Check historical price trends and seasonality for Comerica (CMA).
Comerica (CMA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -10.20%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Comerica (CMA) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rally significantly from October through December, culminating in substantial gains, particularly around December 27 (+12.4%) and December 31 (+11.9%). Conversely, the period from March to July generally shows weakness, with a notable dip occurring around March 23 (-8.5%). This suggests a strong bullish phase towards the end of the year and a bearish phase in the spring and early summer.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for Comerica is typically between March and July. The deepest dip tends to occur around March 23 (-8.5%), presenting a potential buying opportunity. Further pullbacks continue through April, with the stock showing weakness until late July. These dips could be considered strategic entry points, anticipating the subsequent rally that usually begins in October.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Comerica could involve capitalizing on its seasonal tendencies. Consider establishing a position during the weakness in March, particularly around March 23, or during the extended pullback through July. The goal would be to capture the strong upward trend that typically materializes from October through December, exiting positions before the cycle potentially repeats the following spring.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 65.1200 | 2025-03-16 | 57.6900 | -7.4300 | -11.41 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 53.2500 | 2024-03-15 | 49.4900 | -3.7600 | -7.06 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 68.2400 | 2020-03-15 | 38.6700 | -29.5700 | -43.33 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 78.1300 | 2019-03-16 | 82.2700 | 4.1400 | 5.30 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 93.7900 | 2018-03-16 | 98.9400 | 5.1500 | 5.49 |
| Avg | 71.7060 | 65.4120 | -6.29 | -10.20 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.09% | Feb Total +1.17% | Mar Total -9.42% | Apr Total +2.66% | May Total -0.05% | Jun Total +0.49% | Jul Total +6.76% | Aug Total -0.45% | Sep Total -0.64% | Oct Total +4.15% | Nov Total +7.56% | Dec Total +2.62% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.37% | +0.25% | -0.76% | -0.51% | +0.98% | -0.21% | -1.47% | +0.21% | -0.26% | +0.58% | +1.16% |
| 2 Avg +0.13% | +0.18% | +0.10% | +0.82% | +0.20% | -0.66% | +0.71% | -0.19% | -0.68% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.59% | +0.26% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.57% | -0.36% | -1.27% | -0.39% | +0.32% | +0.64% | +0.69% | -0.51% | +0.50% | +0.83% | -0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | +0.98% | +1.30% | -0.88% | -0.76% | -1.03% | +0.71% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.29% | +0.68% | -0.54% | +0.57% |
| 5 Avg +0.15% | +0.36% | -0.56% | -0.11% | -0.25% | +1.13% | +0.39% | -0.47% | +0.27% | -0.28% | +1.25% | +1.04% | -0.95% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | +1.44% | -0.29% | -0.76% | +0.64% | -0.26% | +1.05% | -0.27% | +0.19% | -0.84% | +0.96% | +0.41% | +0.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.04% | -0.05% | +0.80% | -1.11% | +0.30% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.25% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.43% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | -0.19% | -0.82% | +0.11% | +0.90% | +0.91% | +0.33% | -0.14% | +0.38% | +0.10% | -0.30% | +0.29% | +0.17% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.28% | -2.64% | +1.54% | -0.31% | -0.91% | +0.57% | -0.50% | +0.33% | +0.14% | +1.90% | -0.30% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.43% | -0.43% | +0.52% | -0.83% | -0.23% | -1.99% | +1.15% | +0.39% | +0.33% | -0.42% | +0.95% | +0.36% |
| 11 Avg -0.12% | +0.35% | -0.35% | -0.29% | +0.33% | -1.55% | -1.36% | +0.90% | +0.58% | +0.58% | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.13% | +0.10% | +1.37% | -0.88% | +0.46% | -0.58% | +0.50% | +0.41% | +0.46% | 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.60% | +0.55% |
| 13 Avg -0.38% | -0.20% | -0.18% | -1.97% | -0.34% | -0.76% | -0.03% | -0.05% | +0.07% | -0.53% | -0.35% | +0.21% | -0.42% |
| 14 Avg +0.12% | +1.13% | +0.65% | +0.05% | -0.54% | +1.23% | -1.12% | -0.62% | -0.13% | -0.46% | +0.22% | +0.73% | +0.29% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | -0.50% | +0.90% | +0.31% | -1.34% | +0.36% | +0.90% | +0.58% | -0.58% | +0.18% | +0.46% | +0.67% | +0.11% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | +0.67% | +0.54% | -0.84% | -0.87% | +0.19% | -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.13% | -0.52% | -0.29% | +0.05% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | -0.28% | -0.83% | +0.21% | +1.85% | +1.27% | -0.96% | -0.15% | -0.67% | 0.00% | +0.58% | -0.14% | -0.49% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.23% | -0.12% | -1.51% | +0.26% | +1.04% | +0.12% | +0.83% | -0.34% | +0.62% | +0.93% | -0.31% | -0.87% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.71% | +0.22% | +1.47% | -0.97% | -0.20% | -0.51% | -0.14% | +0.44% | -0.55% | -0.22% | -0.13% |
| 20 Avg -0.15% | -0.66% | +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.63% | +0.19% | +0.14% | +0.71% | -0.52% | -0.46% | -0.03% | -0.39% | -0.29% |
| 21 Avg -0.17% | -1.09% | -0.72% | +0.34% | -1.23% | -0.13% | +0.54% | +0.32% | -0.22% | -0.69% | -0.51% | +0.24% | +1.10% |
| 22 Avg -0.06% | -0.31% | +0.20% | -1.93% | +0.69% | +0.31% | -0.45% | +0.01% | -0.27% | -0.42% | +0.45% | +0.85% | +0.20% |
| 23 Avg +0.14% | +0.51% | -0.28% | -2.34% | +1.07% | -0.09% | +0.26% | +0.87% | +0.44% | -0.08% | +0.30% | +0.41% | +0.57% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.30% | -0.50% | +1.45% | +0.19% | +0.04% | -0.75% | +0.44% | +0.69% | -0.05% | +0.36% | +0.43% | -0.09% |
| 25 Avg +0.20% | -0.13% | -0.44% | +1.73% | -0.32% | +0.05% | +0.30% | +0.25% | +0.23% | +0.13% | +0.29% | +0.33% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.17% | +0.29% | -0.38% | +0.97% | +0.33% | +1.65% | -0.58% | +0.56% | -0.37% | -0.83% | 0.00% | -0.36% | +0.76% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | -0.83% | -0.34% | +0.19% | +1.10% | +1.39% | -0.54% | -0.20% | +0.36% | +0.65% | -0.99% | -0.50% | +0.02% |
| 28 Avg +0.36% | +0.93% | -0.42% | +0.10% | +1.18% | -0.79% | +1.24% | +0.54% | +0.38% | +0.97% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.18% | -0.11% | - | +0.16% | +0.56% | -0.80% | +0.81% | +0.46% | +0.30% | -0.27% | +0.45% | +0.70% | -0.32% |
| 30 Avg -0.17% | -0.13% | - | -0.21% | -1.26% | -0.38% | +0.27% | -0.16% | -0.33% | -0.07% | +0.74% | -0.31% | 0.00% |
| 31 Avg -0.32% | -0.84% | - | -1.12% | - | -0.45% | - | +0.30% | -0.16% | - | -0.18% | - | +0.19% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
