Check historical price trends and seasonality for Brent Crude Oil Futures (ICE) (BZ=F).
Brent Crude Oil Futures (ICE) (BZ=F) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.99%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.52%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Brent Crude Oil Futures (ICE) (BZ=F) exhibit a strong bullish tendency from early in the year through late June. The strongest period of upward movement typically occurs between March 4 (+8.2%) and June 21 (+10.6%). After this peak, prices tend to decline through mid-November, before experiencing a late-year rally leading to December 31 (+7.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the pullback from the highs in June through November. Specifically, the period from March 9 (+4.4%) to March 18 (+1.8%) can represent a buying opportunity. Another pullback occurs from July 5 (+8.6%) to August 7 (+4.4%). Finally, the period from October 28 (+10.1%) through November 29 (+3.8%) provides a potential entry point before the end-of-year rally.
3) Summary:
Based on 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach would involve entering long positions during pullback periods, particularly in mid-March, early August, and late November. The strongest gains are typically realized by holding through June, and again in late December. Consider exiting positions before the pullbacks to maximize profits.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 81.2900 | 2025-01-22 | 79.0000 | -2.2900 | -2.82 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 78.2900 | 2024-01-22 | 80.0600 | 1.7700 | 2.26 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 64.6200 | 2020-01-22 | 63.2100 | -1.4100 | -2.18 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 61.3200 | 2019-01-22 | 61.5000 | 0.1800 | 0.29 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 69.1500 | 2018-01-22 | 69.0300 | -0.1200 | -0.17 |
| Avg | 70.9340 | 70.5600 | -0.37 | -0.52 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.19% | Feb Total +1.69% | Mar Total -4.38% | Apr Total +4.49% | May Total +3.08% | Jun Total +3.64% | Jul Total +0.50% | Aug Total -0.96% | Sep Total +1.20% | Oct Total -0.48% | Nov Total -2.23% | Dec Total +2.77% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.23% | 0.00% | -0.72% | +0.15% | +0.83% | -0.35% | +0.63% | -0.21% | -2.25% | -0.37% | +0.05% | -0.07% | -0.47% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.50% | +0.90% | +2.01% | -1.42% | +0.95% | -0.11% | -1.02% | +0.12% | -1.50% | +0.06% | +0.43% |
| 3 Avg +0.16% | +0.72% | +0.10% | +0.09% | +1.56% | -0.84% | -0.59% | +0.70% | +0.20% | -1.36% | +0.86% | -0.41% | +0.90% |
| 4 Avg +0.14% | -0.22% | +0.18% | +1.34% | -0.50% | +0.24% | -0.28% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.31% | +0.72% | +0.18% |
| 5 Avg +0.21% | +0.65% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.17% | +1.92% | +0.54% | -1.36% | -0.19% | +0.07% | +1.00% | +0.30% | -0.18% |
| 6 Avg -0.17% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.69% | -0.28% | +0.10% | +0.77% | -0.24% | -0.26% | +0.06% | +0.35% | -0.41% | -1.12% |
| 7 Avg -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.18% | +0.58% | -0.59% | -0.26% | +0.38% | -0.10% | -0.43% | -0.47% | +0.58% | -0.24% | +0.18% |
| 8 Avg +0.10% | -0.36% | +0.11% | -0.95% | +0.97% | +1.02% | -0.08% | +0.42% | +0.51% | +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.87% | +0.39% |
| 9 Avg -0.22% | +0.66% | -0.83% | -3.48% | +0.02% | -0.50% | -0.06% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.45% | +0.25% | +0.76% | -0.07% |
| 10 Avg +0.16% | +0.01% | +0.58% | +0.31% | +0.32% | +0.22% | -0.11% | +0.52% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.19% | +0.20% | +0.17% |
| 11 Avg +0.15% | +0.18% | +0.22% | +0.45% | +0.17% | +0.43% | -0.27% | -0.22% | +0.78% | -0.04% | -0.25% | +0.16% | +0.15% |
| 12 Avg +0.20% | +0.59% | +1.49% | -0.68% | +1.42% | +0.40% | -0.74% | -0.02% | +0.51% | +0.73% | -0.68% | -0.54% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.25% | -0.21% | +0.21% | +0.13% | +0.37% | +0.01% | +1.47% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.39% | +1.24% | -0.61% | +0.78% |
| 14 Avg -0.13% | +0.15% | +0.57% | -0.96% | +0.02% | +1.00% | -0.68% | -0.24% | -0.62% | +0.03% | -0.56% | -0.42% | +0.16% |
| 15 Avg -0.11% | +0.23% | +0.02% | -1.20% | -0.88% | +0.68% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.59% | +0.42% | -0.49% | +0.45% | -0.17% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.06% | -0.68% | +0.11% | +0.83% | +0.20% | -1.02% | -0.54% | +2.10% | -0.02% | -0.41% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.11% | +0.01% | +0.46% | +0.52% | -0.16% | +0.38% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.61% | -0.39% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.08% |
| 18 Avg +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.16% | -1.83% | +0.30% | +0.09% | +0.87% | +0.40% | +0.95% | -0.11% | -0.34% | +0.38% | -0.14% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | -0.46% | -0.24% | +1.71% | -0.71% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.73% | -0.46% | +0.27% | +0.47% | -0.77% | +0.54% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | +0.14% | +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.80% | +0.02% | +0.48% | +0.22% | -0.09% | -0.39% | -0.01% | -0.18% | -0.55% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | +0.21% | -0.14% | +1.09% | -3.14% | +0.24% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.13% | +0.96% | +0.12% |
| 22 Avg +0.33% | +0.69% | +1.03% | -0.06% | +0.96% | -0.47% | -0.16% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.62% | +0.86% | +0.24% | +0.25% |
| 23 Avg -0.04% | -0.25% | -0.16% | -0.25% | +0.70% | -0.27% | -0.68% | -0.27% | +1.27% | -0.54% | -0.26% | -0.61% | +0.86% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | -0.44% | +0.51% | +0.46% | +0.03% | +0.64% | -1.28% | +0.46% | +0.49% | +0.62% | -0.15% | +0.61% | -0.37% |
| 25 Avg -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.71% | +0.03% | -0.54% | -0.73% | +0.15% | +0.49% | +0.63% | +0.14% | +0.58% | -0.79% | -0.07% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | +1.15% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.10% | +0.82% | +0.57% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.11% | -0.20% | -0.70% | +1.19% |
| 27 Avg +0.02% | -0.31% | +0.07% | -0.14% | -0.21% | -0.30% | +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.31% | +0.64% | -0.24% | -0.11% |
| 28 Avg +0.10% | +0.07% | -0.19% | -0.51% | +0.84% | +0.77% | +0.77% | +0.39% | -0.01% | +0.93% | -1.68% | +0.11% | -0.25% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | +0.19% | - | -0.06% | +0.99% | -0.41% | +0.72% | +0.74% | +0.77% | -0.66% | -0.36% | -0.45% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg -0.15% | -0.42% | - | -0.45% | +0.96% | -0.84% | -0.24% | +0.06% | -0.98% | -0.48% | -0.44% | +0.56% | +0.57% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | +0.03% | - | -0.31% | - | -0.43% | - | +0.32% | -0.19% | - | -0.34% | - | -0.29% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
