Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Bitcoin (BTC-USD).

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Bitcoin (BTC-USD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +200.80%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 22 for 7 days) is +2.58%.

6 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Bitcoin exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from January to December. The most significant gains typically occur in December, with a notable peak around December 8, showing an average increase of +62.9%. The year generally ends on a high note, with December 31 showing an average increase of +53.1%, suggesting a strong year-end rally. The period from January 14 to March 31 also demonstrates substantial growth, moving from +11.4% to +46.1%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While Bitcoin generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. After the strong gains in the first quarter, there is a slight pullback in April, from +46.2% on April 1 to +35.3% on April 24. Another potential dip occurs in May, from +41.6% on May 5 to +24.5% on May 23. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after significant rallies, presenting opportunities to buy before the next upward trend.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Bitcoin investment could involve accumulating positions during the pullback periods in April and May. The strongest returns are typically seen towards the end of the year, particularly in December, suggesting that holding through this period could be beneficial. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other market factors and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-22 103,653.0703 2025-01-28 101,332.4766 -2,320.5938 -2.24
2024 2024-01-22 39,507.3672 2024-01-28 42,035.5938 2,528.2266 6.40
2023 2023-01-22 22,720.4160 2023-01-28 23,031.0898 310.6738 1.37
2022 2022-01-22 35,030.2500 2022-01-28 37,784.3320 2,754.0820 7.86
2021 2021-01-22 33,005.7617 2021-01-28 33,466.0977 460.3359 1.39
2020 2020-01-22 8,680.8760 2020-01-28 9,358.5898 677.7139 7.81
2019 2019-01-22 3,604.5771 2019-01-28 3,470.4504 -134.1267 -3.72
2018 2018-01-22 10,931.4004 2018-01-28 11,786.2998 854.8994 7.82
2017 2017-01-22 924.6730 2017-01-28 921.5900 -3.0829 -0.33
2016 2016-01-22 382.4920 2016-01-28 380.2890 -2.2030 -0.58
Avg 25,844.0884 26,356.6809 512.59 2.58
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.97% Feb Total +12.14% Mar Total +1.79% Apr Total +10.69% May Total +7.90% Jun Total +1.05% Jul Total +9.94% Aug Total +1.18% Sep Total -1.07% Oct Total +16.46% Nov Total +3.67% Dec Total +8.73%
1 Avg +0.53% 0.00% -0.19% +2.48% +0.57% +0.49% +0.61% -1.04% -0.69% +1.11% +1.38% +1.11% +0.57%
2 Avg +0.52% +2.49% -0.31% +0.94% +1.60% +0.73% +0.73% +1.41% -2.75% +0.20% -0.32% +0.65% +0.85%
3 Avg +0.29% +0.20% +1.17% -0.68% +0.85% +1.85% +0.54% +0.70% +0.69% -0.50% +0.07% -0.89% -0.57%
4 Avg +0.09% +1.61% +0.07% -0.87% +0.06% +0.10% -1.02% -0.08% +0.04% -0.20% +0.84% +0.52% -0.03%
5 Avg +0.17% 0.00% -1.29% +0.53% -0.27% +0.63% -0.16% -0.98% +2.24% -0.88% +0.75% +1.51% -0.05%
6 Avg +0.71% +1.13% +1.50% -0.36% -0.19% -0.04% +2.23% +1.23% +0.48% -0.69% +0.74% +0.22% +2.25%
7 Avg +0.15% +0.33% +0.83% -1.15% +0.35% +0.44% -1.31% -0.47% +1.15% -0.33% -0.23% +0.09% +2.13%
8 Avg +0.39% +0.02% +3.65% -1.82% +0.58% +0.83% -0.07% +1.36% +1.03% -1.34% +0.82% +0.06% -0.44%
9 Avg -0.02% -1.31% +0.29% +0.32% +0.23% -0.54% +1.10% +0.21% +0.08% +1.54% +0.57% -1.39% -1.37%
10 Avg -0.57% -0.20% -0.60% -1.76% +0.22% -1.24% -0.79% -1.51% -0.27% -0.16% -0.84% +0.99% -0.65%
11 Avg -0.03% -2.90% +0.22% +2.71% -0.10% +0.03% -0.42% -0.85% +0.26% -0.16% +0.13% -0.07% +0.85%
12 Avg +0.06% +0.19% +1.59% -3.24% +1.45% -2.02% -1.12% +0.08% +0.85% +1.19% +1.68% -0.93% +0.95%
13 Avg +0.58% +1.32% -0.68% +2.56% -0.19% +3.04% -0.37% +0.35% +1.35% -1.09% +0.62% +0.72% -0.70%
14 Avg -0.09% +1.87% +2.76% -0.97% +0.32% +0.84% -0.38% -1.23% -1.44% -1.09% +0.66% -1.93% -0.47%
15 Avg +0.32% -1.73% +1.44% -0.45% -0.21% -0.08% +0.30% +0.03% -0.32% +1.47% +0.79% +1.73% +0.83%
16 Avg -0.01% -0.93% +0.26% -0.83% +0.63% -1.37% +0.67% -0.99% +0.52% -0.09% +0.13% +0.32% +1.56%
17 Avg +0.38% +0.89% +1.22% +1.12% -1.07% -0.16% +0.35% +2.64% -0.75% -0.16% -0.20% +0.17% +0.46%
18 Avg +0.14% -0.20% +0.72% -1.40% +1.00% -0.17% -1.82% +2.07% -1.25% +1.73% -0.05% -0.24% +1.28%
19 Avg +0.45% -0.34% +0.88% +3.32% -0.09% +0.47% +1.30% +0.37% -0.09% 0.00% +0.85% -0.66% -0.57%
20 Avg +0.89% +2.18% +1.06% +0.96% +0.69% +2.06% +0.94% +1.91% +0.29% -1.35% +1.84% -0.97% +1.05%
21 Avg -0.87% -2.86% -0.86% +0.07% -0.60% -1.62% -1.22% +0.56% -0.49% -2.05% -0.02% -0.83% -0.57%
22 Avg -0.28% -1.65% -0.95% -2.14% +0.97% +0.31% -1.26% +0.19% +0.49% +1.09% -0.01% -0.43% +0.03%
23 Avg +0.52% -0.06% -0.53% +1.96% +0.50% -1.09% +2.34% -0.14% +1.32% +0.05% +0.54% +0.32% +1.02%
24 Avg -0.10% +0.82% -1.59% -0.53% +0.84% +1.42% -0.12% +0.82% -0.16% -1.60% -0.19% -0.85% -0.09%
25 Avg -0.02% -0.09% -1.11% +0.26% -0.69% -0.25% +0.31% -1.02% -0.21% -0.45% +2.68% +0.49% -0.20%
26 Avg +0.41% +0.67% +0.48% +0.55% +1.36% +0.32% -0.60% +0.59% -0.88% +0.42% +1.41% -1.31% +1.91%
27 Avg +0.59% +0.11% +0.54% +0.78% +0.34% -0.03% +0.18% +2.98% -0.37% +1.09% +0.21% +1.67% -0.45%
28 Avg +0.66% +1.19% +1.58% -0.32% +0.67% +1.27% +0.09% +1.09% -0.05% +0.17% +0.15% +2.09% -0.01%
29 Avg +0.36% +0.63% - -1.22% +0.94% +0.19% +0.62% -0.31% +0.75% +0.21% +1.78% +0.96% -0.57%
30 Avg -0.10% -1.20% - +0.26% -0.06% +0.61% -0.62% +0.51% -0.57% +0.81% -0.73% +0.53% -0.60%
31 Avg +0.22% -0.21% - +0.72% - +0.89% - -0.54% -0.07% - +0.39% - +0.34%

Past 5 Years 1-Month [Apr 4 - May 3] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses