Check historical price trends and seasonality for CHFJPY (CHFJPY=X).
CHFJPY (CHFJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +5.46%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 16 for 30 days) is +0.69%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
CHFJPY exhibits a generally bearish trend from January through early May. The most significant dip occurs around March 9, with an average decrease of -1.8%. A strong bullish phase then emerges, starting in late May and extending through December. The year typically culminates with a peak around December 29 and December 31, showing an average increase of +5.1% on both days.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent pullback period occurs from January through March, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the currency pair bottoms out. Specifically, the dip around March 9, with a -1.8% average decrease, could be considered a strategic entry point. This dip is typically followed by a rebound starting in late May, as the currency pair begins its bullish trend.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for CHFJPY involves entering a long position around March 9, capitalizing on the seasonal low. Consider holding this position through December, aiming to exit near December 29 or December 31 to capture the peak gains. However, always consider other technical and fundamental factors before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-03-16 | 142.7100 | 2023-04-14 | 149.0027 | 6.2927 | 4.41 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-16 | 125.7220 | 2022-04-14 | 134.2350 | 8.5130 | 6.77 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-16 | 117.6200 | 2021-04-14 | 118.3471 | 0.7271 | 0.62 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-16 | 112.6691 | 2020-04-14 | 111.3280 | -1.3411 | -1.19 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-16 | 111.7220 | 2018-04-14 | 111.4080 | -0.3140 | -0.28 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-16 | 113.3900 | 2017-04-14 | 108.5000 | -4.8900 | -4.31 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-16 | 114.5530 | 2016-04-14 | 113.1930 | -1.3600 | -1.19 |
| Avg | 119.7694 | 120.8591 | 1.09 | 0.69 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.74% | Feb Total -0.20% | Mar Total +0.50% | Apr Total +0.17% | May Total +0.90% | Jun Total +1.67% | Jul Total -0.04% | Aug Total +0.23% | Sep Total +0.48% | Oct Total +0.90% | Nov Total +0.36% | Dec Total +1.19% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.21% | -0.24% | -0.01% | +0.35% | +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.13% | -0.02% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.01% | -0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.12% | -0.18% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | -0.42% | -0.14% | +0.14% | -0.26% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.10% | +0.06% | -0.13% | -0.18% | +0.10% |
| 4 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.25% | -0.12% | -0.21% | -0.03% | 0.00% |
| 5 Avg +0.05% | +0.32% | +0.09% | +0.12% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.02% | -0.15% | +0.15% | +0.17% | -0.03% | -0.19% |
| 6 Avg -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.07% | -0.23% | 0.00% | -0.31% | +0.14% | +0.02% | +0.31% | -0.01% | +0.22% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.26% | -0.12% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.23% | -0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.17% | -0.17% | +0.04% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.06% | -0.19% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | +0.08% | +0.08% | -0.16% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.05% |
| 10 Avg +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.19% | +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.17% | +0.16% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.20% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.20% | +0.04% | -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.10% | -0.09% | +0.19% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.05% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +0.15% | +0.03% | +0.26% |
| 13 Avg +0.02% | -0.19% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.16% | +0.03% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.04% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.17% | -0.11% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.19% | +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.11% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.24% | 0.00% | -0.14% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.07% |
| 16 Avg +0.00% | -0.19% | +0.11% | -0.24% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.26% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.19% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.18% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.02% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.15% | -0.01% |
| 18 Avg +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.16% | +0.15% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.22% | +0.22% | -0.07% | 0.00% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | +0.16% | -0.14% | -0.06% | +0.13% | +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.03% | -0.09% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.01% | +0.15% | +0.10% | +0.34% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.36% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.06% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.22% | -0.20% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.14% | -0.01% | -0.31% |
| 22 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.01% | +0.33% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.20% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.10% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | +0.03% | -0.20% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.26% | -0.02% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.04% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.04% | -0.07% |
| 25 Avg +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.16% | +0.02% | +0.12% | -0.13% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.09% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.03% | +0.05% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.15% | +0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | +0.04% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.14% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.30% | +0.20% | -0.05% | -0.01% | -0.14% | +0.32% |
| 29 Avg +0.07% | +0.14% | - | +0.18% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.25% | +0.03% | -0.16% | +0.10% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | -0.07% | - | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.04% | +0.10% | 0.00% | +0.24% | +0.04% | -0.19% | +0.08% | +0.10% |
| 31 Avg -0.02% | -0.17% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.11% | - | 0.00% | -0.16% | - | +0.11% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
