Check historical price trends and seasonality for CADCHF (CADCHF=X).
CADCHF (CADCHF=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -1.99%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.71%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
CADCHF exhibits a generally positive trend from early January, peaking around May 13 with an average gain of +1.4%. Following this high, the currency pair tends to decline, entering a bearish phase that intensifies through the remainder of the year. The most significant downward pressure occurs in December, culminating in a substantial drop of -2.0% by December 30 and December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the late summer and autumn months as CADCHF experiences a pullback. Specifically, the period from August through November shows a consistent downward trend, offering chances to buy at lower prices. Another significant dip occurs towards the end of December, with a notable -2.0% decline around December 30 and December 31, presenting another potential entry point for long positions anticipating a rebound in the new year. The rebound typically starts in January.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to CADCHF involves considering long positions around late December to capitalize on the anticipated January recovery. Conversely, traders might consider reducing long exposure or initiating short positions around May, anticipating the subsequent decline. Monitoring global economic factors influencing both the Canadian Dollar and Swiss Franc is crucial for validating these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 0.6366 | 2025-03-16 | 0.6118 | -0.0248 | -3.90 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 0.6370 | 2024-03-15 | 0.6531 | 0.0161 | 2.53 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 0.6917 | 2023-03-16 | 0.6765 | -0.0152 | -2.20 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 0.7389 | 2020-03-15 | 0.6774 | -0.0615 | -8.32 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 0.7446 | 2019-03-16 | 0.7526 | 0.0080 | 1.07 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 0.7748 | 2018-03-16 | 0.7288 | -0.0460 | -5.94 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 0.7692 | 2017-03-16 | 0.7520 | -0.0172 | -2.24 |
| Avg | 0.7133 | 0.6932 | -0.02 | -2.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.65% | Feb Total +0.17% | Mar Total -0.34% | Apr Total +0.66% | May Total -0.33% | Jun Total -0.43% | Jul Total -0.38% | Aug Total -0.56% | Sep Total -0.07% | Oct Total +0.23% | Nov Total -0.61% | Dec Total -0.80% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.14% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.08% |
| 2 Avg -0.03% | +0.14% | -0.13% | +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.22% | -0.08% | -0.36% | +0.08% | -0.06% | -0.19% | -0.15% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | +0.30% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.13% | -0.17% | 0.00% | +0.15% | +0.10% | +0.07% | +0.06% | +0.20% | -0.08% |
| 4 Avg +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.26% | -0.29% | -0.11% | -0.38% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.04% | -0.19% | +0.30% | +0.17% | +0.06% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.16% | +0.19% | -0.20% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.07% | +0.12% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.22% | -0.12% | +0.18% | -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.05% | -0.18% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.05% | -0.20% | +0.13% | +0.19% | -0.24% | -0.02% | +0.22% | +0.01% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.24% | -0.05% | +0.30% | +0.11% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| 9 Avg -0.06% | +0.11% | -0.23% | -0.42% | -0.11% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.10% | +0.23% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.17% | -0.08% |
| 10 Avg +0.00% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.17% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.03% |
| 11 Avg 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.08% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.01% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.13% | +0.15% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.11% | +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.15% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.00% | -0.01% | +0.28% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.22% | -0.17% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.11% | -0.01% |
| 14 Avg -0.02% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.20% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.37% | -0.05% |
| 15 Avg 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.16% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.15% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.09% | -0.01% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.26% | -0.19% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.06% | -0.13% | +0.24% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | -0.07% | -0.13% | +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.13% | -0.23% | -0.10% | -0.05% | -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 18 Avg -0.07% | -0.15% | +0.24% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.16% | -0.09% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.15% |
| 19 Avg 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.01% | -0.14% | +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.04% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.03% | +0.12% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.05% | -0.24% | -0.07% | +0.15% | -0.11% | -0.14% | -0.15% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | +0.25% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.04% | -0.20% | +0.02% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.19% | -0.13% | -0.13% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.07% | -0.04% | +0.09% | -0.09% | -0.05% | -0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.20% | -0.01% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.27% | -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.04% |
| 24 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.09% | +0.01% | -0.19% | -0.17% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.01% | +0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | 0.00% | +0.16% | -0.05% | -0.11% | -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.07% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +0.26% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.16% | +0.08% |
| 27 Avg +0.06% | +0.27% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.02% | +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.22% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.17% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.27% |
| 29 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | - | +0.26% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.11% | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.16% | -0.09% |
| 30 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | - | -0.04% | +0.12% | -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.33% | +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.13% |
| 31 Avg -0.02% | -0.04% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.03% | - | -0.01% | -0.05% | - | -0.13% | - | +0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
