Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).

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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +26.00%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 26 for 60 days) is +6.66%.

6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) demonstrates a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly in the latter half. The stock price tends to increase steadily from January, experiencing a significant surge starting in September and continuing through December. The most substantial gains typically occur near the end of the year, with an average increase of +26.7% by December 27 and +25.9% by December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While the overall trend is upward, there are minor pullback periods that could present buying opportunities. One such period appears around January 3, where the stock tends to dip by -0.9%. These dips are generally short-lived, as the stock quickly resumes its upward trajectory.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Caterpillar (CAT) could involve capitalizing on short-term dips for entry points. Specifically, monitoring for potential pullbacks around January 3 may offer an opportunity to establish a position before the stock enters its typically strong bullish phase later in the year. Investors should be aware that seasonality is just one factor and should consider other market conditions and company-specific news.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-06-26 381.8800 2025-08-24 435.6700 53.7900 14.09
2024 2024-06-26 326.7300 2024-08-24 348.4100 21.6800 6.64
2023 2023-06-26 236.9500 2023-08-24 269.3000 32.3500 13.65
2020 2020-06-26 122.3900 2020-08-24 141.6800 19.2900 15.76
2019 2019-06-26 135.1500 2019-08-24 114.0600 -21.0900 -15.60
2018 2018-06-26 135.5400 2018-08-24 138.2100 2.6700 1.97
2017 2017-06-26 104.2500 2017-08-24 114.7800 10.5300 10.10
Avg 206.1271 223.1586 17.03 6.66
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.12% Feb Total +0.95% Mar Total +3.01% Apr Total -0.95% May Total +0.72% Jun Total +1.49% Jul Total +5.34% Aug Total -0.26% Sep Total +3.49% Oct Total +2.83% Nov Total +6.85% Dec Total +2.35%
1 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.24% +0.78% -0.17% -0.61% +0.44% -0.05% -0.83% +0.19% -0.26% +1.16% +0.06%
2 Avg +0.18% -0.08% -0.30% +0.12% +0.40% +0.13% +1.33% +0.32% -1.32% +0.27% +0.39% +0.58% +0.26%
3 Avg -0.03% -0.57% -0.16% +0.02% -0.73% +0.23% +0.64% -0.12% +0.01% -0.87% +0.64% +0.30% +0.21%
4 Avg +0.07% +1.35% +0.62% +0.30% -1.10% -0.19% +0.09% 0.00% -0.19% +0.25% +0.44% -0.54% -0.20%
5 Avg +0.18% +0.21% +0.18% +0.37% +0.07% +0.04% +0.39% -0.51% +0.24% +0.31% -0.05% +1.21% -0.28%
6 Avg +0.24% +0.87% +0.56% +0.10% -0.01% -0.20% +0.69% -0.38% +0.27% -0.11% +0.04% +0.92% +0.16%
7 Avg +0.06% -0.38% -0.52% +0.15% -0.35% +0.21% +0.42% +0.44% +0.09% +0.11% +0.04% +0.37% +0.08%
8 Avg +0.13% +0.42% -0.60% +0.16% +0.12% +0.40% +0.53% +0.24% +0.37% +0.09% -0.04% -0.10% +0.01%
9 Avg -0.06% -0.12% +0.07% -1.84% +0.53% -0.43% -0.63% +0.54% -0.22% +0.63% +0.39% +0.46% -0.09%
10 Avg +0.19% +0.05% +0.08% -0.17% +0.52% +0.43% -0.90% +0.54% +0.69% +0.20% -0.07% +0.95% -0.03%
11 Avg +0.03% -0.20% -0.04% -0.41% +0.38% -0.38% -0.80% -0.17% +0.47% +0.78% +0.29% +0.07% +0.32%
12 Avg +0.20% +0.43% +0.87% -0.68% +0.22% -0.15% +0.31% +1.03% -0.13% +0.66% +0.14% -0.25% -0.08%
13 Avg +0.04% +0.57% +0.17% +0.74% -0.60% -0.21% -0.56% +0.14% +0.03% -0.48% +0.32% -0.30% +0.65%
14 Avg +0.22% +0.61% -0.04% +0.12% +1.02% +0.41% -0.57% +0.15% -0.27% +0.18% +0.44% +0.33% +0.23%
15 Avg +0.11% -0.60% +1.04% +0.08% -0.68% +0.29% +0.19% +0.75% -0.37% -0.09% +0.49% +0.14% +0.09%
16 Avg +0.10% +0.22% +0.13% -0.43% +0.22% -0.10% +0.03% +0.25% +0.36% +0.04% +0.73% -0.14% -0.13%
17 Avg +0.04% -0.17% -0.02% +1.44% +0.68% +0.31% -0.58% -0.17% -0.19% +0.40% -0.15% -0.20% -0.90%
18 Avg 0.00% +0.17% -0.51% -0.15% +0.33% +0.40% +0.21% -0.08% -0.11% +0.68% -0.84% -0.23% +0.10%
19 Avg -0.09% -0.59% +0.36% -0.10% -0.03% -0.39% -0.36% -0.12% -0.12% +0.83% -0.34% -0.32% +0.11%
20 Avg -0.18% -0.06% -0.07% -0.17% -0.44% -0.06% +0.22% -0.20% -0.05% -0.78% -0.21% -0.64% +0.27%
21 Avg -0.03% +0.21% -0.62% +0.49% -0.89% +0.07% -0.18% +0.03% +0.11% -0.85% +0.21% +0.65% +0.36%
22 Avg -0.14% -0.21% +0.91% -1.35% -0.58% -0.47% -0.68% -0.09% +0.28% +0.26% -0.28% +0.53% +0.04%
23 Avg -0.02% +0.22% -0.36% -1.22% +0.60% +0.25% -0.12% +0.30% +0.20% -0.34% -0.69% +0.43% +0.47%
24 Avg +0.13% +0.33% -0.47% +1.45% -0.03% +0.14% -0.07% -0.23% +0.11% +0.09% +0.01% +0.38% -0.18%
25 Avg +0.26% +0.21% +0.25% +0.61% -0.39% +0.31% -0.33% +1.52% +0.36% -0.18% +0.51% +0.29% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.21% +0.07% -0.38% +1.13% +0.20% +0.72% +0.22% +0.52% -0.40% +0.04% -0.52% -0.04% +0.92%
27 Avg +0.10% -0.96% -0.06% -0.50% +0.01% +0.99% +0.07% +0.57% +0.40% +0.30% +0.12% -0.13% +0.42%
28 Avg +0.09% -0.80% -0.39% -0.08% +0.11% -0.38% +0.78% -0.02% +0.17% +1.11% +0.52% +0.43% -0.43%
29 Avg +0.24% +0.15% - +0.59% +0.29% -0.38% +0.20% +0.65% +0.30% -0.19% +1.31% -0.15% -0.18%
30 Avg +0.02% -0.43% - +0.98% -0.65% -0.03% +0.51% -0.84% -0.14% -0.04% +0.19% +0.69% -0.08%
31 Avg -0.25% -0.81% - +0.47% - -0.60% - +0.30% -0.37% - -0.93% - +0.18%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jun 26 - Jul 25] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses