Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Bitcoin (BTC-USD).

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Bitcoin (BTC-USD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +200.80%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 17 for 7 days) is +2.63%.

7 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 70.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Bitcoin exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from January to December. The most significant gains typically occur in December, with a notable peak around December 8, showing an average increase of +62.9%. The year generally ends on a high note, with December 31 showing an average increase of +53.1%, suggesting a strong year-end rally. The period from January 14 to March 31 also demonstrates substantial growth, moving from +11.4% to +46.1%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While Bitcoin generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. After the strong gains in the first quarter, there is a slight pullback in April, from +46.2% on April 1 to +35.3% on April 24. Another potential dip occurs in May, from +41.6% on May 5 to +24.5% on May 23. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after significant rallies, presenting opportunities to buy before the next upward trend.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Bitcoin investment could involve accumulating positions during the pullback periods in April and May. The strongest returns are typically seen towards the end of the year, particularly in December, suggesting that holding through this period could be beneficial. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other market factors and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-04-17 84,895.7500 2025-04-23 93,699.1094 8,803.3594 10.37
2024 2024-04-17 61,276.6914 2024-04-23 66,407.2734 5,130.5820 8.37
2023 2023-04-17 29,445.0449 2023-04-23 27,591.3848 -1,853.6602 -6.30
2022 2022-04-17 39,716.9531 2022-04-23 39,486.7305 -230.2227 -0.58
2021 2021-04-17 60,683.8203 2021-04-23 51,093.6523 -9,590.1680 -15.80
2020 2020-04-17 7,096.1846 2020-04-23 7,429.7246 333.5400 4.70
2019 2019-04-17 5,251.9380 2019-04-23 5,572.3623 320.4243 6.10
2018 2018-04-17 7,902.0898 2018-04-23 8,930.8799 1,028.7900 13.02
2017 2017-04-17 1,193.9100 2017-04-23 1,207.2100 13.2999 1.11
2016 2016-04-17 427.3990 2016-04-23 450.2820 22.8830 5.35
Avg 29,788.9781 30,186.8609 397.88 2.63
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.97% Feb Total +12.14% Mar Total +1.79% Apr Total +10.69% May Total +7.90% Jun Total +1.05% Jul Total +9.94% Aug Total +1.18% Sep Total -1.07% Oct Total +16.46% Nov Total +3.67% Dec Total +8.73%
1 Avg +0.53% 0.00% -0.19% +2.48% +0.57% +0.49% +0.61% -1.04% -0.69% +1.11% +1.38% +1.11% +0.57%
2 Avg +0.52% +2.49% -0.31% +0.94% +1.60% +0.73% +0.73% +1.41% -2.75% +0.20% -0.32% +0.65% +0.85%
3 Avg +0.29% +0.20% +1.17% -0.68% +0.85% +1.85% +0.54% +0.70% +0.69% -0.50% +0.07% -0.89% -0.57%
4 Avg +0.09% +1.61% +0.07% -0.87% +0.06% +0.10% -1.02% -0.08% +0.04% -0.20% +0.84% +0.52% -0.03%
5 Avg +0.17% 0.00% -1.29% +0.53% -0.27% +0.63% -0.16% -0.98% +2.24% -0.88% +0.75% +1.51% -0.05%
6 Avg +0.71% +1.13% +1.50% -0.36% -0.19% -0.04% +2.23% +1.23% +0.48% -0.69% +0.74% +0.22% +2.25%
7 Avg +0.15% +0.33% +0.83% -1.15% +0.35% +0.44% -1.31% -0.47% +1.15% -0.33% -0.23% +0.09% +2.13%
8 Avg +0.39% +0.02% +3.65% -1.82% +0.58% +0.83% -0.07% +1.36% +1.03% -1.34% +0.82% +0.06% -0.44%
9 Avg -0.02% -1.31% +0.29% +0.32% +0.23% -0.54% +1.10% +0.21% +0.08% +1.54% +0.57% -1.39% -1.37%
10 Avg -0.57% -0.20% -0.60% -1.76% +0.22% -1.24% -0.79% -1.51% -0.27% -0.16% -0.84% +0.99% -0.65%
11 Avg -0.03% -2.90% +0.22% +2.71% -0.10% +0.03% -0.42% -0.85% +0.26% -0.16% +0.13% -0.07% +0.85%
12 Avg +0.06% +0.19% +1.59% -3.24% +1.45% -2.02% -1.12% +0.08% +0.85% +1.19% +1.68% -0.93% +0.95%
13 Avg +0.58% +1.32% -0.68% +2.56% -0.19% +3.04% -0.37% +0.35% +1.35% -1.09% +0.62% +0.72% -0.70%
14 Avg -0.09% +1.87% +2.76% -0.97% +0.32% +0.84% -0.38% -1.23% -1.44% -1.09% +0.66% -1.93% -0.47%
15 Avg +0.32% -1.73% +1.44% -0.45% -0.21% -0.08% +0.30% +0.03% -0.32% +1.47% +0.79% +1.73% +0.83%
16 Avg -0.01% -0.93% +0.26% -0.83% +0.63% -1.37% +0.67% -0.99% +0.52% -0.09% +0.13% +0.32% +1.56%
17 Avg +0.38% +0.89% +1.22% +1.12% -1.07% -0.16% +0.35% +2.64% -0.75% -0.16% -0.20% +0.17% +0.46%
18 Avg +0.14% -0.20% +0.72% -1.40% +1.00% -0.17% -1.82% +2.07% -1.25% +1.73% -0.05% -0.24% +1.28%
19 Avg +0.45% -0.34% +0.88% +3.32% -0.09% +0.47% +1.30% +0.37% -0.09% 0.00% +0.85% -0.66% -0.57%
20 Avg +0.89% +2.18% +1.06% +0.96% +0.69% +2.06% +0.94% +1.91% +0.29% -1.35% +1.84% -0.97% +1.05%
21 Avg -0.87% -2.86% -0.86% +0.07% -0.60% -1.62% -1.22% +0.56% -0.49% -2.05% -0.02% -0.83% -0.57%
22 Avg -0.28% -1.65% -0.95% -2.14% +0.97% +0.31% -1.26% +0.19% +0.49% +1.09% -0.01% -0.43% +0.03%
23 Avg +0.52% -0.06% -0.53% +1.96% +0.50% -1.09% +2.34% -0.14% +1.32% +0.05% +0.54% +0.32% +1.02%
24 Avg -0.10% +0.82% -1.59% -0.53% +0.84% +1.42% -0.12% +0.82% -0.16% -1.60% -0.19% -0.85% -0.09%
25 Avg -0.02% -0.09% -1.11% +0.26% -0.69% -0.25% +0.31% -1.02% -0.21% -0.45% +2.68% +0.49% -0.20%
26 Avg +0.41% +0.67% +0.48% +0.55% +1.36% +0.32% -0.60% +0.59% -0.88% +0.42% +1.41% -1.31% +1.91%
27 Avg +0.59% +0.11% +0.54% +0.78% +0.34% -0.03% +0.18% +2.98% -0.37% +1.09% +0.21% +1.67% -0.45%
28 Avg +0.66% +1.19% +1.58% -0.32% +0.67% +1.27% +0.09% +1.09% -0.05% +0.17% +0.15% +2.09% -0.01%
29 Avg +0.36% +0.63% - -1.22% +0.94% +0.19% +0.62% -0.31% +0.75% +0.21% +1.78% +0.96% -0.57%
30 Avg -0.10% -1.20% - +0.26% -0.06% +0.61% -0.62% +0.51% -0.57% +0.81% -0.73% +0.53% -0.60%
31 Avg +0.22% -0.21% - +0.72% - +0.89% - -0.54% -0.07% - +0.39% - +0.34%

Past 5 Years 1-Month [Apr 17 - May 16] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses