0.31%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Apr 14 - May 13] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses