Check historical price trends and seasonality for CADSGD (CADSGD=X).
CADSGD (CADSGD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -0.74%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is +0.20%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
The CADSGD pair tends to experience a bullish phase from late May, climbing steadily through June, culminating in a peak around July 5 with a gain of +1.2%. Following this peak, the pair consolidates with some volatility through the summer and into autumn. A bearish phase typically begins in November, intensifying in December, reaching a low around December 25 with a drop of -1.0%, and remaining weak until the end of the year, with another dip on December 31 of -0.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period appears in December, particularly around December 25, presenting a potential buying opportunity due to the -1.0% dip. Another minor pullback occurs near December 31, with a -0.8% dip. These dips in December could be attributed to end-of-year profit-taking and portfolio adjustments, potentially leading to a rebound in the new year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, consider entering a long position in CADSGD around late December to capitalize on the seasonal weakness. The period around December 25 offers the most pronounced dip. Be mindful of the potential for continued weakness until the end of the year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 0.9343 | 2025-05-01 | 0.9469 | 0.0126 | 1.35 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 0.9909 | 2023-05-01 | 0.9846 | -0.0063 | -0.64 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 1.0713 | 2022-05-01 | 1.0825 | 0.0112 | 1.05 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 1.0519 | 2021-05-01 | 1.0798 | 0.0279 | 2.65 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 1.0416 | 2020-05-01 | 1.0114 | -0.0302 | -2.90 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 1.0544 | 2017-05-01 | 1.0238 | -0.0306 | -2.90 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 1.0414 | 2016-05-01 | 1.0706 | 0.0292 | 2.80 |
| Avg | 1.0265 | 1.0285 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.08% | Feb Total +0.12% | Mar Total -0.50% | Apr Total +0.51% | May Total +0.21% | Jun Total +0.41% | Jul Total -0.02% | Aug Total -0.16% | Sep Total -0.36% | Oct Total -0.36% | Nov Total -0.54% | Dec Total -0.05% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.16% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.24% | -0.10% | +0.09% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.29% | -0.02% | -0.16% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.04% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.13% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.06% |
| 4 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.28% | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.05% | +0.14% | -0.04% | -0.09% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.15% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.16% | -0.13% | -0.10% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.21% | -0.06% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.02% |
| 6 Avg -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.17% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.14% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.05% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.16% | -0.13% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.10% | +0.01% |
| 8 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.22% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.16% | -0.12% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.01% | -0.28% | +0.08% | -0.14% | -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.14% | -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.06% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.02% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.07% | +0.24% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.06% | +0.05% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.12% | -0.02% | -0.08% | +0.18% |
| 13 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.15% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.10% |
| 14 Avg -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.06% | -0.07% | +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.07% |
| 15 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.01% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.01% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.02% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.06% | +0.02% | +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.07% | -0.12% | 0.00% |
| 18 Avg -0.05% | -0.12% | +0.16% | -0.12% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.09% | -0.09% |
| 19 Avg 0.00% | -0.11% | -0.07% | -0.12% | +0.02% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.10% | +0.12% | -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.04% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.07% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | -0.08% | -0.14% | -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 24 Avg 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.01% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.07% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.13% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | -0.13% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.03% |
| 27 Avg +0.01% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.08% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | +0.01% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.16% | +0.02% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | - | +0.12% | +0.13% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.09% | -0.09% | -0.07% | -0.01% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | -0.03% | - | +0.02% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.19% | -0.02% | -0.16% | +0.03% |
| 31 Avg -0.05% | -0.02% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.05% | - | +0.01% | -0.19% | - | -0.16% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
