Check historical price trends and seasonality for Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG).
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +22.76%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 21 for 60 days) is +5.04%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Chipotle exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with gains starting in January and peaking around September 1, showing an average increase of +25.5%. A slight pullback occurs in early October, followed by a consolidation period before another upward surge leading to December 31, where the average gain reaches +22.7%. The strongest period of growth appears to be from late January through August, consistently adding value.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the minor pullbacks. One such period appears in early March, where gains slightly decrease before resuming an upward trend. Another dip occurs in late October, presenting a chance to enter before the year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but historically, they have been followed by renewed upward momentum.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Chipotle could involve accumulating shares during the pullback periods in early March and late October. The data suggests holding through the strong periods leading to September and December for potentially significant gains. However, consider broader market conditions and company-specific news when making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-21 | 51.5100 | 2025-04-21 | 46.5300 | -4.9800 | -9.67 |
| 2024 | 2024-02-21 | 51.3896 | 2024-04-20 | 57.3822 | 5.9926 | 11.66 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-21 | 31.3852 | 2023-04-21 | 36.0000 | 4.6148 | 14.70 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-21 | 18.4028 | 2020-04-20 | 16.1746 | -2.2282 | -12.11 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-21 | 12.0238 | 2019-04-21 | 14.0000 | 1.9762 | 16.44 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-21 | 6.4192 | 2018-04-21 | 6.6390 | 0.2198 | 3.42 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-21 | 8.6472 | 2017-04-21 | 9.5818 | 0.9346 | 10.81 |
| Avg | 25.6825 | 26.6154 | 0.93 | 5.04 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +5.41% | Feb Total +1.04% | Mar Total +2.53% | Apr Total +8.21% | May Total +0.58% | Jun Total +1.63% | Jul Total -0.22% | Aug Total +2.29% | Sep Total -2.73% | Oct Total -5.23% | Nov Total +7.02% | Dec Total -0.72% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.13% | 0.00% | +0.60% | +0.08% | -0.34% | -0.15% | +0.30% | -0.01% | -0.31% | +0.74% | -0.42% | +0.78% | +0.31% |
| 2 Avg +0.18% | +0.40% | +0.34% | +0.46% | -0.05% | +1.03% | +0.27% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.15% | +0.09% | +0.35% | -0.50% |
| 3 Avg -0.34% | -0.06% | -1.12% | -0.98% | -0.29% | -0.23% | -1.08% | +0.29% | +0.09% | -0.85% | +0.33% | -0.17% | +0.03% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | -0.93% | +0.64% | +0.03% | -0.30% | -0.59% | +0.74% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.67% | +0.14% | +0.73% |
| 5 Avg -0.08% | +0.32% | -1.08% | -0.68% | +0.18% | -0.89% | +0.84% | +0.67% | -0.03% | -0.43% | +0.20% | -0.07% | 0.00% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.78% | +0.61% | +0.03% | +0.53% | +0.55% | +0.84% | +0.74% | -0.44% | +0.31% | -1.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.09% | +0.34% | +0.88% | -1.11% | -0.05% | +0.53% | -0.54% | -0.56% | -0.17% | +0.81% | -0.16% | +0.33% | +0.81% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | +0.64% | -1.14% | +0.13% | +0.50% | +0.34% | -0.10% | -0.25% | +0.09% | -0.94% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.37% |
| 9 Avg +0.21% | +0.33% | +1.03% | +0.49% | +1.66% | -0.20% | -0.64% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.16% | +0.14% | -0.26% | -0.37% |
| 10 Avg +0.10% | +0.24% | +0.16% | +0.72% | +0.46% | +0.40% | -0.69% | -0.07% | -0.52% | -0.81% | -0.09% | +1.25% | +0.17% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | +0.58% | +0.24% | -0.39% | -0.44% | -0.12% | +0.54% | -0.93% | -0.09% | +0.59% | -0.37% | +0.91% | +0.41% |
| 12 Avg +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.31% | -0.22% | +0.28% | -0.19% | +0.10% | +0.39% | +0.70% | +0.47% | +0.16% | +0.79% | +1.13% |
| 13 Avg -0.08% | +0.38% | +0.44% | +0.45% | +0.05% | -0.53% | -0.95% | -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.77% | +1.02% | -0.33% | -0.43% |
| 14 Avg +0.32% | +0.56% | +1.95% | +0.45% | +0.81% | +1.07% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.32% | -0.41% | +0.05% | +0.67% | -0.88% |
| 15 Avg +0.26% | +0.92% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.56% | +0.46% | -0.22% | +1.65% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.57% | +0.14% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | +0.32% | +0.43% | -0.34% | +0.22% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.16% | -0.45% | +0.51% | -0.16% | +0.13% | +0.40% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.37% | -0.11% | -1.51% | +0.64% | -0.07% | +0.29% | -0.20% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.32% | -0.43% | +0.19% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.24% | -0.29% | -1.70% | +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.53% | -0.16% | -0.36% | -0.36% | +0.13% | +0.67% | -0.13% |
| 19 Avg +0.14% | +0.13% | -0.13% | +1.85% | +0.43% | +0.22% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.38% | -0.10% | +0.27% | -0.16% | -0.49% |
| 20 Avg -0.14% | +0.20% | +0.09% | +0.87% | -0.51% | +0.39% | -1.14% | 0.00% | +0.21% | -0.26% | -0.11% | -0.41% | -1.04% |
| 21 Avg -0.03% | -0.55% | -0.44% | +0.71% | -1.53% | -0.26% | -0.10% | +0.51% | +0.57% | -0.75% | +0.85% | +0.66% | -0.06% |
| 22 Avg +0.16% | -0.56% | -0.52% | +0.66% | +0.85% | +0.02% | +0.81% | +0.80% | +0.04% | +0.52% | -1.09% | +0.22% | +0.16% |
| 23 Avg -0.12% | +0.61% | -0.64% | 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.89% | +0.47% | -0.39% | -0.30% | +0.23% | -0.44% | -0.03% | -0.24% |
| 24 Avg +0.02% | +0.56% | -0.35% | +1.33% | +0.32% | -0.03% | +0.50% | -1.27% | +0.30% | -0.53% | -0.11% | -0.35% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | -0.52% | -0.51% | -0.08% | +1.05% | +0.19% | +0.37% | +0.22% | +0.65% | +0.19% | -1.43% | +1.04% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.30% | +0.28% | +0.29% | +0.92% | +3.76% | -0.06% | -0.28% | -0.99% | +0.29% | +0.03% | -1.65% | +0.44% | +0.56% |
| 27 Avg -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.90% | -0.18% | -0.16% | +0.26% | -0.63% | +1.49% | +0.07% | -0.72% | +0.27% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg +0.13% | +0.67% | +0.77% | +0.21% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.55% | -0.31% | +0.21% | +0.03% | -0.13% | +0.72% | -0.30% |
| 29 Avg +0.09% | +0.45% | - | +0.07% | -0.11% | -0.32% | +0.92% | +1.04% | -0.03% | -0.42% | -0.40% | +0.21% | -0.46% |
| 30 Avg -0.20% | -0.05% | - | +0.29% | -0.12% | +0.32% | +0.41% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.36% | -2.46% | +0.18% | -0.39% |
| 31 Avg +0.03% | +0.56% | - | +0.79% | - | -0.35% | - | -0.55% | -0.32% | - | -0.25% | - | +0.31% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
