Check historical price trends and seasonality for Carnival (CCL).
Carnival (CCL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.30%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.09%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Carnival (CCL) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to rise from early January, peaking around February 19 with an average gain of +4.8%. A significant bearish phase follows, starting in March and bottoming out around May 12 with an average loss of -8.8%. After May, the stock gradually recovers, showing strength again in December, particularly around December 21 with an average gain of +8.4% and December 31 with an average gain of +6.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for Carnival occurs between March and mid-May, driven potentially by concerns about the hurricane season and slower booking during this period. This presents a buying opportunity, with the lowest point typically around May 12. Another potential, albeit less severe, dip occurs in late September, offering a secondary entry point before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Carnival could involve accumulating shares during the weakness from March to May, specifically targeting May 12 for entry. Consider adding to the position during the late September pullback. The goal is to capitalize on the year-end rally, particularly the strong performance around December 21, and December 31, before reassessing the position in the new year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 25.0500 | 2025-01-22 | 25.2500 | 0.2000 | 0.80 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 17.0300 | 2024-01-22 | 16.6400 | -0.3900 | -2.29 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 51.3500 | 2020-01-22 | 49.8800 | -1.4700 | -2.86 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 52.7300 | 2019-01-22 | 54.5200 | 1.7900 | 3.39 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 68.5200 | 2018-01-22 | 68.8600 | 0.3400 | 0.50 |
| Avg | 42.9360 | 43.0300 | 0.09 | -0.09 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.99% | Feb Total -0.86% | Mar Total -8.01% | Apr Total +0.45% | May Total +3.24% | Jun Total +3.44% | Jul Total -1.51% | Aug Total +3.17% | Sep Total -3.94% | Oct Total -0.07% | Nov Total +8.78% | Dec Total +3.86% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.31% | 0.00% | +1.39% | -0.47% | -3.12% | -0.55% | +1.55% | -0.10% | -1.50% | -0.28% | -0.42% | +0.12% | -0.30% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | -0.37% | -0.28% | +0.31% | -1.21% | +0.14% | +1.35% | -0.12% | -0.78% | -0.34% | -0.31% | -0.10% | +1.61% |
| 3 Avg -0.20% | -1.00% | -0.27% | -0.50% | -0.88% | +0.25% | +0.28% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.06% | -1.39% | +0.94% | +0.47% |
| 4 Avg +0.29% | +1.47% | +0.42% | -1.59% | -0.81% | -0.03% | +1.46% | 0.00% | +0.46% | +0.56% | +1.78% | -0.87% | +0.61% |
| 5 Avg +0.05% | +0.37% | -0.83% | -1.68% | +0.37% | -1.10% | +1.06% | +0.76% | +0.60% | -0.36% | -0.52% | +2.12% | -0.21% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | -0.31% | +0.34% | -0.89% | +1.62% | -0.59% | +0.31% | -1.61% | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.53% | +0.11% | +1.50% |
| 7 Avg +0.05% | +0.38% | +0.02% | -1.88% | +0.83% | +0.31% | +0.77% | -0.29% | +0.54% | +0.31% | -0.37% | +0.59% | -0.58% |
| 8 Avg +0.44% | +0.22% | -0.30% | +0.48% | +0.65% | +1.57% | +0.79% | +0.12% | +0.34% | -0.31% | -0.06% | +0.66% | +1.09% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.67% | -0.08% | -1.04% | +2.20% | -0.63% | -1.72% | -0.11% | -1.13% | +0.73% | +0.30% | +2.81% | -1.15% |
| 10 Avg -0.02% | +0.40% | -0.66% | +0.04% | -1.47% | -0.34% | -1.83% | +1.29% | +2.26% | +0.32% | -0.66% | +0.14% | +0.27% |
| 11 Avg -0.14% | +0.72% | -0.49% | -0.55% | +0.26% | -1.14% | -1.84% | -0.56% | +0.46% | +0.92% | +0.07% | +0.15% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.06% | +0.34% | +0.84% | -2.59% | -1.07% | -0.53% | +3.07% | +0.72% | -0.32% | +0.47% | +0.84% | -1.13% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.14% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +1.50% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -1.11% | -1.41% | +0.31% | +0.16% | -1.29% | +0.66% | -0.49% |
| 14 Avg +0.28% | +0.74% | +0.16% | -0.09% | +0.85% | +1.24% | -1.13% | -0.79% | -0.14% | +1.00% | +0.22% | +1.31% | -0.02% |
| 15 Avg +0.48% | -0.11% | +0.89% | +0.69% | -0.51% | +1.15% | +0.78% | +1.75% | +0.37% | -1.33% | +0.65% | +1.19% | +0.29% |
| 16 Avg -0.17% | +0.06% | +0.50% | -0.92% | -0.34% | +0.31% | +0.14% | -0.99% | +0.35% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.53% | -0.79% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.90% | -0.24% | -1.13% | +1.12% | +1.00% | -0.07% | -0.13% | -1.62% | +0.40% | +0.32% | -0.07% | +0.26% |
| 18 Avg -0.24% | -0.30% | -0.49% | -2.90% | -0.18% | +1.52% | -0.01% | +0.92% | -0.21% | -0.49% | +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.51% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.82% | +1.40% | +1.46% | +0.30% | -1.10% | -0.49% | -0.10% | -0.68% | -0.11% | -1.32% | +0.30% | +0.89% |
| 20 Avg +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.72% | +2.57% | -1.23% | +0.01% | -0.59% | +1.07% | -0.24% | -0.60% | +0.80% | -0.97% | +0.63% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | -0.48% | -0.90% | +0.36% | -0.32% | -0.08% | -0.26% | -0.07% | +0.67% | -1.66% | +0.45% | +0.15% | +1.30% |
| 22 Avg -0.22% | -0.97% | +0.64% | -1.02% | -0.36% | +0.12% | -0.47% | -0.67% | +0.06% | +0.28% | +0.30% | +0.32% | -0.87% |
| 23 Avg +0.20% | +0.05% | -0.30% | -1.23% | +1.41% | -1.11% | +0.87% | +0.33% | +1.25% | -0.49% | +0.54% | +0.87% | +0.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.62% | +1.76% | -0.05% | -0.74% | -0.11% | -0.66% | +1.66% | -0.28% | -0.32% | +0.40% | -0.56% |
| 25 Avg +0.31% | +0.28% | -0.75% | +1.69% | +0.05% | +0.81% | +0.13% | -0.92% | +0.53% | +0.46% | +0.47% | +0.95% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.20% | -0.30% | -0.49% | +0.68% | -1.01% | +2.32% | -0.19% | +0.04% | -0.97% | -0.43% | -0.94% | -1.00% | -0.14% |
| 27 Avg +0.14% | -0.91% | +0.08% | -2.54% | +1.25% | +2.20% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +1.31% | +0.40% | -0.54% | +0.42% | -0.34% |
| 28 Avg +0.42% | +1.33% | -0.24% | +0.09% | +1.84% | -0.89% | +0.19% | +0.90% | +0.51% | +1.27% | -0.30% | -0.09% | +0.45% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | +0.25% | - | +1.01% | +1.06% | -0.52% | -0.94% | +0.17% | +0.01% | -2.06% | +0.68% | +0.76% | +0.23% |
| 30 Avg -0.37% | -0.49% | - | -0.01% | -0.72% | +0.20% | +1.05% | -0.51% | -0.47% | -2.51% | +0.62% | -1.18% | -0.01% |
| 31 Avg -0.06% | +0.07% | - | +0.40% | - | -0.57% | - | -0.41% | -0.35% | - | +0.76% | - | -0.31% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
