Check historical price trends and seasonality for CME Group (CME).
CME Group (CME) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +13.23%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is +4.15%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
The strongest bullish phase for CME Group typically occurs from early February through early June, with consistent gains during this period. The data shows a strong upward trend starting in February, reaching a peak around early June with gains exceeding 5%. After June, the gains consolidate, and the stock experiences a relatively stable period until late November. From late November through early December, there is another significant bullish phase, with gains reaching as high as +15.8% on December 5.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the overall trend is positive, there are some periods that could be considered buying opportunities. A slight dip occurs around January 3, presenting a potential entry point before the significant rally that starts in February. Another potential dip occurs in mid-March, offering a chance to buy before a smaller rebound towards the end of the month. Finally, a slight pullback in late June could be viewed as a buying opportunity before the stock stabilizes and continues its upward trajectory into the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for CME Group would involve accumulating shares during pullback periods, such as early January or mid-March. The strongest returns are typically observed from February through early June, and again from late November through early December. Investors should consider these seasonal patterns when making entry and exit decisions to maximize potential gains.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 232.3100 | 2025-02-14 | 245.4800 | 13.1700 | 5.67 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 198.6000 | 2024-02-14 | 215.1800 | 16.5800 | 8.35 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 207.1500 | 2020-02-14 | 213.1300 | 5.9800 | 2.89 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 182.2900 | 2019-02-14 | 177.4000 | -4.8900 | -2.68 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 152.2000 | 2018-02-14 | 162.1500 | 9.9500 | 6.54 |
| Avg | 194.5100 | 202.6680 | 8.16 | 4.15 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.01% | Feb Total +3.66% | Mar Total -0.85% | Apr Total -0.59% | May Total +1.72% | Jun Total -0.61% | Jul Total +0.71% | Aug Total +3.70% | Sep Total -1.68% | Oct Total +1.04% | Nov Total +5.52% | Dec Total -0.73% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.71% | +0.43% | -0.27% | -0.52% | +0.17% | +0.40% | +0.72% | +0.03% | +0.60% | -0.58% | +0.52% |
| 2 Avg +0.22% | -0.21% | +0.63% | +0.76% | +0.13% | +0.01% | +0.45% | +0.01% | +0.48% | -0.44% | -0.27% | +0.72% | +0.32% |
| 3 Avg +0.05% | -0.48% | +0.08% | +0.60% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.29% | -0.11% | -0.03% |
| 4 Avg +0.17% | +0.23% | -0.03% | +0.36% | -0.58% | +0.31% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.52% | +0.24% | +0.77% | -0.33% | +0.40% |
| 5 Avg +0.08% | -0.06% | -0.55% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.16% | +0.57% | +0.04% | -0.17% | -0.45% | +0.39% | +0.23% | +0.43% |
| 6 Avg +0.12% | +0.89% | +0.05% | -0.33% | +0.35% | -0.07% | +0.04% | -0.42% | +0.61% | +0.65% | -0.11% | +0.17% | -0.40% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -1.06% | -0.61% | +0.29% | +0.02% | +0.41% | +0.52% | -0.16% | -0.31% | +0.43% | -0.12% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.06% | -0.71% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.07% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.41% | +0.30% |
| 9 Avg +0.19% | -0.23% | +0.93% | -0.35% | +0.39% | +0.15% | -0.33% | +0.12% | +0.43% | -0.54% | +0.44% | +1.54% | -0.28% |
| 10 Avg -0.09% | -0.04% | -0.89% | -0.02% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.20% | -0.12% | -0.53% | -0.93% | +0.03% | +1.06% | +0.18% |
| 11 Avg -0.17% | -0.10% | -0.52% | -0.58% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.79% | +0.35% | +0.26% | -0.04% | -0.31% | -0.25% | +0.01% |
| 12 Avg -0.06% | +0.44% | +0.79% | -1.23% | +0.02% | -0.62% | -0.29% | -0.21% | -0.21% | +0.25% | +0.45% | -0.17% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.08% | -0.70% | +0.45% | +0.84% | -0.38% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.90% | -0.15% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.33% | +0.41% | +0.46% | +0.35% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.15% | +0.02% | -0.18% | -0.73% |
| 15 Avg +0.10% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.18% | -0.40% | +0.15% | +0.24% | +0.42% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.21% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.08% | +0.34% | +0.11% | -1.30% | +0.32% | +0.04% | +0.38% | -0.08% | +0.36% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.40% | -0.06% |
| 17 Avg +0.25% | +0.04% | +0.32% | +1.44% | +0.81% | -0.10% | -0.27% | +0.22% | +0.21% | +0.41% | +0.21% | -0.24% | -0.07% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | +0.30% | +0.07% | -1.18% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.30% | +0.05% | -0.45% | -0.17% | +0.22% | -0.18% | -0.36% |
| 19 Avg 0.00% | +0.39% | +0.06% | +0.39% | +0.11% | -0.30% | 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.36% | -0.23% | +0.43% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | -0.21% | +0.05% | -0.19% | -0.10% | +0.43% | +0.07% | +0.22% | +0.06% | -0.24% | -0.39% | +0.07% | -0.42% |
| 21 Avg -0.14% | -0.70% | -0.01% | -0.39% | -0.80% | +0.18% | +0.23% | +0.37% | -0.19% | -0.61% | -0.21% | +0.17% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | +0.56% | +0.17% | -0.95% | +0.15% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.36% | +0.13% | -0.26% | -0.09% | +0.07% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.26% | -1.24% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.12% | +0.09% | +0.33% | -0.16% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.05% | +0.20% | +1.19% | -0.01% | +0.33% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.12% | +0.54% | +0.26% | +0.44% | -0.34% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | +0.13% | +0.44% | +0.45% | +0.11% | -0.11% | +0.02% | +0.37% | +0.28% | +0.23% | -0.33% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | +0.46% | +0.48% | +1.48% | -0.72% | +0.29% | -0.89% | +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.12% | -0.09% | +0.13% | +0.25% |
| 27 Avg -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.43% | -0.43% | +0.34% | +0.05% | -0.31% | -0.37% | +0.38% | -0.18% | -0.53% | +0.02% | -0.78% |
| 28 Avg -0.05% | +0.21% | -0.41% | +0.05% | -0.37% | -0.02% | +0.36% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.41% | -0.54% | -0.36% | +0.23% |
| 29 Avg -0.02% | -0.20% | - | +0.11% | -0.33% | +0.10% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.11% | -0.46% | -0.04% | +0.66% | -0.06% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | +0.43% | - | +0.19% | +0.01% | +0.61% | +0.22% | -0.58% | +0.19% | -0.26% | +0.48% | +0.26% | -0.50% |
| 31 Avg +0.08% | +0.31% | - | +0.04% | - | -0.35% | - | -0.16% | +0.20% | - | +0.21% | - | +0.33% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
