Check historical price trends and seasonality for Cincinnati Financial (CINF).
Cincinnati Financial (CINF) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.30%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -6.93%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
Cincinnati Financial typically experiences a strong bullish trend throughout the year. The stock tends to climb significantly from February, reaching a peak around August, with gains of over 12%. While there is some fluctuation in September and October, the stock maintains a generally positive trajectory, culminating in substantial gains by November 29 (+15.0%) and December 31 (+12.3%). This indicates a pattern of strong performance towards the end of the year.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities may arise during pullbacks in March and April, as the stock consolidates after its initial surge in February. Another potential dip occurs in late October, before the significant rally in November. These periods of consolidation or slight declines could represent strategic entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the stock's overall bullish trend.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy for Cincinnati Financial, with a focus on accumulating shares during periods of weakness. Consider initiating positions or adding to existing holdings during the March-April and late October pullbacks to benefit from the subsequent rallies. The strongest performance is typically observed in November and December, making these months ideal for capturing profits or holding for long-term gains.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 147.4800 | 2025-05-01 | 139.8400 | -7.6400 | -5.18 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 121.0600 | 2023-05-01 | 105.3300 | -15.7300 | -12.99 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 124.3600 | 2022-05-01 | 122.6600 | -1.7000 | -1.37 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 101.0900 | 2021-05-01 | 112.6800 | 11.5900 | 11.47 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 99.7700 | 2020-05-01 | 60.9500 | -38.8200 | -38.91 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 73.9700 | 2017-05-01 | 71.1200 | -2.8500 | -3.85 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 64.5000 | 2016-05-01 | 66.0100 | 1.5100 | 2.34 |
| Avg | 104.6043 | 96.9414 | -7.66 | -6.93 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.14% | Feb Total +4.39% | Mar Total +0.51% | Apr Total -2.13% | May Total +0.65% | Jun Total +1.27% | Jul Total +4.39% | Aug Total +2.49% | Sep Total -1.60% | Oct Total -0.28% | Nov Total +4.80% | Dec Total -1.35% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.56% | +0.27% | -0.03% | -0.77% | +0.33% | +0.47% | -0.37% | +0.15% | -0.35% | -0.49% | +0.32% |
| 2 Avg +0.15% | -0.26% | +0.25% | +1.09% | -0.47% | -0.21% | +0.73% | -0.09% | +0.26% | +0.15% | +0.07% | +0.33% | -0.08% |
| 3 Avg +0.18% | -0.15% | +0.07% | +0.13% | -0.40% | +0.43% | +0.53% | +0.45% | +0.76% | -0.12% | +0.39% | +0.19% | -0.07% |
| 4 Avg +0.06% | +0.33% | +0.60% | -0.27% | -1.34% | +0.38% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.32% | +0.39% | +0.83% | -0.15% | +0.25% |
| 5 Avg +0.13% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.22% | +0.19% | +0.01% | +0.73% | -0.34% | +0.08% | -0.64% | +0.88% | +0.92% | -0.40% |
| 6 Avg +0.28% | +0.71% | +0.29% | -0.13% | +1.05% | -0.64% | +0.23% | +0.56% | +0.92% | +0.08% | -0.34% | +0.93% | -0.29% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | -0.20% | +0.77% | -0.76% | -0.39% | +0.26% | +0.34% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.41% | +0.32% | -0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | -0.18% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.27% | +0.47% | -0.08% | +0.21% | +0.18% | +0.26% | +0.06% | +0.24% |
| 9 Avg +0.11% | -0.14% | +0.24% | -0.60% | +0.69% | +0.07% | -0.64% | +0.48% | +0.23% | -0.24% | +0.01% | +1.41% | -0.26% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | -0.23% | +0.22% | +0.51% | +0.15% | +0.34% | -1.01% | +0.55% | +0.14% | -0.61% | +0.01% | +1.09% | -0.26% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.39% | +0.38% | -0.28% | -0.17% | -0.67% | -1.27% | +0.30% | +0.22% | +0.13% | -0.43% | +0.10% | +0.23% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | -0.31% | +0.34% | -0.91% | +0.28% | -0.37% | +0.78% | +0.17% | -0.21% | +0.64% | -0.02% | -0.37% | +0.52% |
| 13 Avg -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.46% | +0.99% | -0.18% | -0.52% | -0.65% | -0.17% | +0.18% | -0.38% | +0.15% | -0.59% | -0.26% |
| 14 Avg +0.10% | +0.55% | +0.14% | +0.87% | +0.40% | +0.19% | -0.52% | -0.05% | -0.05% | +0.25% | +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.48% |
| 15 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.63% | +0.19% | -0.61% | +0.12% | +0.43% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.36% | -0.15% | -0.21% | -0.02% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.55% | -1.15% | +0.10% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.81% | +0.33% | -0.28% | +0.10% | -0.04% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.27% | +0.67% | +0.32% | +0.03% | -0.36% | +0.27% | -0.24% | +0.04% | +0.62% | -0.12% | -0.57% |
| 18 Avg +0.03% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.34% | +0.14% | +1.02% | -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.22% | +0.47% | -0.17% | +0.30% | -0.70% |
| 19 Avg -0.15% | -0.26% | +0.11% | -0.54% | +0.35% | -0.42% | -0.03% | -0.62% | -0.01% | +0.26% | -0.15% | -0.22% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.36% | -0.51% | -0.33% | +0.24% | -0.02% | +0.63% | +0.09% | -0.40% | -0.25% | -0.05% | -0.09% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.76% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.82% | +0.66% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.81% | +0.55% | +0.32% | +0.52% |
| 22 Avg -0.12% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.83% | +0.10% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.22% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -1.25% | +0.24% | +0.03% |
| 23 Avg -0.11% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -1.63% | +0.13% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.42% | -0.19% | -0.09% | -0.07% | +0.18% | 0.00% |
| 24 Avg +0.20% | +0.48% | -0.27% | +1.80% | +0.18% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.25% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.24% | -0.32% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.30% | +0.10% | +0.22% | -0.31% | +0.11% | +0.32% | +0.41% | +0.06% | -0.25% | +0.37% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.05% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.84% | -1.38% | +0.41% | -0.42% | +0.82% | -0.39% | -0.23% | +0.51% | +0.08% | +0.52% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -0.34% | -0.35% | +0.14% | +1.08% | +0.98% | +0.11% | +0.05% | +0.56% | +0.34% | -1.43% | +0.06% | +0.32% |
| 28 Avg -0.08% | +0.58% | -0.48% | +0.12% | -1.05% | -0.42% | +0.43% | -0.81% | +0.07% | +0.33% | +0.26% | -0.15% | +0.21% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | -0.04% | - | +0.23% | -0.13% | -0.52% | +0.47% | +0.67% | +0.30% | -0.61% | -0.38% | +0.26% | +0.02% |
| 30 Avg +0.19% | +0.80% | - | +0.78% | -0.44% | +0.42% | +0.69% | -0.22% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.66% | -0.14% | -0.29% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | +0.01% | - | -0.67% | - | -0.23% | - | -0.31% | -0.27% | - | -0.02% | - | +0.24% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
