Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ciena (CIEN).
Ciena (CIEN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +37.98%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 31 for 60 days) is -3.40%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
Ciena exhibits a strong bullish tendency in the latter half of the year. The stock generally experiences a bearish phase from early March, bottoming out around April 21 with an average decline of -5.3%. A significant bullish trend then emerges, starting in June and continuing through December, culminating in substantial gains of +39.0% by December 26 and +37.9% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises during the pullback that typically occurs from March through April. The most significant dip tends to occur around April 21, representing a -5.3% decline, making it an attractive entry point. Another, albeit smaller, dip occurs in May. Following these pullbacks, the stock tends to rebound strongly, presenting opportunities to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, an investment strategy for Ciena could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March and April, particularly around April 21. The data suggests holding through the strong performance typically seen from June through December, aiming to capitalize on the significant gains observed into the year's end. Investors should be aware that past performance is not indicative of future results and consider other factors before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-31 | 87.1400 | 2025-03-31 | 60.4300 | -26.7100 | -30.65 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-31 | 53.0000 | 2024-03-30 | 49.4500 | -3.5500 | -6.70 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-31 | 52.0200 | 2023-03-31 | 52.5200 | 0.5000 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-31 | 66.3100 | 2022-03-31 | 60.6300 | -5.6800 | -8.57 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-31 | 40.6700 | 2020-03-30 | 41.0800 | 0.4100 | 1.01 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-31 | 38.0900 | 2019-03-31 | 37.3400 | -0.7500 | -1.97 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-31 | 21.2800 | 2018-03-31 | 25.9000 | 4.6200 | 21.71 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-31 | 24.3400 | 2017-03-31 | 23.6100 | -0.7300 | -3.00 |
| Avg | 47.8563 | 43.8700 | -3.99 | -3.40 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.64% | Feb Total +3.23% | Mar Total -4.41% | Apr Total -1.82% | May Total +2.76% | Jun Total +4.13% | Jul Total +5.89% | Aug Total +3.08% | Sep Total -1.61% | Oct Total +2.43% | Nov Total +6.63% | Dec Total +12.20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.30% | 0.00% | +0.80% | +1.05% | +0.61% | +0.80% | +2.33% | -0.14% | -0.83% | -0.05% | -0.62% | -0.07% | -0.26% |
| 2 Avg +0.26% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.44% | +0.42% | +0.40% | +1.82% | +0.01% | -1.39% | +0.10% | +1.26% | +0.09% | -0.06% |
| 3 Avg -0.47% | -0.53% | +0.07% | -2.72% | -1.76% | -0.02% | +1.03% | +0.30% | +0.48% | -3.02% | -0.12% | +0.57% | +0.01% |
| 4 Avg +0.22% | +0.06% | +1.07% | +0.01% | -0.82% | -0.06% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +2.27% | +0.06% | -0.38% | -0.03% |
| 5 Avg -0.20% | -0.26% | -0.19% | -0.19% | -0.91% | -0.08% | -1.14% | -0.08% | -0.75% | -1.36% | +0.15% | +2.19% | +0.17% |
| 6 Avg +0.46% | +0.13% | +0.78% | -0.11% | +0.51% | -0.22% | +1.92% | +0.58% | +1.10% | -0.47% | +0.52% | +0.97% | -0.26% |
| 7 Avg -0.31% | -0.54% | -0.73% | -2.84% | -0.10% | +0.24% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +0.28% | -0.35% | -0.71% | +0.74% | +0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.48% | +0.87% | -0.23% | -0.49% | +0.29% | +0.62% | -0.40% | +0.37% | +0.63% | -0.31% | +0.50% | +0.32% | +3.57% |
| 9 Avg +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.18% | +1.44% | -0.77% | -0.99% | +0.49% | -0.28% | -0.12% | +0.76% | -0.83% | +0.92% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | +0.18% | -0.08% | -0.51% | -0.24% | -0.24% | -1.00% | -0.08% | +0.17% | +0.68% | -0.80% | +1.75% | +0.23% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | -0.16% | -0.15% | -0.55% | -0.40% | -0.23% | -0.46% | +0.38% | -0.29% | +0.74% | -0.72% | +0.53% | +2.28% |
| 12 Avg +0.29% | +0.55% | +0.85% | -0.56% | -0.66% | -0.56% | +0.93% | +0.24% | +0.57% | +0.40% | -0.13% | -0.29% | +2.16% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | -0.08% | +0.25% | -0.04% | +0.21% | -0.18% | -0.62% | -0.63% | +0.08% | -0.52% | +0.16% | -0.70% | +1.30% |
| 14 Avg -0.06% | +0.19% | +0.90% | -0.46% | -0.26% | -0.07% | -0.19% | -0.19% | -0.44% | -0.18% | +0.03% | +0.13% | -0.23% |
| 15 Avg +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.67% | +0.89% | -0.31% | +1.25% | +0.58% | +0.67% | +0.51% | +0.25% | -0.10% | +0.61% | -0.49% |
| 16 Avg +0.15% | +0.41% | +0.23% | +0.19% | +0.42% | +0.16% | -0.22% | +0.37% | +0.17% | +0.48% | +0.63% | -0.42% | -0.63% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | -0.15% | +0.01% | +1.77% | +0.07% | +0.54% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.63% | -0.54% | +0.20% | -0.28% | -0.86% |
| 18 Avg -0.22% | -0.23% | -0.30% | -1.14% | -0.46% | -0.17% | +0.05% | -0.58% | +0.38% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.62% | +0.17% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | -0.61% | +0.37% | +0.57% | -0.97% | -0.44% | +0.22% | +0.28% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.10% | -0.34% | +1.76% |
| 20 Avg -0.08% | -0.41% | -0.17% | -0.54% | +0.48% | +0.80% | -0.09% | +0.25% | -0.21% | -0.60% | -0.11% | -1.33% | +1.00% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.69% | -0.21% | -0.01% | -1.04% | -0.53% | +0.05% | +0.33% | +0.23% | -0.32% | +0.57% | +0.26% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg +0.38% | +1.13% | +0.83% | -0.21% | +0.56% | +1.12% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.27% | +0.62% | -0.43% | +0.40% | +0.44% |
| 23 Avg +0.23% | +0.20% | -0.39% | -1.55% | +1.02% | 0.00% | +0.76% | +0.78% | +0.59% | +0.11% | +0.26% | +0.56% | +0.37% |
| 24 Avg +0.29% | +0.47% | -0.82% | +2.19% | +1.25% | -0.34% | -0.56% | +0.41% | -0.22% | -0.38% | +0.09% | +1.37% | -0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.11% | -0.15% | -0.71% | +0.02% | +0.20% | +0.31% | +0.38% | +0.73% | +0.16% | +0.23% | -0.26% | +0.34% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.25% | +0.35% | +0.44% | +0.38% | -0.38% | +1.26% | +0.26% | +0.02% | -0.23% | -0.20% | -0.08% | +0.44% | +0.69% |
| 27 Avg -0.16% | -2.52% | -0.49% | -0.66% | +0.22% | +1.12% | -0.65% | +0.30% | -0.01% | +0.84% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.04% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.38% | -0.50% | -0.12% | +0.21% | -0.59% | +0.54% | +0.54% | +0.07% | -0.10% | 0.00% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | +0.36% | - | +0.72% | +0.23% | -0.26% | +0.04% | +0.52% | -0.26% | -0.37% | +0.30% | +0.27% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg +0.11% | -0.17% | - | +0.55% | -0.93% | -0.65% | -0.07% | +0.42% | +1.61% | -0.19% | +0.46% | +0.49% | -0.26% |
| 31 Avg +0.15% | +0.56% | - | -0.41% | - | -0.94% | - | +0.50% | +0.57% | - | +0.62% | - | +0.12% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
